实物

On the basis of first and second part, the third part discussed the methods application in the strategic investment case, validating the evaluating method of compound real-options is practicably in the investment decision under uncertainty.

第三部分是对于组合实物期权评估方法的案例分析。论文将组合实物期权评估方法应用于以ABC公司战略性投资为背景的案例中，验证了组合实物期权评估方法在不确定条件下投资决策中所具有的实用性。

Then it analyses the suitableness and limitation of both the traditional methods and real options methods. Furthermore, it compared real options methods with the traditional ones, and points out the advantages of real options methods in high-tech enterprise evaluation.

接下来分析了传统估值方法和实物期权方法的适用性和局限性，并将实物期权法与传统评估方法进行比较分析，指出了实物期权法在高科技企业价值评估中的优势。

At the end of the paper, summed the present condition of real options applying to vestment investment decision in our country, considered that we should be urgent to promote the real options. Finally, this paper gave the outlook for the real options theories' application in our country.

论文的末尾，对实物期权方法在我国风险投资决策中的应用现状再次作了总结，认为实物期权理论在我国的应用工作已是刻不容缓，最后，对实物期权理论在我国的应用前景作了展望。

This shortens the distance between theoretical triggering value and practical value and thus unifies the situations in McDonald and Siegel (1986), Dixit and Pindyck (1994), Boyarchenko (2004). Forth, the idea of dynamic real options is introduced in order to overcome the drawback of static assumption in traditional theory.

第四，针对传统实物期权隐含假设投资前后市场条件不变的静态缺陷，引入动态实物期权的思路，并以实物期权的持有成本为例建立了相应的模型，发现持有成本和跳跃因素共同影响触发价值，甚至可能使触发价值下降到低于传统NPV原则下的触发价值。

Observing the incontinuity in electricity price, we study the decision theory of real options under jump diffusion processes. We analyze the impacts of jump factor on the triggering value in optimal timing of investment. We also try to extend the traditional theory of real options based on the changes of market conditions and investment behavior of investor. At last, the numerical methods are discussed.

本文以包含不连续变化因素的电力价格为对象，系统研究跳跃扩散过程下的实物期权决策理论，从理论和现实关系考察不连续变化因素对诱发投资最优时刻触发价值的影响，尝试在结合市场条件动态变化及投资者投资行为的基础上对传统实物期权理论进行扩展，最后分析了实物期权的数值计算方法。

With a background of heated gold investment, most new passionate investors came into the market without simply understanding the gold investment. This made many investors lost their capital when first stepped into the market. In addition, many gold exchange types are specialized in enlarging guarantee sum. Compared with investment in stock market, investors who invested in types characterized in enlarging guarantee sum would likely to face more risks and challenges. Those risks could enlarge investors' one-year loss in stock market to one-day loss in gold market. Nowadays, Chinese gold market can be differentiated into material gold market, paper gold market, in-stock gold and future gold market. Because of the enlarging system in international gold market, investors may lose to the bottom in one day if he or she chose a guarantee sum dealer with an highly enlarging system. Of course, this is an ultimate example. In gold market, the type with the least risk is material gold, such as gold memorative silver coin, material piece of gold and gold brick. Material gold investment enjoyed its popularity among middle or large cities located in the middle and eastern part of China.

在黄金投资火热的背后，是大部分新入市投资者盲目的热情，由于对黄金投资缺乏了解，很多投资者入市即被套，而且很多黄金交易品种具备保证金放大效应，和在股市投资相比，投资者炒作保证金放大品种进行投资，往往需要面对高额风险，这种风险可以使投资者在股市中一年时间遭受的损失在一天内就提现出来，现在国内黄金市场主要分为实物黄金市场、纸黄金市场、黄金现货、黄金期货市场，其中国际黄金现货市场由于存在高度放大机制，如果投资者选择具备高度放大的保证金交易商，经常会出现一天内就会血本无归的情况，当然，这是极端的情况，黄金市场中，风险最小的是实物黄金，例如黄金纪念金银币、实物金条、金砖，实物黄金投资在中东部地区大中城市比较流行。

With a background of heated gold investment, most new passionate investors came into the market without simply understanding the gold investment. This made many investors lost their capital when first stepped into the market. In addition, many gold exchange types are specialized in enlarging guarantee sum. Compared with investment in stock market, investors who invested in types characterized in enlarging guarantee sum would likely to face more risks and challenges. Those risks could enlarge investors' one-year loss in stock market to one-day loss in gold market. Nowadays, Chinese gold market can be differentiated into material gold market, paper gold market, in-stock gold and future gold market. Because of the enlarging system in international gold market, investors may lose to the bottom in one day if he or she chose a guarantee sum dealer with an highly enlarging system. Of course, this is an ultimate example. In gold market, the type with the least risk is material gold, such as gold memorative silver coin, material piece of gold and gold brick. Material gold investment enjoyed its popularity among middle or large cities located in the middle and eastern part of China.

在黄金投资火热的背后，是大部分新入市投资者盲目的热情，由于对黄金投资缺乏了解，很多投资者入市即被套，而且很多黄金交易品种具备保证金放大效应，和在股市投资相比，投资者炒作保证金放大品种进行投资，往往需要面对高额风险，这种风险可以使投资者在股市中一时间遭受的损失在一天内就提现出来，现在国内黄金市场主要分为实物黄金市场、纸黄金市场、黄金现货、黄金期货市场，其中国际黄金现货市场由于存在高度放大机制，如果投资者选择具备高度放大的保证金交易商，经常会出现一天内就会血本无归的情况，当然，这是极端的情况，黄金市场中，风险最小的是实物黄金，例如黄金纪念金银币、实物金条、金砖，实物黄金投资在中东部地区大中城市比较流行。

With a background of heated gold investment, most new passionate investors came into the market without simply understanding the gold investment. This made many investors lost their capital when first stepped into the market. In addition, many gold exchange types are specialized in enlarging guarantee sum. Compared with investment in stock market, investors who invested in types characterized in enlarging guarantee sum would likely to face more risks and challenges. Those risks could enlarge investors' one-year loss in stock market to one-day loss in gold market. Nowadays, Chinese gold market can be differentiated into material gold market, paper gold market, in-stock gold and future gold market. Because of the enlarging system in international gold market, investors may lose to the bottom in one day if he or she chose a guarantee sum dealer with an highly enlarging system. Of course, this is an ultimate example. In gold market, the type with the least risk is material gold, such as gold memorative silver coin, material piece of gold and gold brick. Material gold investment enjoyed its popularity among middle or large cities located in the middle and eastern part ofChina.

在黄金投资火热的背后，是大部分新入市投资者盲目的热情，由于对黄金投资缺乏了解，很多投资者入市即被套，而且很多黄金交易品种具备保证金放大效应，和在股市投资相比，投资者炒作保证金放大品种进行投资，往往需要面对高额风险，这种风险可以使投资者在股市中一年时间遭受的损失在一天内就提现出来，现在国内黄金市场主要分为实物黄金市场、纸黄金市场、黄金现货、黄金期货市场，其中国际黄金现货市场由于存在高度放大机制，如果投资者选择具备高度放大的保证金交易商，经常会出现一天内就会血本无归的情况，当然，这是极端的情况，黄金市场中，风险最小的是实物黄金，例如黄金纪念金银币、实物金条、金砖，实物黄金投资在中东部地区大中城市比较流行。

Therefore, it can be regarded as a great improvement of the investment decision-making theory and methods .This article makes a systematic research on real options theory and method and its application, including the following several main aspects:Firstly, it makes a detailed discussion about the common theoretical basis of financial options and real options, including no-arbitrage equilibrium principle, risk-neutral definition, complete market and dynamic tracking.Secondly, it analyze three basic characteristic of investment decision-making in modern market economic system: irreversibility, uncertainty and flexibility, and from the angle of their mutual quantitative and qualitative interactions, it makes a comparison between the traditional NPV methods and real options methods and makes a summary of the general analytical methods of real options.Thirdly, it discusses the all elements in the application of real options such as the ^leakages in value of real assets, basis risk, and private risk, and furthermore, it attempts to put forth a normalized strategy of its application and construct a basic framework of its application.Fourthly, it applies real options theory to strategetic investment of enterprises and the buy-out of company, putting forth a value model for strategetic investment program and making a concrete analysis of its application to buy-out. Furthermore, it advocates that a flexible investment decision-making system should be setup according to real options theory in our country.

本文对实物期权理论和方法及其应用进行了系统研究，主要内容包括如下几个方面：(1)详细讨论了金融期权和实物期权共同的理论基础，主要包括无套利均衡原理、风险中性定义、完全市场以及动态复制方法，对这些理论方法的探讨既是本文的出发点和基础，它们提供了研究实际应用实物期权的一个基准点，也是贯穿全文的线索和灵魂；(2)分析了现代市场经济体系中投资决策的三个基本特征即不可逆性、不确定性和时机选择，并从它们数量上和质量上相互作用的重要意义的角度，分析了传统的净现值法与实物期权方法的差异，指出了净现值法在不确定环境中存在的缺陷及实物期权处理投资灵活性的价值，并将净现值法纳入实物期权投资分析决策体系当中，总结了企业投资决策实物期权的一般分析方法；(3)探讨了实物期权应用中要考虑的各种要素，如实物资产的价值漏损、基差风险和非市场风险等，并进一步提出了实物期权应用的规范化策略和构建了一个实际应用实物期权方法的基本框架，尝试将期权的基本原理与企业在现实经济环境中投资决策的要素结合起来，从而可以在一定程度上超越期权的复杂的数学计算而汲取期权思想的精华，从而促进期权决策方法在实际投资决策中的应用；(4)将实物期权方法应用于企业战略投资，得出了战略投资项目的价值模型，指出可以将实物期权理论和方法应用于企业并购，分析了应用的具体方面，并提出应根据实物期权理论建立一套适合我国企业的灵活的投资决策系统。

And to the problems of special distribution of underlying assets, this paper analyzes the price movement of the underlying assets from the arrival of information, the market efficiency and the market mechanism which decide the price. It also studies the problem of real option pricing when the underlying assets follow the pure jump Poisson, mixed jump-diffusion Merton and mean-reversion model, and obtains the price formula or partial differential equation to price and hedge the real option.

对实物资产的特殊价值分布问题，本文从决定资产价格的市场机制、信息到达方式及市场效率三方面来分析实物资产的价格变动特征；并重点研究当基本资产遵循纯跳跃Poisson过程、跳跃扩散Merton过程及均值回复过程时的实物期权定价问题，运用复制定价和随机动态规划方法，得到确定实物期权价值和风险对冲策略的偏微分方程。

Finally, according to market conditions and market products this article paper analyzes the trends in the development of camera technology, and designs a color night vision camera.

最后根据市场情况和市面上产品的情况分析了摄像机技术的发展趋势，并设计了一款彩色夜视摄像机。

Only person height weeds and the fierce looks stone idles were there.

只有半人深的荒草和龇牙咧嘴的神像。