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绝对收敛

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The results show that absolute convergence does not exist in rural economics among provinces,indicating that the economics growth of undeveloped provinces is not faster than that of developed provinces.

结果表明:我国农村省际之间经济并不存在绝对收敛,即落后省份经济的增长并不比发达省份增长快;但是存在条件收敛,即在控制了稳态的决定因素之后,落后地区的经济增长快于发达地区的经济增长,从而使差距缩小;在影响条件收敛的诸因素中,人力资本、产业结构以及科学技术对我国农村经济条件收敛的贡献最大。

The results show that absolute convergence does not exist in rural economics among provinces, indicating that the economics growth of undeveloped provinces is not faster than that of developed provinces. However, the economic development in rural China is characterized by the conditional convergence, that is, if the decisive factors stability is insured, the economic growth of undeveloped provinces would be faster than that of developed provinces. Thus, the disparity among them could be narrowed.

结果表明:我国农村省际之间经济并不存在绝对收敛,即落后省份经济的增长并不比发达省份增长快;但是存在条件收敛,即在控制了稳态的决定因素之后,落后地区的经济增长快于发达地区的经济增长,从而使差距缩小;在影响条件收敛的诸因素中,人力资本,产业结构以及科学技术对我国农村经济条件收敛的贡献最大。

Government transfer payment is an important policy instrument to coordinate regional economy. This paper measures and analyzes the convergence test of income during 1995-2004, and analyzes the relationship between transfer payment after tax-sharing system reform in 1994 and regional economic convergence through econometric analysis. It concludes that income has neither absolute convergence nor conditional convergence in the nationwide. The overall transfer payments did not meet the goal of narrowing income gap, especially in the central and western regions.

转移支付是政府协调区域经济的重要政策手段,本文测算和分析1995年-2004年省区收入的收敛检验,并运用计量方法分析了1994年分税制改革以后转移支付与地区经济收敛的关系,得出的结论是:收入的收敛模式在全国范围内没有绝对收敛,也没有条件收敛,转移支付总体上没有达到缩小地区收入差距的效果,并且突出表现在中部和西部地区。

The main conclusions of this chapter are the following: There is no absolute regional convergence since 1978, even the period were divided into two stage: 1978-1991 and 1992-2002; There exists absolute convergence among the provinces in eastern region in the period 1978-1991, the phenomena is alike to the central and western regions, so the club convergence is the fact of the regional economic growth in this stage; From 1992 to 2002, instead of the club convergence, there exists conditional convergence, human capital, capital investment, international trade and FDI influenced the regional economic growth rate markedly; The distribution of income across provinces don't transform from a unimodal into a bimodal distribution.

本章的基本结论是:改革开放以来不存在绝对收敛,即使将整个改革时期划分为1978—1991年和1992—2002年两个区间也是如此;1978—1991年期间,东部地区和中西部地区内部各自存在人均GDP和劳均GDP增长的收敛,从而形成了俱乐部收敛;1992年之后,并不存在俱乐部收敛,但存在一定的条件收敛,人力资本、物质资本投资、国际贸易和FDI对劳均GDP增长有着重要的正向影响;收入分布并没有发生由单峰向双峰分布的转变,总体上单峰的态势依然十分明显。

Convergence of the test results shows that the economy does not have absolute convergence of the economic characteristics, but this shows the characteristics of condition convergence; Human capital investment rate in the regional economic model have shown significant positive effects that is a notable convergence of factors of affecting the regional economy. On the three core areas of the club convergence test shows that within the three core areas still exist absolute convergence trend, but including human capital expansion of the Solow model the test results have all shown significant convergence of the regional club.

3收敛性的计量检验结果说明,浙江区域经济不存在绝对收敛的经济特征,但表现出显著的条件收敛性特征;人力资本投资、教育和健康形式的人力资本积累均有利于提高区域经济增长,且对区域经济收敛性具有促进作用,这种效应在浙江区域经济中已表现出显著性效应,是影响区域经济收敛的一个显著因素;对三大核心区的俱乐部收敛性检验说明,三大核心区内部仍不存在绝对收敛趋势,但包括人力资本的扩展Solow模型的检验结果却均表现出显著的地区俱乐部收敛性。

The method of the research in the paper is impellent,and the basal research course is the following.Firstly,the author uses the Theil coefficient and Gini coefficient to analyze the regional economic gap,and decomposes the structure in China.At the same time,the author tests theσconvergence,the absoluteβconvergence,the conditionalβconvergence and the club convergence.Secondly, the author analyzes the forming reason and mechanism of the regional economic gap in China.

本文研究过程中采取逐步深入的推进方法,其基本研究思路是:首先,使用基尼系数和泰勒指数对中国地区经济发展差距的历史演变轨迹进行了分析,并对其形成结构进行了分解,同时对中国经济增长的σ收敛、绝对β收敛、条件β收敛和"俱乐部"收敛进行了检验,以此为基础形成了对中国地区经济发展差距的全面了解;其次,以新古典增长理论和新增长理论为基础对中国地区经济发展差距的形成机制进行了分析;再次,以FDI非均衡分布为视角对中国地区经济发展差距的形成机制进行了解释;最后,提出了本文的政策建议。

Based on the measurement and calculation of Chinese agricultural Total Factor Productivity using the non-parameter Data Envelopment Analysis and Malmquist productivity index approach,the paper has tested the convergence hypothesis of the agricultural TFP growth in China for the transformational period(1978~2005),and this includes the σ convergence,unconditional β convergence and the conditional β convergence.

在利用非参数的DEA曼奎斯特生产率指数方法对中国农业全要素生产率进行求解的基础上,论文运用经济增长收敛理论对农业TFP(Total Factor Produc-tivity)增长在1978~2005年转型期的收敛性情况进行检验,这包括从σ收敛、绝对β收敛到条件β收敛的全面检验。

A series is said to be converges absolutely if the series converges; the series is called conditionally convergent, if the series converges but diverges.

绝对收敛如果级数收敛;称级数绝对收敛,如果级数收敛,而发散,则称级数条件收敛。

Absolutely convergence part and uniform convergence real part for the exponential series has been given.

给出了指数级数收敛实部、绝对收敛实部及一致收敛实部公式的严格证明。

A strict proof of the formulas of the convergence real part,absolutely convergence part and uniform convergence real part for the exponential series has been given.

给出了指数级数收敛实部、绝对收敛实部及一致收敛实部公式的严格证明。

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