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Study is made of Bayes estimation of the error rate proportionality parameter θ in the JM model for testing software reliability,leading to the a priori,a posteriori distribution of θ and the coresponding Bayes estimates on the Bayes assumption,Jeffrey s principle and conjugate dis- tribution,together with their comparison and discussion.

讨论了软件可靠性模型——JM 模型中故障率比例参数θ的 Bayes 估计问题,分别求出了在贝叶斯假设、杰弗莱原则和共轭分布原则下参数θ的先验分布、后验分布及相应的 Bayes 估计,并对它们进行了比较和讨论。

The quasi-elastic barrier distribution D〓 extends to low energy region and enhances the fusion cross section at the sub-barrier energies. It is still needed to do some work to determine the deformation parameter β〓 for light odd-odd nucleus, like 〓Li and to calculate all reaction channels by means of CDCC code simultaneously. It is important to measure the exclusive angular distributions of breakup fragments.

得到参数化的和能量相依的相互作用势公式;发现弱束缚核〓Li+〓Pb阈异常与〓Li的形变参数β〓相关,垒下存在强的吸收势;给出破裂对熔合截面的影响在垒上压底垒下增强;熔合势垒分布向低能端展宽,有利于垒下熔合截面增强等结果;对如何确定轻的奇-奇核的形变参量β〓提出了疑问;需解决如何用从弹散角分布抽取的光学势参数,进行CDCC程序全反应道统一描写;迫切需要破裂碎片关联测量的实验数据。

A new non-linear quadratic programming Bayesian prestack three-terms inversion method is developed; Firstly, this method is based on Bayesian parameter estimation theory, Gaussian distribution is used for likelihood function and modified Cauchy distribution is used for prior distribution; Secondly, covariance matrix is used to describe the degree of correlation between the parameters; rock physics relations are used to constrain the inversion results; at last, this method is transformed into non-linear quadratic programming problem, and inversion results are acquired under several constraints.

本文提出了一种基于非线性二次规划的叠前三参数反演方法。首先基于贝叶斯参数估计理论,假设似然函数服从高斯分布,并使待反演的参数服从于改进的Cauchy分布,从而提高了反演结果的分辨率;其次用协方差矩阵来描述参数间的相关程度,进一步提高了反演结果的稳定性;最后将问题转化为一个非线性二次规划的求解问题,并在多种约束下得到问题的解。

Highly efficient and stable method of parameter estimation is built. The fitting degree of extensive extreme value distribution and the extremeⅠ,Ⅱ,Ⅲtype distribution was compared, among which the optimal distribution type are researched.

针对极大似然法参数估计的失效问题,将逐步迭代法推广应用于广义极值分布,建立了参数估计的高效稳定算法,并比较广义极值分布与极值Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ型分布的拟合度,研究平均风速的最优分布类型。

Numerical method was used to calculate the flow field in three-phase fluidized bed, and to find the better arrangement of rectifying plate. The Discrete Phase Model was used to track the particles track and analyse the influence of structure parameters and operating parameters on dust-collection efficiency. The experimental results coincided with the calculation result.

利用数值计算的方法模拟计算三相流化床塔内流场分布,探求三相流化床的设计参数和运行参数对流场分布的影响,并找出优化整流板布置的方法;利用离散相模型模拟计算粉尘粒子运动轨迹,分析设计参数和运行参数对除尘效率的影响,并与实际工程测试结果比较,结果是两者基本吻合。

The following conclusions have been made in this paper.(1) Based on CO_2 flux data of eddy covariance, variation characteristics of gross primary productivity in four flux observation stations were studied, which are an alpine meadow, an alpine shrub meadow, a swamp alpine meadow and a steppe alpine meadow at Dongxiong. The results show that photosynthetic capacity of the alpine meadow is the highest, and the annual total GPP is 652.2g C/m~2. Daily-differencing approach is used to analyze the random error of CO_2 fluxes measurements. The results show that the distribution of random error follows more closely follows a double-exponential, rather than a normal distribution, capturing the high peak and thick tail, and the random error varies with environment variables, which violates the assumptions for the ordinary least squares fitting with normality and homoscedasticity, consequently, we introduce maximum likelihood method for parameter optimization.

本文主要在以下几个方面开展工作并获得了一些认知和结论:(1)通过分析样带区域内高寒草甸、高寒灌丛、沼泽化湿地和草原化高寒草甸四个通量观测站点草地生态系统总初级生产力变化特征,研究结果表明HBBT矮嵩草草甸生态系统植被光合作用能力较强,年GPP总量为652.2 gC/m~2,明显高于其他三种生态系统;通过利用"单塔日变化法"获得四站点通量观测数据随机误差,结果表明通量观测随机误差概率分布呈现尖峰厚尾的特征,与正态分布相比,更服从双边指数分布,进一步分析表明通量观测随机误差随环境变量(风速、温度和光合有效辐射)的变化而变化,这违背了普通最小二乘法进行生态过程模型参数优化正态分布且误差同质的假设,因此本研究中引入最大似然法进行生态过程模型参数优化。

Based on investigating the short and intermittent structural plane, surrounding rockmass of the huge underground powerhouse in Three Gorge has been divided into five statistical similar areas according to its characteristic of rockmass structure by applying structure plane network simulation. Distributed characteristic of structural plane has been studied and based on it mechanics macrocharacteristic has been studied:(1) It is the first time that based on the result of structural plane network simulation rockmass quality of every structure area has been studied with applying blurred information optimum seeking technique and be compared with and RQD method. The result indicated that it has better effect to evaluate rock quality with blurred information optimum seeking technique.(2) It is the first time that the interrelated relationship of the result of in-suit rockmass deformation test and fractal characteristic of structure on test point has been applied to determine rockmass deformation parameter. The question of evaluating deformation parameters of engineering rockmass has been solved.(3) Anisotropy strength parameters have been determined by applying shear zones simulating method. The result indicated that there are different strength parameters in every structural area, after comparing the result of Fast Lagranian Analysis in continua number simulation method with that of method of weighted mean according to continuity. The result indicated that when a suitable reduction coefficient is been considered rockmass strength parameters can be simply and fast determined with method of weighted mean according to continuity where there is not enough test result.(4) Damage characteristic has been studied based on analysis fractal characteristic of structural plane network by applying fractal-damage coupling method. It is the first time that the concept of damage degree has been set up to evaluate rockmass quality according to the biggest principal damage.

通过对短小、断续性结构面统计特征的研究,将地下厂房区划分为五个岩体结构统计均质区,应用结构面网络模拟技术研究了各个岩体结构均质区结构面的发育分布特征,并以此为基础对岩体宏观力学特性进行了深入研究:(1)首次通过在结构面网络模拟计算结果的基础上,应用模糊信息优化技术研究了厂房区各个岩体结构分区的岩体质量并与岩体基本质量指标研究法、岩体质量指标RQD值研究法作了对比,结果表明以结构面网络模拟结果为基础,应用模糊信息优化技术进行岩体质量评价能够取得很好的效果,解决了工程岩体质量的定量评价问题;(2)首次通过对已有的现场大型岩体变形试验结果的分析及相应试验点岩体结构分形特征的研究,建立了结构面分布的分形维数和岩体变形指标间的相关关系,并首次应用这种相关关系根据结构面网络模拟及分形维数计算结果确定了缺少试验结果的地下厂房各工程部位的岩体变形指标而且应用于围岩稳定性计算,解决了工程岩体宏观变形参数的评价问题;(3)应用在结构面模拟网络图上模拟岩体剪切破坏带的方法,得出了岩体在不同方向上的强度参数,结果表明岩体的强度特性与结构面的发育方向和程度有着明显的关系,各个岩体结构均质区具有不同的强度参数;同时还通过应用拉格朗日差分法对岩体强度指标的数值分析并与按连通率加权平均计算法对比表明,按连通率加权平均计算法在考虑合理的折减系数情况下,可以简单快速地对缺少现场大型试验结果的具体工程部位实现岩体强度指标的估计,通过以上研究解决了工程岩体抗剪强度参数的评价问题;(4)通过结构面网络分形维数的研究,应用分形损伤耦合分析方法,研究了厂房区岩体的损伤特征,并首次引入"损伤度"的概念,建立了应用最大主损伤评价岩体质量的指标体系。

Having such properties, in a finite range of [0,1], as monotonic decreasing, unimodal distribution, and monotonic increasing, the β-distribution function with 2 or 3 parameters was used in describing the distribution model of coal particles different in density in a jig bed.

根据β分布在有限的[0,1]区间内具有单调下降、单峰分布和单调上升等各种形态,用2参数或3参数的β分布作为描述各密度颗粒在跳汰床层中分布的数学模型。

On the basis of the research on the loading spectrum and spindle speed spectrum of CNC lathes, the combined distribution principle of the torque of spindle and spindle speed of the CNC lathe is studied.

数据处理结果表明X轴进给传动系统载荷服从形状参数为1.699、尺度参数为7.596的伽玛分布;Z轴进给传动系统载荷服从形状参数为1.077、尺度参数为5.905的伽玛分布。

Firstly, the related parameters are distributed periodically in the falling film and their periods all equal to that of vacillation of fishing vessel. Secondly, the film tangent and radial velocity components are not zero because of vacillating additional inertia forces and furthermore, in one vacillation period, most parameters are distributed quite regularly in the tangent and radial directions. Thirdly, when other parameters are kept constant, the falling film absorption is enhanced if the amplitude or the period of vacillation is moderately decreased and this result conforms to the theoretical qualitative analysis. Finally, falling film absorption changes with the solution parameters at inlet and system pressure and the change trend is very similar to what happened in the static tube.

首先,降膜内相关参数分布具有周期性且周期等于摇摆振动周期;其次,摇摆附加惯性力使液膜沿吸收管周向和径向流速不为零,而且单位摇摆周期内各参数沿周向和管长方向分布比较规律;再次,当其他参数一定时,适当减小摇摆幅度和摇摆周期,液膜吸收能力将增强,这与理论定性分析相当吻合;最后,改变溶液入口参数及吸收压力,相应的吸收情况有所改变,其趋势与静止状态下的降膜吸收非常一致。

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According to the clear water experiment, aeration performance of the new equipment is good with high total oxygen transfer coefficient and oxygen utilization ratio.

曝气设备的动力效率在叶轮转速为120rpm~150rpm时取得最大值,此时氧利用率和充氧能力也具有较高值。

The environmental stability of that world - including its crushing pressures and icy darkness - means that some of its most famous inhabitants have survived for eons as evolutionary throwbacks, their bodies undergoing little change.

稳定的海底环境─包括能把人压扁的压力和冰冷的黑暗─意谓海底某些最知名的栖居生物已以演化返祖的样态活了万世,形体几无变化。

When I was in school, the rabbi explained everythingin the Bible two different ways.

当我上学的时候,老师解释《圣经》用两种不同的方法。