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On the basis of comparing the black-spots identification methods at home and abroad, by analyzing the accident statistical data of national road 312, the paper puts forward the accident cumulative frequency method that can find the black-spots in the road, and make some improvement considering various comprehensive traffic safety factors.

在比较国内外现有事故多发位置鉴别方法的基拙上,通过对我国312国道某路段事故交通状况和事故统计资料的分析,提出了适合此路段的事故多发位置的鉴别方法—累计频率法,并在实际应用中从综合考虑各种交通安全评价因素的角度出发,基于当量和数理统计的理论对此方法进行了改进。

Shanghai Volkswagen Co., Ltd., Shanghai 201805, ChinaAbstract: After the investigation of vehicle damage and motorbike driver injury situation, impact model was established to reconstruct the vehicle-motorbike accident with the computer simulation software PC-Crash, so as to analyze the response of motorbike driver after impact and the dynamics response parameters of every dandification part.

通过对事故中汽车损坏痕迹及摩托车驾驶员伤亡情况的鉴定及模型的建立,构建事故碰撞环境,使用成熟事故再现软件PC-Crash对汽车与摩托车碰撞事故发生过程进行重建,对摩托车驾驶员碰撞后的运动响应及各损伤部位的动力学响应参数进行分析,将仿真结果中摩托车驾驶员的运动响应?

The third part of industrial injury accident from the encroacher principle, industrial injury accident of tort liability form aspects of infringement of industrial injury accident compensation.

第二部分从理论和立法依据方面论述工伤侵权救济存在的必要性,第三部分从工伤事故的侵权归责原则,工伤事故的侵权责任构成等方面工伤事故侵权的损害赔偿,第四部分将从工伤事故侵权赔偿的原则和赔偿标准等问题论述对工伤事故受害者的侵权赔偿问题。

In consideration of the indeterminateness in spacetime distribution and pollution sources of sudden water pollution and on the basis of the time effectiveness of pollution control and remediation and the principle of decrease of pollution losses to a minimum, an analysis was made of the present situation of pollution accidents by flexible description of the pollution information, realizing a highly efficient simulation of the impacts of sudden pollution in rivers.

根据水污染事故发生、发展具有诸多时空和污染源类型不确定性的特点,以及污染事故控制与处理的时效性和最大限度减少损失的原则,采用弹性组织出事现场信息的方法,分析污染事故的基本状况,实现河流水污染突发事故影响状况的高效模拟。将GIS与水污染模型技术相结合,开发了适合长江三峡水环境决策管理的水污染事故模拟子系统。

The research on the statistic analysis and the prediction model of road accident is an important part of the system. Through the statistic analysis of various factors which may lead to the accident, it reveals the intrinsical rule and causes of accidents, based on which we can predict the future trend of accidents in order to provide reliable information for effective accident prevention.

道路交通事故统计分析及预测模型研究是该系统的一个子课题,其主要是通过对诱发交通事故的各种因素进行统计分析,揭示交通事故发生的规律及原因,在此基础上对事故未来的发生趋势作出预测,为事故的有效预防提供可靠信息。

fault tree analysis, least cut-set, constructional importance, probabilistic im portance, coefficient critical importance.

本文介绍事故树分析法,探讨它在船舶运输安全工作中的应用问题。事故树分析法的步骤包括:选定"顶端一事件"建立事故树、事故树化简、事故树的定性

objective to study high risk population,high incidence time of traffic accident injuries,in order to provide evidence of prevention of traffic accidents.methods review inquiry,epidemiological analysis were performed.results there were 557 cases of traffic accidents before hospital in 2004.the traffic accident was the first in traumatism,the accounting for 51.86%.in 2004,the month of high incidence was july to december.people were on duty and off duty that was the high incidence time of traffic accident injuries in a day.the age of high incidence was 20 to 39 years old.the injury rate of males was higher than that of females.conclusion the measures of prevention and control are to strengthen traffic safety education,improve road safety level and quantity.

目的 了解院前急救交通事故的高危人群、高发时间,为交通事故的预防提供依据。方法采用回顾性调查方法,统计分析资料。结果 2004年1~12月我院急救中心院前急救的外伤病例中交通事故居首位,共557例,占总数的51.86%。在这一年内,以7~12月份为高发期。在一天中,人们上下班时间是交通事故高峰。以20~39岁年龄组为高危人群,在交通事故中受伤及死亡的男性比率高于女性。结论预防和控制交通事故的主要措施是加强群众的交通安全意识,提高驾驶员的安全行车意识和完善道路交通设施,确保良好的交通环境。

The moral hazards resulted in by the asymmetric information among applicant, insured and beneficiary include insurance risk increase caused by indulgence and intent after the conclusion of insurance contract; causing insurance accidents with intent; failing to inform in time after insurance accident; reporting more or higher loss to gain excess insurance benefits; falsifying insurance accident to gain unjust interest.

投保人、被保险人和受益人因信息不对称所致的道德风险表现在合同缔结后放任或者故意造成保险风险增加;故意造成保险事故的发生;在保险事故发生后没有及时通知;保险事故发生后,多报或者高报损失以获取超额保险金;没有发生保险事故却谎称发生保险事故以获取不正当利益等。

Results:①The deadly traffic accidents were 280 cases (24.0%) in 1168 accidents;② The front five reasons of deadly traffic accident were foot passenger peccancy on the road , fatigue drive , overspeed run , other cars peccancy on the road , peccancy parking;③ The front four accident style of deadly traffic accident were bump f...

结果 :① 1168起交通事故中,致死性交通事故 2 80起( 2 4.0 %);②致死性交通事故前五位的原因为行人违章上路、疲劳驾驶、超速行驶、其他车辆违章上路、违章停车;③致死性交通事故前四位事故类型为追尾、撞停止车辆、撞行人、撞固定物;④路内停车的原因,以车辆的机械故障最为常见,占 75 。0 %;⑤高速公路内发生机械故障的车辆,有 62 。0 %的原因与超速、超载相关。

Input-layer contains seven nerve cells (sailor average maritime experience、average shipping years、average standard wind days、average river velocity 、visibility、water depth and traffic density) and output-layer contains four nerve cells (great accident、large accident、common accident and small accident).The test that use the data of historical occurrence level of maritime accidents in ChongQing water area is done, the result shows the feasibility of the predictive model.

最后本文用VC++制作界面,基于MATLAB的神经网络工具箱建立了水上交通事故的BP神经网络预测系统,采取三层BP神经网络,输入层有7个输入神经元(船员平均水上资历、平均船龄、平均标准风天数、水域平均流速、能见度、水深和交通密度),输出层有4个神经元(重大事故、大事故、一般事故和小事故),并通过对长江干线重庆水域的预测来检验模型的效果。

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