可预测的

This model considers the effects of wall damage, fracture face damage, variation of fracture conductivity with position and time, heterogeneity and anisotropism, elastic expansion energy on production performance of fractured well. According to this model, a se...

实例计算表明，提供的模型和方法及研制的软件既可用于预测油田压裂前后的生产动态和压裂后的增产效果，又可用于压裂井水力压裂方案的优化设计。

According to the result of the overall planning of containable utilization of water resource of Shandong Province during the initial period of 21-centrury and the planning of urban water resource of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project of Shandong Province and combining with the situation of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project and through ample investigation and analysis, the paper evaluates comprehensively the quality and quantity of water resource of Shandong Province and points out the mail

摘要本报告根据《21世纪初期山东省水资源可持续利用总体规划》和《山东省南水北调城市水资源规划》成果，结合南水北调工程情况，通过大量调查分析，全面评估了山东省水资源的质和量；指出了开发利用和管理方面存在的主要问题；科学分析和预测了不同规划水平年、不同保证率情况下的山东水资源供需状况；根据经济社会可持续发展对水的需求，从水资源开发、利用、治理、配置、节约和保护六个方面进行了全面系统的分析，提出了解决山东省水资源紧缺的基本思路、目标、任务和要求。

From the starting value selection method in the Fuzzy ISODATA algorithm, used the method of maximal matrix element to ascertain the number of classification, the theoretical analysis of repeated test, and finally, the improved fuzzy ISODATA algorithm is obtained. The algorithm reduced sensitivity to the starting value. The algorithm can highly effective clustering analyze and obtains a stable result, so it presents an efficient way of improving the contribution value of custom service.

研究中先对模糊ISODATA聚类演算法中，初始划分矩阵和分类数的确定，并使用最大矩阵元素法，求得最佳化演算法中其他参数值，最后在CRM系统实际验证和分析中，采用本研究改良之模糊ISODATA聚类演算法，对汽车销售公司实施客户模组分类，经实验证明所得到的聚类结果，可有效解决一般聚类方法受限於参数设定敏感度的困扰，并使聚类精确度提高，有效排除杂讯敏感的影响，使聚类效果大幅提升，可帮助行销人员做出预测，制订出针对客户差异化的行销策略，提高客户服务的贡献价值。

Software, and simulated by Monte Carlo method. The simulation results are conducted by descriptive statistics. Two "drop-in" assembly design lens groups were studied to calculate the stack-up element tilt and decenter within a cell and the resultant deviations of the optical axes away from the mechanical datum axis. The results indicate that the opto-mechanical tolerance model can analyze the critical to quality parameters of a lens system. As a result, the performance of the lens system can be anticipated by the opto-mechanical tolerance model before mass production.

戊n体编辑，并以蒙地卡罗方法模拟，模拟结果以叙述统计呈现；最后以两个"投入式"组立设计的镜群组为案例，计算镜片在镜筒内的累积偏心角度公差、偏心距离公差及镜片光学轴的累计偏移量，其结果显示该模型可模拟一个镜头系统的关键品质参数；所以，镜头系统的性能在大量生产之前可藉本光机公差模拟模型预测其品质与良率。

Compared the subordinacy degree of water resource bearing capacity from 2010,there is a reduction to the subordinacy degree of V1 level , there is a increase to the

从研究的结果来看，将模糊综合评判法应用于河北省水资源承载力分析是可行的，它能为河北省国民经济社会发展、生态环境保护等问题的研究提供量化的预测和优化手段，可为今后如何对河北省进行水资源可持续利用研究提供一定的参考和借鉴。

The effect of flow rates, initial concentrations, resin bed heights, its height/ diameter ratios and temperature on breakthrough curves of sulfuric acid/2-naphthalenesulphonic acid, 2-naphthalenesulphonic acid/sulfurous acid and sulfuric acid/ 2-naphthalenesulphonic acid/sulfurous acid systems was investigated. Excellent agreement was obtained between experimental data and the suggested breakthrough data model, with which the breakthrough curves can be accurately predicted for multi-component adsorptive separation in resin bed, the experiment of adsorptive separation may be scaled up, and the plant may be designed.

考察了流速，初始浓度，床层高度，床层高径比，温度等因素对硫酸-2-萘磺酸，2-萘磺酸-亚硫酸和硫酸-2-萘磺酸-亚硫酸等混合体系穿透曲线的影响，所建立的穿透曲线模型与实验结果拟合较好，模型可较准确预测多组分吸附分离的穿透曲线，可用于指导吸附分离实验的放大以及装置的设计。

Software, and simulated by Monte Carlo method. The simulation results are conducted by descriptive statistics. Two "drop-in" assembly design lens groups were studied to calculate the stack-up element tilt and decenter within a cell and the resultant deviations of the optical axes away from the mechanical datum axis. The results indicate that the opto-mechanical tolerance model can analyze the critical to quality parameters of a lens system. As a result, the performance of the lens system can be anticipated by the opto-mechanical tolerance model before mass production.

戊n体编辑，并以蒙地卡罗方法模拟，模拟结果以叙述统计呈现；最后以两个&投入式&组立设计的镜群组为案例，计算镜片在镜筒内的累积偏心角度公差、偏心距离公差及镜片光学轴的累计偏移量，其结果显示该模型可模拟一个镜头系统的关键品质参数；所以，镜头系统的性能在大量生产之前可藉本光机公差模拟模型预测其品质与良率。

A successful analytical approach is conducted effectively by manipulating the "Dytran" software to simulate the phenomenon of plane shock wave impulse on metal boards, not only the cost and risk of experiments are reduced, but also the strain status is foreknown.

本研究中成功的发展出Dytran程式模拟震波冲击金属板的分析方法及有效模拟，除可减少实验的风险及成本，也可提早预测金属板受震波冲击的应变状况。

Under experimental results of wax deposition and phase change, the mechanical characteristics of fluids flowing through porous media and the relevant physicochemical problem were all summed up as solving the gas-liquid-solid coupling mathematical model. After considering the phase change action between condensate gas and condensate liquid, wax deposition interlarded with interfacial drag force and capillary pressure engendered in the process of phase change. Numerical simulation results proved that the flow resistance increased and the production output decreased owing to wax deposition.

在蜡沉积变相态渗流实验和渗流数学模型的研究基础上，引入蜡沉积数学模型、考虑毛管力和表面张力的相对渗透率模型等，建立了相应的多孔介质中气－液－固变相态多相流－固耦合渗流数学模型，数值模拟结果表明，蜡沉积可使都分区域孔隙减少，流动阻力增大，不考虑蜡沉积会对产量预测明显偏大，蜡沉积可使产量下降。

The tracer migration that the tracer concentration continuously injecting into semi-infinite sand column(initialization velocity is zero) and the pollutant continuously enter into aquifer through a discharging well that completely enter into the dive aquifer are two representative groundwater pollution problems ,Then this paper respectively sets above two decided solution problems and the union simulation problem of groundwater and solute as examples, from the question description, the mathematical model selection and determination, the parameters selecting to carry on the value computation, the read-write of attribute data , visualizes by the IDL programs, carries on the numerical simulation and the visualization post-processing to the above groundwater pollution problems, and according to the numerical solution and the solute migration curves, briefly analyzes and predicts the temporal and spatial distribution features and distribution range of contaminant concentration.

然后分别以半无限长沙柱中连续注入示踪剂浓度的运移、污染物通过一完全进入潜水层的排放井连续进入含水层这两个典型地下水污染定解问题及地下水流和水质联合模拟问题为例，从问题描述、数学模型选取确定、参数选取到运用IDL编程进行数值计算、属性数据读写、可视化，对上述地下水污染问题进行数值模拟和可视化的后处理，并根据数值模拟的数值结果和溶质运移曲线，对污染物浓度的分布范围及随时空变化趋势作了简要分析预测。

It has been put forward that there exists single Ball point and double Ball points on the symmetrical connecting-rod curves of equilateral mechanisms.

从鲍尔点的形成原理出发，分析对称连杆曲线上鲍尔点的产生条件，提出等边机构的对称连杆曲线上有单鲍尔点和双鲍尔点。

The factory affiliated to the Group primarily manufactures multiple-purpose pincers, baking kits, knives, scissors, kitchenware, gardening tools and beauty care kits as well as other hardware tools, the annual production value of which reaches US$ 30 million dollars.

集团所属工厂主要生产多用钳、烤具、刀具、剪刀、厨具、花园工具、美容套等五金产品，年生产总值3000万美元，产品价廉物美、选料上乘、质量保证，深受国内外客户的青睐