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Based on the climate effect of the vegetation and soil moisture around Tibet plateau, this paper studies the impact of different surface covers on regional climate, and the physic machines of vegetation action on climate and water cycle.

在研究了青藏高原及其周围地区植被、土壤湿度气候效应的基础上,探讨了长江流域不同地表覆盖类型的区域气候的作用、植被对气候和地—气系统水循环的影响,揭示了植被对气候和水循环作用的物理机制。

But the vegetations changes in plain zone were slower.(4) Study on the driving forces and driving mechanism of the change of vegetation cover in HHH zone The farmland vegetation area received the common drive of climate and the society factors, but climate factors were the main driving forces for annual harvest crop or biannual irrigated and dry harvest crop, and society factors were the main driving forces for biannual harvest crop or biyearly tri-harvest dry crop.

4黄淮海地区植被覆盖变化驱动力与驱动机制研究不同植被覆盖类型,其NDVI变化的驱动力不同:一年一熟粮作区植被覆盖变化受到气候和社会经济因子的共同驱动,但以气候驱动为主;一年两熟或两年三熟旱作区植被覆盖变化受到社会经济和气候因子的共同驱动,但在主要驱动因子中,社会经济的影响更大一些;一年水旱两熟粮作植被覆盖变化主要受气候因子驱动,同时,社会经济因子也会在一定程度上影响植被NDVI的变化。

But the vegetations changes in plain zone were slower.(4) Study on the driving forces and driving mechanism of the change of vegetation cover in HHH zoneThe farmland vegetation area received the common drive of climate and the society factors, but climate factors were the main driving forces for annual harvest crop or biannual irrigated and dry harvest crop, and society factors were the main driving forces for biannual harvest crop or biyearly tri-harvest dry crop.

4黄淮海地区植被覆盖变化驱动力与驱动机制研究不同植被覆盖类型,其NDVI变化的驱动力不同:一年一熟粮作区植被覆盖变化受到气候和社会经济因子的共同驱动,但以气候驱动为主;一年两熟或两年三熟旱作区植被覆盖变化受到社会经济和气候因子的共同驱动,但在主要驱动因子中,社会经济的影响更大一些;一年水旱两熟粮作植被覆盖变化主要受气候因子驱动,同时,社会经济因子也会在一定程度上影响植被NDVI的变化。

Based on prediction of recent 100 years' climatic changes with climate models, the impacts of future climatic changes on climate and environment are analyzed.

在采用气候模式对未来近百年的气候变化做出一定预测的基础上,分析未来可能出现的气候变化所造成的对气候环境方面的影响。

A positive correlation was found between the solar activity and NO3- concentration in recent 1500 years. A long-standing issue of the nature of the solar activity during the Maunder Minimum was solved. An about 36a cycle was found in the solar activity. Low solar activity and weak geomagnetic field were responsible for the 36Cl peak at about 37ka BP. Climate change recorded in this ice core lagged insolation about 4ka during the last glacial maximum, about 1ka during the last deglaciation, and nearly 0ka during the Holocene.δ18O record also suggests that the variation in temperature on the Tibetan Plateau had some similar features to that in both Northern and Southern Hemispheres during the last deglaciation to some extent, which indicate that the tropics maybe play an important role on global climate change.

揭示出近1500a来古里雅冰芯中NO3-浓度变化可以反映太阳活动的强弱变化;回答了长期争议的并直接关系到太阳发电机理论是否正确的Maunder极小期太阳活动特征问题;发现太阳活动可能存在36a左右的周期;证实了37kaBP左右古里雅冰芯记录中宇宙成因同位素36Cl含量峰值的存在,指出这一时期的宇宙成因同位素峰值事件具有全球性,弱的太阳活动和弱的地磁场是这一事件发生的原因所在;揭示出古里雅冰芯记录到的"8.2ka BP事件",认为这一全球性事件发生的主要原因与弱的热盐环流和弱的太阳活动有关;发现古里雅冰芯记录的末次冰盛期和末次冰消期气候变化均在一定程度上滞后于太阳辐射变化,而全新世气候变化大致与太阳辐射变化同步;发现末次冰消期高原地区气候变化不仅具有北半球气候变化的某些特征,同时还具有南半球气候变化的某些特征,这说明热带地区可能对全球气候存在重要的影响。

; 3 younger Dryas Only has reflection in the hundred-year-scales climatic curve, it is not evident in the curve of long period; 4 in the hundred-year-scales climatic curve, the last glacial maximum fluctuation as frequuently and 18-28KaBP was the stage in which the frequency fluctuation was the largest.

;(3)新仙女木事件仅反映在百年尺度的气候曲线上,在较长周期的饿曲线上不明显;(4)在百年尺度的气候曲线中,末次冰盛期气候波动频繁,其中18-28KaBP 是频率波动的最大阶段,但随着周期尺度的加大,气候的波动频率逐渐趋于均匀。

At this moment he was lying ill of fever in the clay lands near Curitiba in Brazil, having been drenched with thunder-storms and persecuted by other hardships, in common with all the English farmers and farm-labourers who, just at this time, were deluded into going thither by the promises of the Brazilian Government, and by the baseless assumption that those frames which, ploughing and sowing on English Liplands, had resisted all the weathers to whose moods they had been born, could resist equally well all the weathers by which they were surprised on Brazilian plains.

就在此时,他在靠近巴西的克里提巴的粘土地里,淋了几场雷雨,加上受了许多其它的苦难,病倒了,发着高烧,同时和他一起受难的还有许多其他英国农场主和农业工人,他们也都是因为巴西政府的种种许诺被哄骗到这儿来的。他们依据了那种毫无根据的假设,既然在英国的高原上耕田种地,身体能够抵挡住所有的天气时令,自然也能同样抵挡巴西平原上的气候,却不知道英国的天气是他们生来就习惯了的天气,而巴西的气候却是他们突然遭遇的气候。

After complete regional analogue, it is discovered that the palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironment in Tontso is entirely comparative and consistent with the synchronous lakewater retreating of Zhaduixiong spits in Zabuye Lake basin, with palaeoclimate changes recorded by pollen in adjacent Zhabuye Lake, with Holocene palaeoclimate environment indicated by drilling-hole in Bangong Co, with palaeoclimate significance traced by δ〓O value in Qinghai Lake and Siling Co, with pollen- and diatom-inferred climatic change in Longmu Co and Sumxi Co, and with the palaeoclimate framework during the 5〓 Level Arid Extension Period of Quaternary arid center of Western China.

对比研究发现,洞错的古气候环境,与同期相邻的扎布耶湖湖水退缩遗迹和花粉记录的古气候变化、班戈湖钻孔所揭示的全新世古气候环境、色林错δ〓O值所揭示的气候意义、龙木—松西错的孢粉和硅藻提供的古气候古环境信息以及第四纪西部干旱中心在第5级干旱扩张期中的古气候格局,它们的气候环境变化总体上均有可对比性和一致性。

Based on the review of the successive four assessment reports of the IPCC WGII on climate change impacts on streamflow from 1990 to 2007, it is summarized that the First and Second Assessment Reports were regarded as the first generation studies, featuring the impacts of mean climate change on streamflow and the adaptation to it, while the Third and Forth (AR4) Assessment Reports as second generation studies, emphasizing the impacts of anthropogenically forced and natural climate changes on streamflow and the adaptation to them. The progresses and issues in the research methodologies of the impacts of climate change on hydrology and water resources are analyzed.

在回顾IPCC于1990-2007年4次关于气候变化对径流影响的评估报告进展的基础上,将第一次与第二次评估报告归纳为第一代--以气候均值变化对径流影响及其适应为主要特征;第三次与第四次评估报告为第二代--突出人为气候变化与自然气候变异对径流影响及其适应问题,分析了常规的气候变化对水文水资源影响评估方法的发展过程及存在的问题。

Water Resources Information Center, Ministry of Water Resources, Beijing 100053, ChinaAbstract : Based on the review of the successive four assessment reports of the IPCC WGII on climate change impacts on streamflow from 1990 to 2007, it is summarized that the First and Second Assessment Reports were regarded as the first generation studies, featuring the impacts of mean climate change on streamflow and the adaptation to it, while the Third and Forth (AR4) Assessment Reports as second generation studies, emphasizing the impacts of anthropogenically forced and natural climate changes on streamflow and the adaptation to them. The progresses and issues in the research methodologies of the impacts of climate change on hydrology and water resources are analyzed.

在回顾IPCC于1990—2007年4次关于气候变化对径流影响的评估报告进展的基础上,将第一次与第二次评估报告归纳为第一代——以气候均值变化对径流影响及其适应为主要特征;第三次与第四次评估报告为第二代——突出人为气候变化与自然气候变异对径流影响及其适应问题,分析了常规的气候变化对水文水资源影响评估方法的发展过程及存在的问题。

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