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Methods Using Grey model ( 1 : 1 ), autoregression model, ARIMA model to fit the data of the incidence rate in our country from 1984 to 2006, and predict the incidence rate of malaria in later years.

探讨不同模型在疟疾发病预测中的应用,并预测疟疾在中国未来的发病趋势。

Ron Behrens, of the Clinical Research Unit at the UK-based London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, says,"The study shows that effective and safe malaria treatment can be provided early on, either by health workers or even mothers, and may lead to a reduction in malaria deaths."

英国伦敦卫生学和热带医学院临床研究组的Ron Behrens说:"该研究表明可以在早期提供有效而安全的疟疾疗法,它既可以由医务工作者提供,甚至也可以由母亲提供,而且可能导致疟疾死亡的减少。"

Ron Behrens, of the Clinical Research Unit at the UK-basedLondonSchool of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, says,"The studyshowsthat effective and safe malaria treatment can be providedearly on,either by health workers or even mothers, and may lead toareduction in malaria deaths."

英国伦敦卫生学和热带医学院临床研究组的RonBehrens说:"该研究表明可以在早期提供有效而安全的疟疾疗法,它既可以由医务工作者提供,甚至也可以由母亲提供,而且可能导致疟疾死亡的减少。"

The measures therefore have reduced the incidence of malaria and controlled its outbreak epidemic effectively,till its basic eradiation.

结果基本消灭疟疾后继续采取卓有成效的监测措施,使疟疾疫情始终保持稳定,巩固了疟防成果。

The jungle fever might not have killed him if he had not been driven mad by the business troubles, and the business troubles might not have put an end to him if the jungle fever had not assisted.

假如没有那事务上的烦恼令他精神崩溃的话,热带疟疾可能还不至于害死他,而那事务上的烦恼也未必就可以要了他的命,要是没有热带疟疾的促成。

Result The population and new case of malaria can be predicted by the quadratic forecast model of population and logarithmic curve model of new case in Chongqing municipal. The prediction range of population is from 3113112 to 3368928, and the range of the new cases rate of incidence of malaria is from 126 to 134 in 2002 year. These two numbers are consistent with actual number of population and new cases, which are 31309038 and 130, respectively.

结果 重庆市人口数的二次曲线模型和疟疾新发病例的对数曲线模型能够对重庆市人口数和疟疾新发病例数进行预测,2002年重庆市人口数预测范围为3113112~3368928人,新发病例数范围为126~134例;分别与实际的人口数(31309038人)和病例数(130例)基本吻合。

Prevention and treatment have been hampered by cost, the rise of drug-resistant malarial parasites, and the lack of a vaccine.

由于缺乏资金、抗药疟疾寄生虫及疫苗的缺乏,使疟疾的预防和治疗面临困境。

The scientists, led by Dr Mauro Marrelli from Johns Hopkins Uniersity in Baltimore, Maryland, suggest that the transgenic malaria-resistant mosquito could one day be introduced into the wild where it would outbreed natural mosquitoes and reduce the spread of malaria.

马里兰Baltimore的约翰霍普金斯大学的Mauro Marrelli博士所领导的科学家们说转基因的抗疟疾蚊子最终会被放回自然,在那里可以同野生蚊子进行远系繁殖从而减少疟疾的传播。

National Institute of Parasitic diseases,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Shanghai 200025,China

中国疾病预防控制中心寄生虫病预防控制所,世界卫生组织疟疾血吸虫病和丝虫病合作中心,中国疾病预防控制中心寄生虫病预防控制所,世界卫生组织疟疾血吸虫病和丝虫病合作中心,上海 200025

The disease is spread to humans through the bite of mosquitoes infected with malaria parasites, the most dangerous of these being plasmodium falciparum.

疟疾的传播是双向的,它是通过带有疟疾的寄生蚊子叮咬传染到人的,这最危险的当数疟原虫。

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