危机的

With the high frequency and strong destruction of enterprise crisis, managers pay more and more attention to the forecasting technology to forewarn and control crisis as early as possible.

企业危机的高频发生和破坏性使得战略决策者日益关注运用预测技术对危机进行早期预警以及时控制，建立危机预警系统已成为企业危机管理中的重要组成部分。

Firstly, it would describe the meanings, feature（threatening, complex, uncertain, emergent, ambiguous and newsy）,development （incubate stage, acute stage, chronic stage and resolution stage）of crisis management and several kinds of campus crisis. Secondly, it would comment the basic conceptions of crisis management. Thirdly, it would introduce the meanings of campus crisis and explain campus crisis management. Finally, the author would attempt to construct the mechanism of campus crisis management and offer some suggestions to education and hope to promote the competence of campus crisis management, let the students learning with safe and growth with health.

首先：系在说明危机的意义、特性（威胁性、复杂性、不确定性、急迫性、双面性以及新闻性）、发展阶段（潜伏期、爆发期、后遗症期与解决期）与各种校园危机之类型；其次，阐述危机管理的基本概念：第三，介绍校园危机之意义以及解释何谓校园危机管理；最后，笔者试图建构一个校园危机管理机制供教育界参考，期能提升校园危机管理能力，让学生在校园中能平安学习与健康成长。

He firstly differentiated the crisis into "sporadic crisis "and" processual crisis", and analyzed the welfare state's emergence and its crisis tendency from the latter viewpoint.

他把危机分为&偶发危机&和&过程危机&两种类型，并从过程危机的角度分析了福利国家的兴起及其危机倾向。

The risk social theory is reshaping people's risk consciousness and the concept of crisis response. Though the crisis consciousness can help us to take preventive measures, potential and inevitability of risk and uncontrollability and emergency of crisis and risk make us incapable of facing sudden risks and crisis. China's current crisis management mechanism has just started.

风险社会理论重塑着人类的风险意识与危机应对观念，如果说危机意识有助于我们防患于未然，但风险的潜在性与不可避免性，风险与危机的不可控性与紧急性，让我们在突发的危机到来时，不能不直面风险与危机。

This kind of default in the research on financial crisis early-warning make people unable to understand the financial crisis, even not to explain and predict the crisis contagion and the deepening, which result in the inaccuracy and unstability, even unpredicting in the financial crisis predicting.

本论文将心理变量引入金融危机预警研究，利用协同理论、灾变理论等非线性的理论与方法分析研究金融危机爆发、传播、深化过程中的非线性机制，提出了以金融市场心理监控为主体的金融危机预警多维空间模式，认为金融危机的预警应该是多角度，全方位的，不仅要预测金融危机在一个经济体中的爆发，还要预警经济体之间的传播，更要对金融危机转变为社会政治危机的金融危机深化过程进行监控和预测。

Then through to the enterprise crisis definition, the characteristic, the developing process analysis, promulgates the crisis origin, at the same time has carried on correlation domestic and foreign at present to the crisis in the enterprise development phase which the recognition and the summary crisis forewarned to study the theory and the present situation, the model crisis forewarns the aspect the advanced experience.

然后通过对企业危机的定义、特征、发展过程的分析、揭示了危机的成因、同时对危机在企业发展阶段中进行了识别并概括危机预警的相关国内外目前研究理论及现状，借鉴危机预警方面的先进经验。

Bring about hasten 加速(坏事的来临加速坏事的来临)〖 At the same time , the overbuilding binge that glutted America's skylines with vacant buildings has pushed the construction industry into a depression and helped precipitate a general credit crunch.

在这同时，抢建的热潮使美国的天际线上充斤着过多的闲置大楼的轮廓，促使建筑业陷入萧条，加速体信用危机的到来。

This paper includes several parts: first, some important concepts of the thesis have been defined, a theoretical overview of currency crisis has been finished; then, we have described the history of the international monetary system; later, three chapes have been arranged to discuss the mechanism of currency crisis under fixed and floating and intermediate exchange rate system respectively. The part of the fixed exchange rate system mainly includes the analysis of the collapse of the international gold standard system, the Bretton Woods system and the the European Monetary System; in the part of the floating exchange rate system, the volatility problem under freely floating exchange rate system has been studied; the part of the intermediate exchange rate system mainly includes the analysis of currency crises in regional dollar standard system and the currency board system. And finally, we have analysed the inevitability of the appearance of new type regional monetary cooperation patterns, and how these cooperations avoid currency crises.

本文主要包括这样几部分：首先，对论文中涉及到的重要概念给予界定，并对货币危机理论进行系统梳理；接着，按时间顺序从总体上回忆国际货币制度的历史演进；然后，用三个章节分别研究了固定汇率制度、浮动汇率制度以及中间汇率制度下货币危机的形成机理，其中，固定汇率制度下的货币危机主要包括国际金本位制度和布雷顿森林体系的崩溃，以及欧洲货币体系的瓦解；浮动汇率制度下的货币危机，则重点分析了自由浮动汇率制度下汇率的过度波动问题；中间汇率制度下的货币危机，分别分析了区域美元本位及货币局制度下货币危机的发生机理；最后，分析了目前新型区域货币合作模式出现的必然性，及各模式下如何规避货币危机。

At last, the thesis analyzes the process of national security crisis management. In the third part, the thesis introduces the American and Russia national security crisis decision-making mechanism. By taking the valuable experiences of western development countries for reference, China will conclude more useful and efficient crisis decision-making mechanism. In the forth part, the thesis analyzes the factors that may influence our national security and present some policy suggestions on constructing our national security crisis decision-making mechanism. In the last part, the thesis sums up the total article, draws according conclusions and introduces the problems of this topic for further discussion.

本文主要分为五个部分进行论述，第一部分，导论部分，包括论文选题的缘由和意义、国内外研究现状、本论文的研究思路和方法的介绍等内容；第二部分，介绍了国家安全、危机管理及危机决策的概念，特别注重在新国家安全观的视角下，重新审视新世纪的国家安全的范畴，并对国家安全层面的危机管理过程作出分析；第三部分，以西方发达国家为例，详细介绍了美国和俄罗斯的国家安全危机决策机制，并从中总结出可以借鉴的经验和对我的启示；第四部分，客观分析了当前形势下国内外可能诱发我国家安全危机的诸多因素，并针对当前我国国家安全危机管理机制中的弊端和不足之处，从&硬件&和&软件&两个方面对我国国家安全危机决策机制的构建和完善提出政策建议；结语部分，总结本论文并得出相应的结论，并就该课题下今后需进一步深入研究的问题做出介绍。

AFTER days of leaks and rumours that destabilised不稳定的 stockmarkets, Gordon Brown's Labour government unveiled a comprehensive广泛的,综合的 rescue package for Britain's ailing不舒服的,生病的 banks before markets opened on Wednesday ctober 8th.

证券交易情况不稳定的传言泄露了几天后，在10月8日星期三开市前，Gordon Brown的工党政府公布了一个为英国陷入危机的银行制定的救市法案。

Breath, muscle contraction of the buttocks; arch body, as far as possible to hold his head, right leg straight towards the ceiling (peg-leg knee in order to avoid muscle tension).

呼气，收缩臀部肌肉；拱起身体，尽量抬起头来，右腿伸直朝向天花板（膝微屈，以避免肌肉紧张）。

The cost of moving grain food products was unchanged from May, but year over year are up 8%.

粮食产品的运输费用与5月份相比没有变化，但却比去年同期高8％。