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理论概率

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Probability: Studies on the emerged accident probability of major hazard carrying the Markow process; Severity: By applying the grey system theory , on the base of the same kinds of accident-economy cost, establishes self-adapting GM (1,1) forecasting model and the model with the residual error being amended in a bid to calculate accident-economy cost; Safety management: Establishes the dynamic comprehensive analytical method on major hazard and safety management of the major hazard by applying the grey system theory and fuzzy math theory.

其次,针对重大危险源原有的二维评价方法所存在的局限性,建立了以可能性、严重性、安全管理水平为三维矢量的评价方法,并对这三个矢量进行了定量计算:可能性:运用马尔可夫过程计算了重大危险源发生事故的概率;严重性:运用灰色系统理论,根据已有的同类事故经济损失的统计资料,建立自适应性GM(1,1)模型及残差修正的模型,预测重大危险源发生事故的经济损失;安全管理水平:运用模糊数学理论和灰色系统理论,建立了重大危险源安全管理水平动态综合分析法。

In the design of the large intensifying screen, this paper conducted the analysis of the structure mechanics and the finite element method analysis on the strength and rigidity of scneen box and crank axle system, designed a new type mesh, and finished the dynamic simulation of the motion of the particle group in intensifying screen on computer.

应用碰撞理论、概率理论和混沌、分叉理论对物料运动的规律性进行了深入分析与研究。大型强化筛的设计进行了结构力学分析和筛箱、曲轴系统的强度、刚度有限元分析;设计了新型的筛网结构;应用计算机对料群在强化筛中的运动规律性进行动态模拟。

Based on the basic theories of fire researches,the top temperature and the maximal time of the emporiums fire are analyzed,and a mathematical model of comprehensive probability fuzzy evaluation for the loss of emporiums fires is built.

运用火灾研究的基本理论对商场火灾达到的最大温度和最大温度燃烧持续时间进行了分析,并将概率方法与模糊评价方法相结合,建立了商场火灾损失的概率模糊综合评判模型。

The method is based on the stochastic property of the power Load and the probability theory is applied.

本文根据负荷的随机性质,应用概率理论,提出了线路负荷的概率计算法。

In this paper , the sex-effects of the cocoon quality characters in silkworm was predicted with Mixed linear model :The fact that the probability of effect variance and predictability of random gender of whole cocoon weight, cocoon shell weight, ratio of cocoon shell and pupa weight reached a level of extreme significance showed that the gender effect of the four traits was extremely significant, which matched with the reality completely.

研究采用混合线性模型,对家蚕全茧量、茧层量、茧层率和蛹体重等性状的性别效应进行理论估算:全茧量、茧层量、茧层率和蛹体重等4性状的性别随机效应的方差的概率和性别随机效应的预测值概率都达到极显著水平,证明全茧量、茧层量、茧层率和蛹体重等四性状的性别效应极显著,这完全符合实际情况。

An analytical expression is presented based on total probability theory to describe the mean annual rate of structural performance level reaching or exceeding a specific limit state, and the analytical solutions are adopted to analyze the seismic risk of a three-span rigid-frame bridge in a specific hazard environment.

六、在全概率理论的基础上推导了结构在特定地震危险性水平下的年平均达到或超过指定极限状态的概率的解析表达式,并用此解析表达式对一个三跨连续刚构桥结构进行了在特定地震环境下的地震危害性研究。

This thesis deduces the probability of a node to be a routing void node theoretically within deterministic deployed and random deployed WSNs, and gets the probability of encountering the routing void node while setting up a path randomly. Also a modified GF algorithm with backoff method to avoid the routing void nodes is presented.

本文从理论上分析了路由空洞在规则部署和随机部署情况下的存在概率,导出了随机部署情况下随机建立的路径遭遇到路由空洞的概率,并提出了一种带有退避改进方法的贪婪转发策略。

This paper also found the theoretical relationship between the appeared probability of relative rainfall area and the climatic probability of rainfall in weather stations.

还得到了雨区相对面积的出现概率与气象站出现降水的气候概率的理论关系。

The payoffs of games depend on parity of starting capital. Only when p2 is equal to p3, both of them are less than 0.5, payoffs of games do not depend on starting capital. Furthermore, when p3=0.5 playing game A and B in alternating order must be a losing game. What is more, the condition of parity of starting capital in computer simulation corresponds to minimum and maximum stationary distribution probability of theoretical analysis respectively in its feasible region.

交替玩游戏AB不存在确定的平稳分布概率,游戏得益依赖初始本金的奇偶特性,仅当p2=p3且小于0.5时,游戏得益不依赖初始本金;2)当p3=0.5时,交替玩游戏AB一定是输的游戏;3)计算机仿真分析中初始本金的奇偶情况对应理论分析中平稳分布概率在其可行域中分别取最小值和最大值的情形。

And then Laplace published in 1812,"probability theory", first made clear to the classical definition of probability.

而接着拉普拉斯在1812年出版的《概率的分析理论》中,第一明确地对概率作了古典的定义。

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