回归年

"Handover" is a very important day for Hong Kong and Macau, there is a lot of different celebrations on the day of "handover". 2008 is the year between the decennial of Hong Kong and Macau.

"回归"对於港澳市民是一个十分重要的日子，每年都有不同的庆典来庆祝回归纪念日。2008年刚好是在香港和澳门回归十周年之间的一年。

In 2008,one year before the decennial, we are going to introspect and memorize, to express the culture and life style before and after handover. Invited artists from Hong Kong and Macau are getting between our daily life and think about the changes and affections which handover brings to us, and the development of a city which is often challenging human's culture, so as to show artist's notion of live and city development.

在2008年…澳门回归十周年前的一年，作一个反思和回想，以艺术作品表达艺术家对于回归前后的文化与生活模式的表现；展览邀请香港及本地艺术家以不同的方式介入我们的日常生活，思考回归对我们的生活影响与实质的改变，以及经常挑战着人类文化的城市发展，呈现艺术家对生活与城市发展的想法。

In 1997 when the Hong Kong returns to the motherland, Red Rose Brand bone china is specified the dinnerware of the mansion of chief executive of Hong Kong.

品牌知名度最高："红玫瑰"牌骨质瓷以悠久的历史，一流的质量，良好的信誉，香飘四海，在消费者中享有盛誉，被誉为中国骨瓷第一品牌。1997年，"红玫瑰"牌骨质瓷被选定为香港回归行政长官官邸用瓷。1999年被选定为澳门回归行政长官官邸用瓷；被选定为中华人民共和国建国五十周年天安门城楼庆典用瓷，并被选定为中南海专用词。

The results demonstrate that: ARMA(1,1) model,auto-regressive model with GDP as exogenous variable,auto-regressive model with policy as exogenous dummy variable,and logarithm linearity and removal average model are all valid models for forecasting tax revenue.

结果表明：ARMA(1，1)模型中，以GDP为外生变量的自回归模型、以政策因素为虚拟外生变量的自回归模型以及对数线性移动平均模型都是预测税收收入的有效模型，但以GDP为外生变量的自回归模型在预测2005年税收收入时，预测值与实际值的预测偏差仅有1。

Using successive regression and GIS technique, the regression equations of the precipitation and the topographical data in the upper-middle reaches of Yangtze River are established based on the 10 years daily、 mensal and annual precipitation of 613 meteorological stations, from 1992 to 2001. The topographical data include the elevation, aspect and slope form DEM of 4km resolution.

本文首先利用逐步回归和地理信息技术，最新的长江中上游613个气象站，1992～2001年10年降水资料，建立了日、月、年降水与4km分辨率的DEM高程、坡向、坡度等地形数据的回归方程，将降水量中地形影响部分分离出来。

And There was no serious complication;②In the course ofinterventional therapy, Direct portal vein angiography demonstrated vena coronaria ventriculi(100%)andgastricveins(65.26%)andvenagastricaposterior38.43%, Angiography demonstrated venacoronariaventriculi communicate esophagus varicose veins, gastric veins and vena gastrica posterior communicategastric varicose veins. vena coronaria ventriculi had only a small percentage of double vein, about30.57%. The sites of vena coronaria ventriculi arising from the portal vein, splenic vein, portosplenic junction, were found in 52.06%、27.39%、20.55% respectively.③12 extrahepaticprotosystemic shunts were found in these patients. Include gastro-nephrosshuntof 3 cases, 7 caseswere splenetic- nephros shunt and 2 cases shown recanalization of umbilical vein .④The averageportal pressure before and after the procedure were 3.87±1.82kPa and 3.64±1.14kPa in 73patients, but to the time of rebleeding, it was 3.96±0.23kPa in the 11 cases.⑤There werethree kinds of variceal outcome: disappearance (54,low degree (19).⑥Spearman logisticanalyse and ANOVAtest shown liver function class, variceal degree of the splenic necrosis area,the blood direction in portal vein before operation and remain small collateral routes were thesignificant factors concerning outcome of varices.⑦The bleeding volume and portalhypertensive gastropathy are main risk factors of rebleeding.⑧The course of livercirrhosis is the risk factor of survival and extrahepatic portosystemic shunt , fine varices are thebeneficial factors to survival.⑨During all cases'followed-up data, the 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 yearcumulative survival rates and rebleeding rates were 17.81%, 28.77%, 38.36%, 43.84%, 47.95%and93.15%,91.78%,86.30%,83.56%,80.82%respectively. Conclusion The interventional disconnection treatment for liver cirrhosis and portalhypertension was designed suitability. It rapidlycontrol bleeding,butpressure of portal vein was notobvious high, perfusion was not low .it was compared with surgery therapeutic that interventionaldisconnection treatment was safe and had a significant clinical effect to hemorrhage and preventfrom rebleeding.

结果：①术后一过性发热62例(84.9%)，腹痛腹胀48例(65.8%)是介入断流术常见的并发症，未发生严重并发症；②门静脉造影显示胃冠状静脉、胃短静脉和胃后静脉的曲张分流的出现率是100%、65.26%和38.34%；显示食管静脉曲张主要由胃冠状静脉供血，胃静脉曲张主要由胃短静脉和胃后静脉供血；胃冠状静脉大多数为单支，少数为双支，其双支的出现率分别为30.57%；胃冠状静脉开口于门静脉主干的为52.06%，开口于脾静脉主干的为27.39%和开口于门脾静脉交汇处的为20.55%；③发现胃肾分流3例，脾肾分流7例、腹膜后门腔静脉分流2例，以及CTA检查发现脐静脉开放者2例；④73例患者介入断流术前和术后平均自由门静脉压力分别为3.87±1.82kpa和3.64±1.14kpa，前后比较存在显著性差异；11例再次介入手术患者的术前、术后和复发后的自由门静脉压力分别为4.02±0.24kpa、3.82±0.25kpa和3.93±0.23kpa ，前后比较发现首次术前与术后存在显著性差异，首次术前和复发出血术前门静脉压力比较无显著性差异；⑤介入术后复查曲张静脉转归基本消失54例，轻度19例；⑥Spearman相关分析和Logistic多因素回归分析，肝功能分级、静脉曲张程度、门脉血流方向和残存小侧支四个因素对曲张静脉转归有影响；Spearman相关分析和Logistic多因素回归分析门脉高压性胃病和出血量等因素对复发出血时间有影响；⑦COX回归分析，门体分流和曲张静脉转归两个因素对术后生存有影响；⑧术后随访6-70月，1、2、3、4、5年的累计复发出血率和累计生存率分别为17.81%、28.77%、38.36%、43.84%、47.95%和93.15%、91.78%、86.30%、83.56%、80.82%；结论：介入断流术治疗门脉高压食管胃底静脉曲张有独特的优点，可以快速直接控制曲张静脉出血而门静脉压力无显著增高，保证了肝脏灌注；与外科分流术相比适应证广、损伤轻、术后恢复快，不易遗漏曲张静脉；肝功能分级、曲张静脉程度、门脉血流方向和残存侧支血管对食管胃曲张静脉转归有影响；门脉高压性胃病对复发出血时间有影响；门体分流和曲张静脉转归对生存时间有影响。

Using logistic and linear regression, we modeled the probability of transition from EM in 2005 to TM in 2006 in relation to medication use status at baseline.

应用logistic回归和线性回归分析，我们模拟了从2005年的EM到2006年的TM转化的概率，这种转化与基线的药物使用状况有关。

This study conducted a secondary data analysis based on the data from 1999 Survey of Health and Living Status of the Middle Aged and the Elderly in Taiwan, provided by the Bureau of Health Promotion, Department of Health, R.O.C.. The study subjects were elders over 65 years old, and the number of valid samples was 2890. The data were analyzed with descriptive statistics, one-way ANOVA, Chi-square test(X2), Independent-Samples t-test, point biserial correlation, the Pearson product-moment correlation, logistic regression analysis, multiple regression analysis and hierarchical regression analysis.

本研究乃是使用行政院卫生署国民健康局人口与健康调查研究中心执行之「台湾地区中老年身心社会生活状况长期追踪调查系列」1999年调查资料进行次级资料分析，研究样本为年满六十五岁以上之高龄者，有效样本数为2890人，针对所得的资料，以描述统计、单因子变异数分析、卡方检定、独立样本t检定、点二系列相关、皮尔森积差相关、逻辑回归、多元回归分析及阶层回归分析等统计方法进行分析。

The steps are: deciding the analogy objects and their parameters to be analogized,breaking out production composition s based on the whole production data during the past years and the production data of individual wells that are put into production in those years,achieving the quantitative forecasting models.

方法一的回归参数为产量构成法求出的参照对象在历年的措施增油量，从而直接预测项目对象在后几年的措施增油量；方法二则通过两个回归参数(产量构成法求出的参照对象历年的总产量和自然产量)间接预测项目对象在后几年的措施增油量。

Based on data of per mu yield of spring-sown soybean and of cli-mate in Hengyang from 1975 to 1981,the tendency yields are estimatedfirst by the method of orthogonal polynomial regression,and then by theFisher's integral regression equation for the out-tendency yields andclimatic factors in this city.

依据1975～1981年衡阳市的气象资料和春大豆亩产量资料，首先用正交多项式回归方法估计了趋势产量，然后用费希尔积分回归模式和逐步回归方法计算出了该市气候因子和离趋势产量间的积分回归公式。

The split between the two groups can hardly be papered over.

这两个团体间的分歧难以掩饰。

This approach not only encourages a greater number of responses, but minimizes the likelihood of stale groupthink.

这种做法不仅鼓励了更多的反应，而且减少跟风的可能性。