事故分析

CNG filling station ; accident statistical analysis ; hazard analysis ; accident prevention

CNG加气站；事故统计分析；危险分析；事故预防

On the basis of comparing the black-spots identification methods at home and abroad, by analyzing the accident statistical data of national road 312, the paper puts forward the accident cumulative frequency method that can find the black-spots in the road, and make some improvement considering various comprehensive traffic safety factors.

在比较国内外现有事故多发位置鉴别方法的基拙上，通过对我国312国道某路段事故交通状况和事故统计资料的分析，提出了适合此路段的事故多发位置的鉴别方法—累计频率法，并在实际应用中从综合考虑各种交通安全评价因素的角度出发，基于当量和数理统计的理论对此方法进行了改进。

Shanghai Volkswagen Co., Ltd., Shanghai 201805, ChinaAbstract: After the investigation of vehicle damage and motorbike driver injury situation, impact model was established to reconstruct the vehicle-motorbike accident with the computer simulation software PC-Crash, so as to analyze the response of motorbike driver after impact and the dynamics response parameters of every dandification part.

通过对事故中汽车损坏痕迹及摩托车驾驶员伤亡情况的鉴定及模型的建立，构建事故碰撞环境，使用成熟事故再现软件PC-Crash对汽车与摩托车碰撞事故发生过程进行重建，对摩托车驾驶员碰撞后的运动响应及各损伤部位的动力学响应参数进行分析，将仿真结果中摩托车驾驶员的运动响应？

Occurrence of accidents will be made into tree map of event in accordance with logic relation so as to analyse the time order and main cause.

将事故发生条件按前后逻辑关系绘制成事件树形图，并根据参考发生概率计算事故发生概率，从而分析事故发生的时序和主要致因，为事故预防、预测提供依据。

A macro and micro and chemical element analysis was made on fracture of ruptured coupling bolts,torsion test was performed and stress analysis and calculation were made,the results show that when the steam turbine had failure,MP-LP rotor coupling bolts and generator-exciter rotor coupling bolts failure were classified as overload shear fracture with partial deformation .

对215MW汽轮机断裂的对轮螺栓做断口宏观、微观分析，化学元素分析，扭转试验及受力分析计算，结果表明汽轮机组在事故中，中压-低压转子对轮螺栓和发电机-励磁机转子对轮螺柱的失效类型为：过载剪切断裂，同时局部挤压变形，这是由于事故过程中轴系受到冲击扭矩作用而引起的。

In this thesis, firstly, some main models have been checked on their accuracy, and the reliability of MACORS code has been verified by the RELAP5/MOD2 code on five transient conditions for QSNP: loss of flow; loss of offsite power; incontrollable control rod withdrawal; the feed-water temperature increasing and the feed-water lost. The results obtained are very satisfactory. Secondly, MACORS is used to calculate the operating and accident transients for QSNP, and the analysis results are significant to real engineering. And finally for MNRS, MACORS is used to simulate the steady-state natural circulation heat-removed capacity and the transient behaviors from forced circulation to natural circulation. Some important conclusions are obtained by the analysis results.

本论文首先从各方面对核动力系统中最主要的、热工水力特性最复杂的反应堆和蒸汽发生器进行单独验证和理论分析，其次分别利用RELAP5/MOD2程序和MACORS程序对秦山核电站的双环路失流、全厂断电、反应性事故引入、主给水参数变化及丧失主给水五种瞬态工况进行了计算，结果符合很好，从而证明了本程序模型的准确合理性，选择数值方法的有效性和编制程序的正确性；尔后，利用MACORS程序对秦山核电站的多种运行及事故瞬态进行了分析，得出了具有工程价值的结论；对船用核动力装置的稳态自然循环载热能力以及相应参数的特性、强迫循环与自然循环的过渡工况等进行了仿真分析，所得结论对我国核动力船舶的设计，运行以及安全审评具有重要的意义。

By means of the results of ordinal regression analysis, this study discovers phenomena as follows: in a single automobile which runs off the road, the main factors are such as the use of cell phone and seat belt, drinking alcohol, violative behavior, trip purpose, timing, visibility, and road quality; in a single automobile which hits islands, the key factors are consist of driver's license and qualification, the use of cell phone and seat belt, trip purpose, visible distance, road visibility, road quality, and limited speed; in a single automobile which hits the roadside objects, the primary factors include the use of cell phone and seat belt, driver's license and qualification, drinking alcohol, violative behavior, age, timing, trip purpose, and region.

由顺序回归分析结果可知影响事故严重度的关键因素。在冲出路外的单一小客车事故中，关键因素为行动电话使用情形、安全带使用情形、饮酒情形、违规行为、旅次目的、时段、道路能见度和铺面品质；在撞路中物体的单一小客车事故中，关键因素为驾驶执照、驾驶资格、行动电话使用情形、安全带使用情形、旅次目的、道路视距、道路能见度、铺面品质和速限；在撞路旁物体的单一小客车事故中，关键因素为行动电话使用情形、安全带使用情形、驾驶执照、驾驶资格、饮酒情形、违规行为、年龄、时段、旅次目的和地区。

This thesis is focused on the study of contingency screening method of power system. The main work fulfilled is as follows. 1 Various performance indexes which represent severity degree of contingencies are proposed and analyzed. These indexes are gotten system state before and after contingency clearing obtained by the means of time domain simulation. They can be computed conveniently and immediately and can meet the need of online transient stability analysis.

论文针对电力系统的暂态稳定事故扫描的方法展开研究，主要完成的工作如下： 1提出并分析了能够表征事故严重程度的各种性能指标，这些指标利用时域仿真工具获得事故清除前后的系统状态计算得到，计算方便快捷，可用于事故的快速筛选和排序。

Combined with the macro-morphology appearance analysis and working conditions of failure casing, the paper reached a conclusion that it is due to the impact and friction which come from the drill tools made the fatigue cracks formation on the casing thread root, and eventually leading to casing rupture failure, the material defects in failure casing accelerated crack initiation and growth.

摘 要：某井在钻井作业过程中，发生了上层Φ244.5 mm技术套管断裂失效事故，为了分析事故原因，对失效套管材料的化学成分、金相组织和力学性能进行了检测分析，结合套管失效形貌的宏观分析和套管使用过程中的现场工况分析，得出了套管螺纹发生断裂失效的原因是钻具对套管的撞击、摩擦，使套管螺纹根部产生疲劳裂纹，最终导致套管断裂失效，失效套管的材料缺陷加速了裂纹的萌生和扩展。

With the rapid development of our country's photochemistry industry, the liquified petroleum gas is widely used. However, because of its unique flammable, explosive, virulent physic-chemical properties, it causes a series of burning, detonating accident which has occurred in domestic and foreign, which has caused the giant personnel casualty and property damage. Thus, it has been bad influence to the society. Therefore, it is necessary for the liquified petroleum gas store place to carry on the safety assessment and go on the grave accident sequential analysis research, regarding the effective science forecast, prevention and control significant accident occurrence, so it can reduce or avoid this kind of disaster accidents as far as possible, which has the important theory value and the practice significance for guarantee the liquified petroleum gas store place's safe operation.

随着我国石油化学工业的迅速发展，以及液化石油气的广泛使用，其特有的易燃、易爆、有毒的物理化学性质以及在国内外发生的一系列燃烧、爆炸等事故造成巨大的人员伤亡和财产损失，造成了不良的社会影响，因此，有必要对液化石油气储存场所进行安全评价和重大事故后果的分析研究，对于有效科学预测、预防、控制重大事故的发生，减少或尽量避免此类灾难事故的发生，确保液化石油气储存场所的安全运行，具有重要的理论价值和实践意义。

Neither the killing of Mr Zarqawi nor any breakthrough on the political front will stop the insurgency and the fratricidal murders in their tracks.

在对危险的南部地区访问时，他斥责什叶派民兵领导人对中央集权的挑衅行为。

In fact,I've got him on the satellite mobile right now.

实际上 我们已接通卫星可视电话了