分析上

Beijing 100083 , China Abstract : In order to analyze supply chain structure , cost model of firms in market entry game was developed by borrowing Cournot competitive model and Newsvendor problem model , the feasible and equilibrium structures of two - tier supply chain were analyzed and solved in theory.

基于进化博弈的供应链市场进入博弈分析赵晗萍，冯允成，蒋家东(北京航空航天大学经济管理学院，北京 100083)摘要：为分析供应链的结构，在借鉴古诺竞争模型与报童问题模型的基础上，建立了市场无法出清条件下供应链的市场进入博弈模型，从理论上分析并求解了两级供应链的可行结构和均衡结构。

Professional real estate market analysis is the study area on the market the professional market (residential, commercial or industrial property), or professional sub-market supply and demand analysis, is the former one-level analysis based on a specific subset of the market supply and demand situation Individual estimates and projections.

专业房地产市场分析是研究地区市场上的专业市场，或专业分市场供应和需求的分析，是前一个级别的分析基础上的特定子集市场供应和需求情况单独的估计和预测。

It would be the powerful theory base and evidence for alleviating congestion. In this dissertation, characteristics and effected factors of urban traffic congestion were generally analyzed and evaluation measures of congested traffic and normal traffic were reviewed. An index-system of congestion measures adapting to urban traffic was set up in which road characteristic, decision-making, perceptivity of citizen travel and economic-society adaptability were considered. A method of"classify status first, evaluate trend later"was found out according to analysis of all existing comprehensive evaluation methods.

论文在全面分析城市道路交通拥堵特性及主要影响因素的基础上，对拥堵评价指标和传统城市交通评价指标进行了回顾，综合考虑道路特征、政府决策、城市居民出行感受和社会经济适应性，建立了适合城市道路交通特点的拥堵评价指标体系；并在分析现有综合评价方法的基础上，提出了"先状态分类后趋势分析"的拥堵评价方法。

The main research work and its results are: 1Empirical results are analysed for the relations of fault displacement and earthquake magnitude, and difference between permanent ground deformation and maxium dynamic relative displacement on the two sides of fault; 2An analytic method is proposed for resopnse of a buried pipeline due to earthquake fault movement; 3A new shell model with an equivalent boundary and relted finite element analysis method are proposed for estimating response of a buried pipeline under large fault movement; 4By the proposed method, damage performance of water supply steel pipelines with large diameter is simulated to the real cases in Kocaeli Earthquake and Ji-Ji Earthquake, and simulating results show the real failure mode of pipes is revealed; 5Effects of overlying soil and soft/hard interlayers are analyzed on ground rupture mode and degree due to earthquake fault, and some earthquake rupture phenomena in soil layers are theoretically described for the first time; 6Pipeline response characters are discussed for the case of considering effects of soil layers on ground rupture mode; 7Research results and proposed method are applied in seismic analysis of pipline acrossing fault in the Gas Tansportation Project from West to East in China.

主要工作和成果包括：1）分析了不同断层位错形式下地表破裂位错量与震级之间的经验关系，并基于集集地震近断层记录分析了断层两侧永久地面变形和地震动相对位移幅值之间的差别，为合理地考虑地震断层位错地面变形动态影响提供了依据；2）发展了断层位错地面大变形下管线反应分析模型并给出物理概念明确、简单实用的解析分析方法；3）建立了断层位错下埋地管线反应分析的等效边界壳模型有限元方法，方法中引入了以非线性弹簧形式模拟离断层较远处管段影响的等效边界，简化了计算模型并突出了近断层处管体反应；4）利用等效边界壳模型方法，对土耳其地震和集集地震中大口径埋地管线震害进行了模拟，结果表明所提方法可以更清地解释震害所表现的管体破坏特征；5）研究了覆盖土层和软硬夹层的存在对断层位错地面破裂形式和程度的影响，首次从理论上解释了某些地震地表破裂现象；6）探讨了考虑土层对断层位错地面变形影响的管体反应特征；7）本项目成果已在西气东输工程的管道跨断层抗震问题分析中得到了应用。

According to logging results of 167 boreholes and chemical analyses of 24 369 samples as well as characteristics of element distribution at 4 000 m, 3 950 m and 3 900 m levels, the deposit is characterized by alteration, mineralization and element geochemistry of the porphyry. Alteration and mineralization are spatially and temporally related to the augen quartz phenocryst_bearing hornblendequartz diorite porphyrite (J3δομ).

根据167个勘探钻孔编录和化学分析（24369件化学分析样品）资料，以及对海拔4000 m、3950 m、3900 m水平面的Cu、Au、Ag、Mo、Mn、P b、Zn、W、K、Na、Ca、Rb元素分布规律的分析，显示矿体具有斑岩型矿床的蚀变、矿化以及元素地球化学特征，主要矿化和围岩蚀变在时间上和空间上均与含眼球状石英斑晶的角闪石英闪长玢岩（J3δομ）有关。

According to logging results of 167 boreholes and chemical analyses of 24 369 samples as well as characteristics of element distribution at 4000 m, 3950 m and 3900 m levels, the deposit is characterized by alteration, mineralization and element geochemistry of the porphyry. Alteration and mineralization are spatially and temporally related to the augen quartz phenocryst-bearing hornblende-quartz diorite porphyrite (J3δομ).

根据167个勘探钻孔编录和化学分析（24369件化学分析样品）资料，以及对海拔4000m、3950m、3900m水平面的Cu、Au、Ag、Mo、Mn、Pb、Zn、W、K、Na、Ca、Rb元素分布规律的分析，显示矿体具有斑岩型矿床的蚀变、矿化以及元素地球化学特征，主要矿化和围岩蚀变在时间上和空间上均与含眼球状石英斑晶的角闪石英闪长玢岩(J3δομ)有关。

The correlation among all these parameters of four different types of wear debris is conducted. In the analysis of surface texture, the maximum and minimum brightness point in texture normal line is examined firstly. Then, the differences among some typical wear particles are analyzed through analyzing the texture gray level co-occurrence Matrix, color principal component analysis of the wear particle and the direction of wear particle outline.

在磨粒表面纹理分析中，通过检测磨粒表面纹理法线上亮度极小、极大值的纹理分析方法分析了滑动磨粒与疲劳磨粒差别，通过灰度共生矩阵进行纹理分析四种不同类型的磨粒图像，通过主成分分析分析方法对磨粒颜色特征进行识别，以及根据磨粒轮廓方向判断磁性磨粒和非磁性磨粒。

Based on these and absorption of the foreign company performance results, the thesis combines the theory and the method to analyze the performance of electronic component manufacturing industry enterprises. Based on the analyzing system enterprise performance system in and abroad, the paper raises innovational achievement indexes and evolutional indexes of company performance as to the default of the electronic component manufacturing industry. The paper builds the hierachical clusteing method and bivariate correlations to choose the best evolutional indexes of company performance in order to avoid multicolinearity. The paper proposes the synthetic evaluating method principal component analysis with weighted variable by analytical process. Then, the paper applies the method to analyze the performance of 28 companies of electronic component manufacturing industry.

基于此，在消化吸收国外有关企业绩效评价方面的成果的基础上，针对企业绩效评价的缺陷，本文提出了企业绩效评价的成长性指标和价值性指标；针对改进的AHP与PCA，本文提出了改进的AHP加权主成分分析方法；由于指标之间可能存在着多重共线性，本文运用系统聚类分析与相关分析对企业绩效的成长性指标与价值性指标进行选取；运用改进的AHP加权主成分分析方法与因子分析对电子元器件制造业的28家上市公司进行实证分析，并验证本文提出的综合评价方法的优越性；本文运用灰色模糊评价方法对28家上市公司绩效的非财务指标进行评价；最后，给出相关的结论与建议。

By using Visual Basic, based on NASTRAN finite element analysis, this paper developed an efficient and convenient software which can process automatically the result of NASTRAN analysis and establish the database, and compute the failure probability of structural element and system, plot the contour of failure probability.

在NASTRAN有限元分析结果的基础上，以Windows95为开发平台，以VisualBasic为开发工具，开发了一个效率高，使用方便的结构可靠性分析软件该软件可以自动处理NASTRAN的计算结果，建立数据库，计算结构单元和系统的失效概率，绘制结构失效概率分布云图等，为工程人员在有限元计算的基础上进一步进行可靠性分析提供了一个方便、快捷的工具

Proceeding from the above purpose and thinking, the following of research contents is launched that: Chapter one is a part of the prolegomena, and mainly introduce the purpose, meaning, research background, documents survey in which the tax compliance discrimination models concerned. On the basis of the investigation of the critical to taxation, Chapter two reveals the index system, and uses the discriminating analytical method to judge taxpayers" credit, and embodies its standard and methods in judgments. On the disvovery of the investigating taxpayers" microeconomics behavior, Chapter three uses the econometrical modeling methods and data mining technology, establishes Logistic regression model, calculates taxpayer credit measure and gives the empirical analysis; Chapter four gives a work methods and suggestions in practical application of identifying models; It is a conclusion of this paper, which reaffirms the main achievements and viewpoints of this paper.

从以上目的和思路出发，本文研究内容如下方式展开：论文第一章为绪论部分，主要介绍纳税人诚信识别模型研究的目的、意义、研究背景、文献综述以及全文框架；第二章在纳税评估问卷调查基础上，提出纳税评估指标体系，并应用多元统计的判别分析方法来给出评判纳税人诚信，并具体给出其判断的标准与方法；第三章在考察纳税人微观行为基础上采用计量经济建模方法和数据挖掘技术，建立定量能测算纳税人诚信水平的Logistic回归模型，并作实证分析：第四章对比分析纳税评估模型实证研究结果，并就模型在实际应用中的工作方法、建议及进一步的研究方向展开讨论；最后为本文的结论，在该部分将再次重申本文研究的主要成果和观点。

As she looked at Warrington's manly face, and dark, melancholy eyes, she had settled in her mind that he must have been the victim of an unhappy attachment.

每逢看到沃林顿那刚毅的脸，那乌黑、忧郁的眼睛，她便会相信，他一定作过不幸的爱情的受害者。

Maybe they'll disappear into a pothole.

也许他们将在壶穴里消失