组合分析

Bymeans of analytical model of dynamic air conditioning load in department store andits calculation with DOE-2, dynamic cooling load of department store in 8 typicalcities have been obtained, from which load pattern of CVAV system has beenanalyzed.

通过建立商场建筑的空调动态负荷分析模型，并采用美国建筑能耗分析软件DOE-2对其计算，本文得到了八个典型城市商场建筑供冷期间的动态负荷，在其基础上，对组合变风量空调系统的负荷特性进行了分析。

In general, this paper includes several parts, shown as the following: The first part summarizes the background and outline of stock index future and introduce briefly its local status and CSI 300 stock index future contract. The second part has a retrospect of the main academic papers of both local or overseas, and also a discussion of relevant hedge strategies and models, to lay a solid theoretical foundation for the empirical analysis and test for the operation process of hedge in latter parts. The third part outlines the principle, key factors and real operation process of hedge. Moreover, it makes a empirical analysis on popular hedge models with HK Hang Seng index. In the end, it test the hedge effect of trading on IF0706, CSI 300 stock index future contract, with CCB select-growth securities fund as present underlying. The fourth and also the last part, explores how to define hedge ratio in china mainland market. It includes the stability test ofβfor local securities portfolio, adjustment of historicalβand best data length for estimation of historicalβ, etc. Also, the thesis makes some beneficial experiments on the definition of best data length for estimation of historicalβ, survey of fashion forβand variation for industryβs. Fortunately, it's got some meaningful results.

按照以上研究思路，本论文论述由以下几个部分构成：第一部分，简要概述股指期货产生的背景和基本情况，对国内股指期货进程和沪深300股指期货合约进行简单介绍；第二部分，回顾海内外股指期货避险研究的主要文献，讨论相关避险策略及避险模型，为后面套期保值策略如何有效运用的实证分析和检验提供理论基础和依据；第三部分，对套期保值的原理、关键因素及实际流程进行概述，并采用香港恒生指数对常用的几种避险模型进行实证分析，最后一揽子以建信优选成长股票型基金为现货标的，实际检验以沪深300股指期货模拟交易IF0706产品进行对冲时的套期保值效果；第四部分，探讨国内确定避险比率的过程，包括国内股票组合β值的稳定性检验、历史β值的修正及估计历史β值的最佳数据长度等，通过数据分析，本文在寻找估计β值的最佳数据长度和考察风格、行业β值的差异上做了较为有益的尝试，并得到了有助于现实操作的结果。

In the program the Newton-Raphson's method is used to iterative computation; and the method of either the cylinder-arc-length or the minimum residual displacement is adopted to control the iterative process.

在分析非线性静力和动力有限元计算方法的基础上，本文采用修正的Newton-Raphson方法进行迭代计算，并采用柱面弧长法和最小残余位移法控制迭代过程，编制了一个适合于杆件体系结构的有限元分析程序，结构可以按桁架、刚架或梁杆组合体系分析。

This paper applies a software ANSYS to calculate the bridge of Kazi gulf in three-dimensional entity model, compute the left bridge under the initial and the gravity before gather together, carry on left bridge and the whole bridge'mode analyses, finally analyze the left bridge under artificial seismic waves.

本文应用大型有限元软件ANSYS 对卡子湾大桥三维实体模型进行分析，计算左桥合拢前在预应力和重力组合作用下的应力状况，进行左桥和整桥的模态分析，最后分析左桥在人工地震波作用下的动力时程反应。

On the basis of pollen analysis of surface sample in North China, polynomial function analysis method was applied to establish pollen climate response surface of Pinus, Betula, Quercus, Artemisia, Chenopodiaceae, Compositae, Picea, Ephedra, Gramineae in North China, therefore an easy and applicable method for reconstructing palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironment with data of fossil pollen was founded; Multi-analysis method was applied to analyse the principal elements of surface sample pollen in central Inner Mongolia Steppe, the assemblages of surface sample pollen in steppe area and its relationship with vegetation type were discussed with helps from spore-pollen analysis of a peat section in Chasuqi, Inner Mongolia and 〓C chronometer, fossil pollen data were obtained with high resolution on the peat section in Chasuqi. Vegetation succession and environmental changes since Holocene at resolution of 70 years were primarily reconstructed in south Mount Daqingshan and Plain Tumete. The changes in the area were copmared with those in the neighbouring areas during the same period. It was found that Holocene environmental change had undergone the following stages: cold-arid, temperate-wet, warm-wet, temperate-arid and cold-arid, and the climatical optimum period occurred in 5000-4100 aB.

本文在对中国北方表土花粉研究的基础上，采用多项式函数回归方法建造了中国北方松属、桦属、栎属、蒿属、藜科、菊科、云杉属、麻黄属、禾本科等的花粉——气候趋势面，从而为利用化石花粉资料直接恢复古气候、古环境提供了一种方便易行的方法；采用多元分析方法对内蒙古中部草原区表土花粉进行了主成分分析，探讨了草原区表土花粉组合的规律及与植被类型的关系；本文还应用孢粉分析方法，结合〓C测年技术，通过内蒙古中部察素齐泥炭剖面高分辨率的化石花粉数据，初步恢复了大青山山地南部及土默特平原地区分辨率为70年的全新世以来植被演替和环境变迁的状况，并与邻近地区的全新世古气候、古环境进行了对比研究，研究发现，本区域全新世古环境的变迁序列基本上可以与周围地区及华北地区进行对比，其环境变迁经历了凉干～温湿～暖湿～温干～凉干的变化，且气候最适宜期出现在5000～4100aB.P。

On the basis of the previous results and according to the central composite experimental design principles,the method of response surface method with 3 factors and 3 levels was adopted.then the factors influencing the technological parameters were determined by means of regression analysis.response surface and contour were finally graphed with the extraction rate as the response value.resultsthe optimum conditions of lycium barbarum polysaccharides extraction were as follows:the ratio of material to solvent of 1∶32,extraction temperature of 84℃ and extraction time of 2.3 h,one time extraction.conclusionthe yield of lycium barbarum polysaccharides is 11.10% under the optimum conditions.

方法在单因素实验基础上选取实验因素与水平，根据中心组合（box-benhnken）实验设计原理采用3因素水平的响应面分析法，依据回归分析确定各工艺条件的影响因子，以多糖提取率为响应值作响应面和等高线。结果在分析各个因素的显著性和交互作用后，得出枸杞多糖水浸提的最佳工艺条件为：料液比1∶32；浸提温度84℃；浸提时间2.3h；浸提1次。结论在最佳工艺条件下，枸杞多糖的实际提取率可达11.10%。

The Markov forecast model, time series method (triple exponential smoothing method and a combined of triple exponential smoothing method and Markov model) and stepwise regression forecast method were choosed, and the basic principles and processes of the three models were analyzed and compared. Based on above, the three methods were used to predict population dynamic of Cricetulus barabansis and Meriones unguiculatus. The characteristic, accuracy and applicability of three methods were analysed and compared. The results showed that,(1) Markov model belongs to a middle-long time forecast model, and the result was interval forecast, but it reached the requirement of forecasting the harmful population dynamic of rodents. Through the forecasted population dynamic of Cricetulus barabansis and Meriones unguiculatus in 2004, the results were accurate; this meant that Markov model was a good forecast model to Cricetulus barabansis and Meriones unguiculatus population.

选择马尔可夫链预测模型、时间序列分析法(三次指数平滑法、三次指数平滑法和马尔可夫链预测模型的组合预测法)和逐步回归预测法，对这三种模型的基本原理、模型的构建过程进行对比分析，在此基础上用此三种方法预测了黑线仓鼠和长爪沙鼠的种群数量，并对三种方法的特点、预测的准确度和适用范围进行了比较分析，结果表明：(1)马尔可夫链预测模型属于中长期预测，预测的结果为区间预测，但对于害鼠种群数量的预测来说已经达到要求，通过对2004年黑线仓鼠和长爪沙鼠种群数量的预测，预测的结果都比较准确，这说明对于预测黑线仓鼠和长爪沙鼠种群的数量动态，马尔可夫链模型是比较好的模型。

This paper also gives methods for improving human resourcesmanagement of software engineering.According to the current securities market development,this paper studied problems in nowadays securities market analysis,for example,the information obtaining channels,the unsymmetry of the information and the individual subjective tendencies effect towards information selection etc.

其次，论文针对目前证券市场的发展情况，研究了当前证券市场分析中存在的问题，如信息的获取及其不对称性问题、分析者的个人主观偏好对信息使用的影响、探讨了各种分析方法的优势及局限性，特别是马科维茨投资组合理论在我国运用中存在的问题等。

This paper briefly introduces the come about background, content, model and development of Markowitz's Portfolio Theory before hand, and then builds a basic and simple target function model, considers the problem of existence of investment upper limit in single and overall investment, determines the relationship between yeild rate and risk rate, further deepens the appliction of the theory through actual case analysis, during which data analysis is also applied by using LINGO program.

本文首先简单地介绍了马克维茨投资组合理论的诞生背景、、内容、模型及发展，然后建立一个基本、简单的目标函数模型，考虑单个投资和整体投资有投资上限的问题，确定收益率与风险率的关系，通过实际的案例分析进一步加深对该理论的应用。在案例的分析过程中运用LINGO程序分析数据。

Then the failure mode and the coefficient of stability of the displaceable blocks were studied respectively.

主要内容包括：①在野外地质调查基础上，通过统计分析得到地下厂区结构面的优势方位；对结构面工程地质特性进行了分析；根据结构面的空间组合关系，搜索出可能在主厂房洞室的顶拱和边墙部位出露的块体，并分析了各块体的可能滑移方式及其稳定性系数。

In the United States, chronic alcoholism and hepatitis C are the most common ones.

在美国，慢性酒精中毒，肝炎是最常见的。

If you have any questions, you can contact me anytime.

如果有任何问题，你可以随时联系我。