经济周期

The persistence of low interest rates is likely to prove a more effective way of supporting the economy at this point of the economic cycle and QE is likely to be paused.

在当前经济周期的这个点上，发展经济更有效的方式可能是保持低利率，而量化宽松政策可能暂停。

Wave motion of cycle of the economy below intellectual economy condition will have new content and form.

知识经济条件下经济周期波动将具有新的内容和形式。

Joseph Alois Schumpeter thought the innovation is not only the motive of the social economic development but also the source of economic period.

熊彼特认为，创新不仅是社会经济发展的动力，也是经济周期的根源。

Credit risk can be affected by nonsystematic factors including corporate asset value,credit rating,default probability ,correlation,risk exposure and recovery ratio,meantime,it can be affected by systematic factors such as interest rate,commercial cycle and industry.

分析结果表明信用风险一方面受非系统性基本因素的影响，如公司资产价值、信用状况、违约概率以及相关性等，另外一方面也受到系统性宏观经济因素的影响，如利率、经济周期和行业因素等。其次是研究了信用风险的量化管理问题。具体方法是通过比较分析四种具有代表性的信用风险度量模型，包括CreditMetrics、CredirRisk+、KMV以及CreditPortfolioView等，目的是找到信用风险量化方法的统一框架，为度量信用风险建立一个合适的标准。

Looming world recession (growth below 3pc on the IMF definition) trumps the supercycle for the time being.

隐约出现的世界经济衰退（根据 IMF 的定义，低于3％的增长）已超过历次经济周期的期限。

And its influence on society and economy has the effects of social wealth, economic cycle, inflation, collocating resources and social psychology.

房地产泡沫是房地产市场波动的主要表象之一，对经济的影响主要表现为：社会财富效应、经济周期效应、通货膨胀效应、资源配置效应、社会心理效应等。

Stabilisation funds, such as Chile's Economic and Social Stabilisation Fund, smooth out the economic cycle by accumulating revenues from commodity exports when prices are high, and disbursing them when prices drop.

稳定基金，例如智利的经济和社会稳定基金。它是在农矿产品价格高的时候通过出口收入积累基金，而在价格下跌时候支出基金，这样使得经济周期更加平滑。当然还有些奇怪的基金。

The question is whether the plateauing in global activity apparently in train is the final bottom in this economic cycle and whether the so-called "green shoots" represent the beginnings of a sustainable rebound.

问题在于，全球经济活动看似就绪的启稳，是否是本轮经济周期的最终底部？所谓的&萌芽&是否标志着一轮可持续复苏的开端？

In the middle of 1980th ,though many companies had get rid of the negative effects of economy crisis and economy period ,the production was becoming enlarging,the large-scale staff reduction tidal wave was poppling yet in order to save interior cost in company organizations.Organization bankrupts were high frequent in market .

到20世纪80年代中期，虽然许多企业已经摆脱了经济萧条和经济周期的负面影响，生产开始扩大，但企业组织内部为节约成本而进行的大规模裁员浪潮依然汹涌，市场上，组织破产现象十分频繁。

But under the 21st century new economic environment, economic cycle shortens greatly, market changes rapidly.

但是，在21世纪新的经济环境下，经济周期大大缩短、市场变化迅速。

The split between the two groups can hardly be papered over.

这两个团体间的分歧难以掩饰。

This approach not only encourages a greater number of responses, but minimizes the likelihood of stale groupthink.

这种做法不仅鼓励了更多的反应，而且减少跟风的可能性。