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The Markov forecast model, time series method (triple exponential smoothing method and a combined of triple exponential smoothing method and Markov model) and stepwise regression forecast method were choosed, and the basic principles and processes of the three models were analyzed and compared. Based on above, the three methods were used to predict population dynamic of Cricetulus barabansis and Meriones unguiculatus. The characteristic, accuracy and applicability of three methods were analysed and compared. The results showed that,(1) Markov model belongs to a middle-long time forecast model, and the result was interval forecast, but it reached the requirement of forecasting the harmful population dynamic of rodents. Through the forecasted population dynamic of Cricetulus barabansis and Meriones unguiculatus in 2004, the results were accurate; this meant that Markov model was a good forecast model to Cricetulus barabansis and Meriones unguiculatus population.

选择马尔可夫链预测模型、时间序列分析法(三次指数平滑法、三次指数平滑法和马尔可夫链预测模型的组合预测法)和逐步回归预测法,对这三种模型的基本原理、模型的构建过程进行对比分析,在此基础上用此三种方法预测了黑线仓鼠和长爪沙鼠的种群数量,并对三种方法的特点、预测的准确度和适用范围进行了比较分析,结果表明:(1)马尔可夫链预测模型属于中长期预测,预测的结果为区间预测,但对于害鼠种群数量的预测来说已经达到要求,通过对2004年黑线仓鼠和长爪沙鼠种群数量的预测,预测的结果都比较准确,这说明对于预测黑线仓鼠和长爪沙鼠种群的数量动态,马尔可夫链模型是比较好的模型。

Methods The long head of biceps was cut on the top of intertubercular sulcus of humerus, and then dissected all the way to its distal end at radial tuberosity.

目的对传统的胸大肌代肱二头肌的手术方法加以改进,进行组合肌移位,寻找重建屈肘功能的最佳治疗方法。

The typical methods include Weighted mean, Bayes estimation, Dempster-Shafer evidence, Decision statistics model theory, Condition event algebra theory, Dynamic Kalman filter, Fuzzy logic theory, Neural network theory and Artificial intelligence technology.

近年来,国内外学者提出了许多对多传感器组合定位系统的数据融合方法,讨论较多的有加权平均法、贝叶斯估计法、Dempster-Shafer证据法、决策统计模型法、条件事件代数法、Kalman滤波、模糊数学、神经网络以及人工智能方法等。

According to the characteristics of peaked soliton solution, the undetermined coefficient method for solving nonlinear wave equations for their peaked soliton solutions is submitted and by means of the method several kinds of peaked soliton solutions are obtained for five nonlinear wave equations: the Camassa-Holm, fifth -order KdV-like, generalized Ostrovsky, combined KdV-mKdV and Klein-Gordon equations.

刘煜 河南电力试验研究院,郑州 450052根据尖峰孤子解的特点,提出了一种待定系数法求非线性波方程尖峰孤子解的思路和方法,并利用该方法求解了5个非线性波方程,即CH(Camassa-Holm方程、五阶KdV-like 方程、广义Ostrovsky方程、组合KdV-mKdV方程和Klein-Gordon方程,比较简便地得到了这些方程的尖峰孤子解。

Firstly, we define the two """"views""""of examples by choosing two Classifiers based on different algorithm theory. And then we proposed a example selection method based on the consistence, using two classifiers: Transductive HMM and fhTBL to combine a classification system to perform the Chinese Text chunking task with the small-scale labled Chinese treebank and large-scale unlabled Chinese corpus.

我们通过选取算法理论不同的分类器来定义Co-training方法中的两个"角度",在选择策略上,我们提出了基于"一致性"的实例添加策略,实验中我们选用基于统计的增益的隐马尔可夫模型和基于转换规则的分类器组合成一个分类体系,并与自我训练方法进行了比较,在小规模汉语树库语料和大规模未带标汉语语料上进行中文组块识别,实验结果要比单纯使用小规模的树库语料有所提高。

We proposed a example selection method based on the consistence, using two classifiers : Transductive HMM and fnTBL to combine a classification system to perform the Chinese text chunking task with the small-scale labled Chinese treebank and large-scale unlabled Chinese corpus. The ...

文中提出了基于一致性的co training选取方法将增益的隐马尔可夫模型和基于转换规则的分类器组合成一个分类体系,并与自我训练方法进行了比较,在小规模汉语树库语料和大规模未带标汉语语料上进行中文组块识别,实验结果要比单纯使用小规模的树库语料有所提高,F值分别达到了85 34%和83 4 1%,分别提高了2 13%和7 2 1%。

According to the working procedure chart of theZH1105W diesel engine's gear cap analysis workpiece's precision, the surface roughness, thespecification, the processing spot size, the shape structure,material degree of hardness, the work piece rigidity and thedifferent of the components batch size to definite technique andtechnological process, determine aggregatemachine-tool's overall plan. Consider to theirregularity components but have high accuracy holes to beprocessing. So,"two holes at aface" is the best localization plan.

根据ZH1105W柴油机齿轮室盖的工序图分析其精度、表面粗糙度、技术要求、加工部位尺寸、形状结构、材料硬度、工件刚性及零件的批量的大小不同,确定被加工零件工艺方法和工艺过程,确定该组合机床的总体设计方案;考虑该零件表面结构的不规则性但有较高精度的孔需要加工,定位基准选择&一面双孔&是最佳的方法。

BOSC method is independent of Boolean function's common structural representation, and has the worst time complexity propotional to cube of the number of input variables, so it is suitable for combinational macro-cell matching.

BOSC方法不依赖于布尔函数通常的结构表示,最坏时间复杂性与输入变量数的立方成正比,适用于结构匹配方法失败的组合逻辑宏单元匹配。

Material puts in in what there is arrangement in section activity, add, cutout is decreased, the method that combines material, it is the good method that stimulates the creativity with cheeper of the interest that transfers cheeper, education.

在区域活动中有层次的投放材料,增添、删减、组合材料的方法,是激发和调动幼儿的喜好、培养幼儿的创造性的好方法。

Its core thoughts are principle of efficiency, quantificational mathematics methods, construction methods of reductionism through analyzing and combination,and natural discovery and eliminative mysticism.Technology is superior to science.

技术作为人类认识世界、改造世界和建设世界的复杂系统和过程,其核心思想是效用至上的原则,通约、量化的数学方法,分解组合的结构方法和自然解蔽与生命祛魅。

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According to the clear water experiment, aeration performance of the new equipment is good with high total oxygen transfer coefficient and oxygen utilization ratio.

曝气设备的动力效率在叶轮转速为120rpm~150rpm时取得最大值,此时氧利用率和充氧能力也具有较高值。

The environmental stability of that world - including its crushing pressures and icy darkness - means that some of its most famous inhabitants have survived for eons as evolutionary throwbacks, their bodies undergoing little change.

稳定的海底环境─包括能把人压扁的压力和冰冷的黑暗─意谓海底某些最知名的栖居生物已以演化返祖的样态活了万世,形体几无变化。

When I was in school, the rabbi explained everythingin the Bible two different ways.

当我上学的时候,老师解释《圣经》用两种不同的方法。