可预测的

Although the panel logit models verify the effects of the explanatory variables consistently with the theory, the prediction accuracy is not as good as that of neuro fuzzy. In addition to the better out-sample prediction accuracy, neuro fuzzy also provides a more detailed and complicated relationship among the variables through the rule base mid 3-dimension graphics, which could be used for further theory development or modification Overall, the banking crises ca be predictable; however, each country needs different forecasting model. The mapping between the forecasting model mid data set characteristics ca be further developed for the future research.

实证结果显示，虽然Panel Logit之固定效果与随机效果模型皆验证了过去理论上各变数对银行危机之影响方向，但整体而言，其预测准确度并不比类神经模糊好；而类神经模糊除了提供更准确的样本外预测之外，其所建构的规则库与3D图提供较以往更为细腻的变数关系，此关系可作为未来理论发展之基础；整体而言银行危机可以被有效的预测，然而单一国家的预测结果显示不同的国家适用不同的预测工具，没有一项工具能够适用於所有的国家；而资料集属性与预测工具之对应关系可作为未来之研究方向。

AFDX is applied in aviation and spaceflight field more abroad with its unique advantage, but because of its communication model, It can't satisfy the requirement of divinable and low latency of the real-time mission, The research of real-time of AFDX has became a important task, To improve the real-time of the network, the most doable method is to adopt the priority management model. This paper analyzes the issue of packet transmission with different priority; gives the average queue time and stay time of packets with different priority under two queue models and gives the computer simulation.

航空电子全双工交换式以太网以其独有的优势在航空航天等领域的应用不断扩展，但是由于通信模式，无法满足实时任务的可预测性和低延迟等要求，因此，研究AFDX的实时性成为一个重要的课题，为了提高网络的实时性最可行的措施就是采取优先级管理模式，对具有优先级的分组传输问题进行了分析，给出了两种优先级排队模型下，不同优先级分组的平均排队等待时间和平均逗留时间，并进行了计算机仿真。

Because the medical corporations faces a complexity market, and the process of produce is also a complexity system, you must face a lot of puzzle and problem in the process of information, such as inconstant requirement of the customers, quick movement of the market, variety breed and changeable process, incontrollable term of delivery and quality of goods, illogicality of the ability of the software and the excessive expectation of the user. J2EE (Java2 Enterprise Edition) standard, founded by Sun Microsystems in 1999, contains a whole suit of standard and criterion for enterprise level applications. It has many advantages, such as independence of platform, easy expansibility and good security, which makes it very popular in IT industry.

由于药品生产企业面对着一个复杂多变的市场，而药品制造过程本身也是一个复杂的系统，所以其信息化过程中需要面对大量的难题，比如：难以预测的顾客需求和市场的快速变化、不断碰到的品种变化和流程改变、难以控制的交货期限和货物品质、不可调和的软件处理能力和使用者的过高期望等。J2EE（Java2 Enterprise Edition）是Sun公司1999年推出的基于Java的一整套企业应用开发标准和规范，具有跨平台的互操作性、可扩展性、安全性好等特点，迅速得到了业界的广泛支持。

The grey system theory is used to quantitatively predict the container transport volume of the transpacific line .

运用灰色系统理论对太平洋航线集装箱货流量进行定量预测，并结合马尔可夫预测方法对航线运量进行定性分析，达到定量与定性预测相结合的目的，使预测结果更加合理。

After analyzing the characteristic of the software structure system of the expert system for predicting lead—zinc sulphide ore beneficiability, and the difference from the expert system, which is for predicting the other ore beneficiability, the common parts are collected as developing tool of expert system for predicting ore beneficiability.

四、通过分析本硫化铅锌矿矿石可选性预测专家系统的软件结构体系特点及其不同于其它类型矿石可选性预测专家系统的地方，抽取其共同部分形成了矿石可选性预测专家系统的开发工具。

In line with port logistic characteristic of port logistic, the article puts forward throughput capacity combination forecast method, and makes contrast analysis between this method and expectation value, lineal regress and index smoothness.

针对港口物流发展规律及不同预测方法的不同特点，本文提出了基于最优组合预测权重向量的组合预测方法和基于定性、定量预测不同时间效应的时变权重综合预测模型，使最后的预测结果更具有科学性、合理性和可达性。

According to the aspect of collections of the history data, towards the collection or searching instance of the similar typical construction relevant to the pre-estimate construction, the prediction mode can be established in separate way against the ration valuation mode. The prediction-mode formed with fuzzy can be used to issue the cost of pre-construction based on adjoined degree of the typical construction and the proposed-construction. This adjoin degree is established in the engineering characterization list of elements which is established beforehand. With reference to

对于以定额计价模式为主的报价资料预测拟建工程造价的，可采用以模糊数学建立的预测模型，以事先建立的工程特征元素表确定典型工程与拟建工程之间的贴近度，利用预测模型对拟建工程进行报价；对于以工程量清单为主的报价资料拟建工程造价的，可采用以灰色理论为基础的数学工具，以灰色关联度确定工程间贴近程度，结合模糊数学建立的预测模型并利用灰色理论建立相关的预测模型对拟建工程进行报价。

The tree diameter at breast height and crown length can be used to predict the size and location of mean knot diameter in a whorl.A linear mixed model expressed as function of tree and knot variables such as HK、RKD、KD and DBH was used to predict sound knot length,and a log-linear mixed model using RKD and DBH as variables was used to describe loose knot length.4.A knot has four development phases:from the birth of a branch to its growth cessation,from growth cessation to death,form death to occlusion and form birth to occlusion.The numbers of annual rings in four periods,as well as the stem width of respective zones were used as dependent variables predicted by models expressed as function of tree variables and knot attributes.5.Using the data of diameter out side bark of 15 relative heights along the step,the best taper equation for Larix olgensis was established.

节子平均直径可以用以胸径，冠幅和节子高度为参数的舒马克生长方程来预测，用树木胸径和冠长可对每轮节子平均直径的最大值及位置进行预测；健全节长度可用以节子着生高度、相对直径、节子直径以及树木胸径为参数的线性混合模型来预测，疏松节长度采用节子相对直径和胸径为自变量的可转化为线性模型的自然对数模型来预测；4、节子有四个生长发育时期：从枝条形成到生长停止BC从生长停止到死亡(CD从死亡到包藏DO从形成到包藏

So this paper applied Grey forecasting GM (1,1) model and its generated models, the Grey Markov numerical forecasting model and Comprehension model, to develop a net interest margin change forecasting model, a net interest margin forecasting model, a new decision model concerned with commercial bank interest-sensitive assets portfolio and a new expected return decision model of interest-sensitive assets portfolio.

本文以灰预测GM(1，1)模式，以及其衍生之灰马可夫预测模式与内涵模式，构建新的净利息边际变动率预测模式、净利息边际金额预测模式、利率敏感性资产投资组合最适配置决策模式与利率敏感性资产投资组合最适配置预期报酬率决策模式等利率敏感性缺口管理预测模式。

The paper discusses on the computer〈 assistant discretion of punishment system〉 basic theory: construct the equal surveyor' s staff to measure the extent of injury according to the law, describe the complex case' discretion of punishment system perfect, set up new scientific methods to evaluate the criminal duty degree, offer the fittest logic way to the discretion of punishment, result in a reasonable discretion of punishment suggestion report, which could avoid the deviation in discretion of punishment, realize the fairness, clarity of the discretion of punishment and high efficiency in litigation, and thus the sentence of the special case is predicable and could be validated repeatedly.

本文论述电脑《辅助量刑系统》的基本原理：依法构建衡量危害危险程度的公正标尺，完善描述复杂案情的量刑情节体系，独创评价刑事责任程度的科学方法，提出求解量刑最佳适度的逻辑思路，生成充分说理的量刑建议论证报告书，能够避免量刑偏差，实现量刑的公正性、透明性和诉讼高效，从而使特定案件的宣告刑具有可预测性和重复验证性。

With Death guitarist Schuldiner adopting vocal duties, the band made a major impact on the scene.

随着死亡的吉他手Schuldiner接受主唱的职务，乐队在现实中树立了重要的影响。

But he could still end up breakfasting on Swiss-government issue muesli because all six are accused of nicking around 45 million pounds they should have paid to FIFA.

不过他最后仍有可能沦为瑞士政府&议事餐桌&上的一道早餐，因为这所有六个人都被指控把本应支付给国际足联的大约4500万英镑骗了个精光。