机率

This course includes descriptive statistics, probability distribution, sampling distribution, statistical estimation, hypothesis testing, analysis of variance, chi-square tests, simple linear regression, multiple regression, and nonparametric statistics.

本课程内容包括叙述统计、机率分配、抽样分配、统计估计、统计假设检定、变异数分析、卡方检定、简单线性廻归、复廻归、无母数统计。

The first stage is screen experiment. A 24-1 Fractional Factorial Design and resolution IV experiment is used to find out which main effect and interaction effect have obvious influence on the precision positioning of feeding table by these four factors. The Minitab program including Half Normal Plot, Pareto Chart, and ANOVA is applied to diagnose obvious effects. The second stage is optimization experiment. The fitness of regression model is obtained by using CCD of RSM with statistical hypothesis testing, regression analysis, lack-of-fit testing, and residual analysis. The optimum values can be found out by using response surface plot and contour plot.

在第一阶段为筛选实验采用24-1部分因子实验，解析度为IV，求出这4个因子主效应及交互作用哪些会对进给平台定位精度有显著的影响，在分析方面使用统计软体Minitab做初步分析，应用了半常态机率图、柏拉图与变异数分析来判断出显著因子与交互效应显著，第二阶段优化实验采用反应曲面法的中央合成设计，搭配统计检定、回归分析、缺适性检定(Lack-of-Fit)、残差分析来取决回归模式之合适性，最后根据反应曲面图及等高线图求出最佳值做验证实验。

This paper examines whether or not stock return responds asymmetrically to monetary policy shocks. We use over-night rate volatility to measure monetary policy and apply Component-GARCH-Constant Jump and ARJI-Trend model to capture expected and unexpected effects of government's monetary policy on the stock return in American, Canada, Japan, and Britain. Considering the non-normality features of these assets returns, this paper use skewed student t distribution to estimate the relationship between the permanent and transitory components of the conditional variance and the frequency and intensity of jump of stock return.

本文探讨货币政策对於股市报酬之影响，选取货币政策代理变数－金融业隔夜拆款利率在分别采用Component-GARCH-Constant Jump与ARJI-Trend模型，并同时考量报酬率呈现非常态之特性，因此采用偏态t分配(skewed student t-distribution)进行估计条件变异数的恒常与移转部份及跳跃机率与跳跃频率，以捕捉政府实施预期及非预期的货币政策对股市报酬的影响，分析在预期及非预期的货币政策冲击下对股市的影响是否存在不同之效果。

As a result, their probability of success is significantly increased.

由于他们的成功机率则大为增加。

Maternal smoking doubles the risk of Sudden Infant Death Syndrome.

孕妇吸烟会使其婴儿发生猝死综合症的机率加倍。

Once the supercontinent is built,plate tectonics may enter a period of inactivity as the rate of subductiondrops by an order of magnitude.

超级大陆一旦形成，板块构造可能会进入不活跃期，俯冲的机率也会大大下降。

After the moment of calm function, the main differences between emergency logistic and commercial logistic were eliminated, so the performer of logistic system can be transitioned to the third cooperation. In term of the thoughts of cross-dock operation, a supplying web of emergency logistic special to the moment of starting up was designed by utilizing a configuration of tabularization.

按照越库作业的思想，采用扁平化的结构设计了专用于启动阶段的应急物流供应网络，它由应急物流中心、物资中转站与需求中心三类设施组成，通过该网络配送应急物资可以在尽量减少货物流转环节同时降低无用物资进入应急物流系统的机率，达到应急物流快速响应、满足需要等作业目标的要求。

Probability of Stellar Occultation by KBOs in the TAOS Project.

估计在中美掩星计画中古柏带星体遮掩到背景恒星的机率。

So what are the true odds of our having to make a payout during the policy's term?

大家一定会问在保单有效期间我们最后真正必须支付理赔的机率到底有多大？？

A 46-year-old woman, known to have radiation enteritis with chronic diarrhea and associated malabsorption syndrome, presented to the outpatient department complaining of severe tingling of recent onset in her hands and feet. The patient had a past history of hypocalcemic tetany 18months previously, but serum calcium had since remained normal on therapy with 1α-hydroxycholecalciferol, 0.75μg daily, plus oral calcium supplements.

您好。。。想请问医生，我在以前就有胃痛的症状〈大约3年了〉，曾经有中医师跟我说我这是季节性胃炎，后来换了工作之后，胃痛的机率比较少了，我就没那么在意这件事了，但是，在这近几个月来，胃痛的症状又开始出现，但是，说痛它也没有那么痛，就好象是闷闷的痛，而且不只是闷痛，有时还觉得人有点晕晕的，因此，想请问医生这是什么症状呢？

She gently rebuff ed him, but agreed that they could be friends

她婉言拒绝了，但同意作为朋友相处。

If in the penal farm, you were sure to be criticized.

要是在劳改农场，你等着挨绳子吧！