临近预报

The severe storms on the squall line had large radar reflectivity and high tops of echoes.

临近预报系统可作为强对流临近预报的有力工具。

In order to effectively forecast or forewarn squall lines and verify the effectiveness of the nowcasting system,a squall line occurring on 1 August 2006 in Beijing is analyzed by using conventional weather data,automatic weather station data,Doppler radar data,and the nowcasting system.

为了对飑线这类强天气作有效的预报、预警，同时对临近预报系统的预报效果作初步的检验，利用常规气象资料、自动站资料、多普勒雷达资料，结合临近预报系统分析了2006年8月1日北京地区飑线天气过程。

An Ozone nowcasting model based on phase space and Support Vector Machines is represented in this paper.

本文利用臭氧浓度时间序列资料重构了该光化学系统的相空间，然后沿着系统演化的相轨道用最小二乘支持向量机建立了臭氧临近预报模式，并用上海市普陀站的臭氧观测资料做了提前1-8小时和提前24小时预报试验，结果表明这一模式能够较好地模拟臭氧浓度变化的非线性动力学特征，预报效果好。

Using WWW as its platform, EWSSWE generates and demonstrates a series of forecast and early warning products, including the diagnoses of the severe convection indexes, extrapolative products based on satellites/radars, mesoscale model prediction outputs as well as probability products of severe weather outlook and early warning via "the composite nesting method".

&突发性强灾害天气预警系统&以WWW为平台，融贯多种天气预报新技术，为各类用户提供了崭新的预报视角和技术含量较高的预报产品；产品包括强对流指数诊断、基于卫星和雷达的外推产品，中尺度数值模式预报产品，以及基于&综合叠套技术&给出的强天气展望和强天气临近概率预报产品等。

The intensity and way of the cold high atmospheric pressure center,Ф568 (the latitude at the nodical point of the 5680 geopotential meter line with the 120°E line in the 500hPa high altitude) and Ф850(the latitude at the nodical point of the 0℃ temperature lute with the 120°E line in the 850hPa high altitude) were closely related to the minimum temperature. The equation of short-term forecast of low temperature weather for Fuzhou, Xiamen and Shaowu was established by stepwise regression analysis. The detemperature rate was estimated by cloud cover, wind velocity, humidity (N20, F20, U20) at 20:00 o'clock.

通过对历史资料分析，利用逐步回归分析方法分别建立了福州、厦门和邵武三个探空站最低气温t的短期预报方程，再利用各地当晚20时的云量、风速、湿度(N20、F20、U20)值估算当晚的降温幅度、进一步对最低气温t进行短时临近预报，然后结合各地果树主栽品种及其抗低温冻害指标、及时发布低温冻害预警预告，构成了福建省冬季果树冻害低温预报预警模式。

This article mainly carries on the analysis with new weather radar data characteristic in this rainfall process. With the analysis of the reflection factor, the wind profile and the rainfall estimation, we know that the strong wind vertical change and sufficient water vapor condition have the extremely vital role to the development and the maintenance of the convection storm; The new weather radar has the very good instruction function to the weather forecast, specially at the rainfall estimated and in the catastrophe weather forecast and the short-time forecast.

本文主要对这次降水过程中的新一代天气雷达资料特征进行分析，通过对反射率因子、风廓线和降水估测等主要产品的分析，表明较强的风的垂直切变、充足的水汽条件对对流风暴的发展和维持有非常重要的作用；新一代天气雷达对气象预报工作有很好的指导作用，特别在降水估计、灾害性天气预报和短时临近预报中有非常重要的意义。

As she looked at Warrington's manly face, and dark, melancholy eyes, she had settled in her mind that he must have been the victim of an unhappy attachment.

每逢看到沃林顿那刚毅的脸，那乌黑、忧郁的眼睛，她便会相信，他一定作过不幸的爱情的受害者。

Maybe they'll disappear into a pothole.

也许他们将在壶穴里消失