地震活动度

Seismicity trend before the earthquake was forecasted according to seismicity feature and commensurable characteristics of strong earthquake activities of Sichuan and Yunnan areas.Since Oct., 1995, a lot of kinds of the anomalies with large amplitude, such as radon and CO2 contents in groundwater and groundwater level etc.synchronized in a wide range of western Yunnan, especially along Zhongdian—Nanjian seismic area. The characteristics of these short-term anomalies are introduced and analysed.

根据川滇地区地震活动特征和可公度性计算结果，在该次地震前对地震大形势进行了预测。1995年10月以后，滇西北地区出现了大面积、大幅度、多手段的同步异常，其中以水氡、水位和CO2异常为主，沿中甸─南涧地震区分布较为集中。

Based on systematic analysis, nine seismometry parameters that response earthquakes well in North China are selected, which are seismic frequency, seismicity scale, mf-value, b-value, D-value,η-value, seismicity intensity entropy and seismicity time entropy. Using synthetic anomaly index method, we calculated their seismic anomaly index values separately and synthesized these values into a chronogenesis curve. After studying its short-term anomaly characteristics to earthquakes, the criterion index for M≥5.8 earthquakes in North China is obtained. The R-value test indicts that it has good prediction effect.

在系统分析并筛选出华北地区地震频度、地震活动标度、mf值、调制比、b值、D值、η值、地震活动强度熵和地震活动时间熵等映震较好的9项测震学参数基础上，应用综合异常指数方法，分别计算了它们各自的地震异常指数时序值，进而合成得到华北地区测震学综合异常指数时序曲线，通过研究其地震短期异常特征，给出了华北地区M≥5.8地震短期综合预测的判据指标，经R值评分检验表明，该指标具有较好的地震预测效能。

"Seismicity at almost all scales is absent from most faults, before any large earthquake on that fault; the San Andreas Fault in Southern California is remarkably somnolent at all magnitudes on the section that tore in the 1857 earthquake."

"大地震在某个断层发生之前，几乎所有标度的地震活动性都存在于大部分断层之外；地震活动性在南加利福尼亚州San Andreas断层上1857年被扯断的那一段前处于一种引人注目的催眠状态。"

As she looked at Warrington's manly face, and dark, melancholy eyes, she had settled in her mind that he must have been the victim of an unhappy attachment.

每逢看到沃林顿那刚毅的脸，那乌黑、忧郁的眼睛，她便会相信，他一定作过不幸的爱情的受害者。

Maybe they'll disappear into a pothole.

也许他们将在壶穴里消失