后验的

Using the Bayes's theory about a estimate,the article researches the problem of probability change points,then gives a concrete priori distribution and posterior distribution,as well as gives a judge to the existence of probability change points.

利用Bayes估计理论，研究概率变点问题，给出变点的一个具体先验分布和后验分布，并对变点的存在性作出判断。

In Chapter 5, we obtain the Bayes estimations of regression coefficient under the balanced loss posterior risk by the three kinds of experiential distributions about the parameters.

第5章就线性回归模型在平衡损失后验风险下，针对参数服从三种不同的先验分布，分别得到平衡损失下的Bayes估计。

In the basis of Bayes principle, the linearized Zoeppritz equation and convolution model are applied to obtain the posterior probability density of the lithology model.

在贝叶斯原理的基础上，通过Zoeppritz方程简化公式及褶积模型建立反演参数的后验概率模型。

According to the characteristics of large scale systems, a fuzzy fault diagnosis algorithm based on digraph models is proposed.

基于最大后验概率准则的复杂系统多故障诊断推理算法依赖于系统先验故障概率的获取。

The uncertainties of the parameter estimation are analysed in terms of the posterior probability distributions of inversion results.

最后利用参数的后验概率分析反演结果的不确定性。

Because the MCMC method is efficient in dealing with problems of high dimension, likelihood function and posterior distribution. In this paper, we will estimate parameters in models by MCMC method.

由于MCMC方法在解决SV模型中的高维分布参数估计以及求解似然函数和后验分布都更加有效，因此本文利用MCMC方法估计模型中的参数。

Using the posterior distribution, we analyzed the influence of a particular datum as well as the data of one individual, on the estimates of the parameters.

我们在第三章采用分层模型思想，导出了效应参数的后验分布，并以这一分布为基础讨论了混合效应模型的Bayes局部影响分析。

It has been found that the MCMC approaches can estimate and derive the posterior joint probability distribution of the model parameters properly.

采用基于实测流量资料估计的置信区间可靠性作为评判标准，实验结果表明：就SMAR模型而言，MCMC方法能够更好地推求模型参数的后验分布。

The result indicated that the degree of influence to the reliability of existing structure in the order high to low are resistant force decreasing, resistant force posterior distribution and live load.

计算结果表明，影响既有结构可靠度的三个主要因素中，其显著性程度按照由高到低的次序是：抗力衰减、抗力后验分布、活荷载取值。

The results demonstrate that SCEM-UA algorithm is well suited to infer the posterior distribution of Xinanjiang model parameters. The results of calibration and validation indicate that it is a feasible and effective for optimization and uncertainty assessment of Xinanjiang model parameters.

结果表明，该算法能很好地推出新安江模型参数的后验概率分布；率定和检验结果比较分析也表明，应用SCEM-UA算法对新安江模型进行优选和不确定评估是有效和可行的。

The split between the two groups can hardly be papered over.

这两个团体间的分歧难以掩饰。

This approach not only encourages a greater number of responses, but minimizes the likelihood of stale groupthink.

这种做法不仅鼓励了更多的反应，而且减少跟风的可能性。