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As the fourth quarter of this year's negative growth of the economy than the basic ring have been identified, in the first quarter of next year will be lower year-on-year growth, but the ring may be slightly better than the growth rate; the United States and Europe to consider economic trends, the impact of the policy of delay and inventory required to digest Time, around the second quarter of next year's economy will gradually pick up, GDP is expected to grow 8.2 percent throughout the year.

由于今年的经济负增长环比第四季度基本已确定在明年第一季度将是较低的按年同比增长，但环比可能略有增长速度越好，美国和欧洲，考虑经济发展趋势，围绕明年的经济第二季度的延误和库存政策的影响需要消化的时间，将逐步回升，国内生产总值预计全年增长百分之八点二。

Listed companies in the manufacturing sector is the largest listed companies in Shanghai group of companies covering more than half of listed companies in Shanghai, from the overall perspective, the manufacturing sector in 2008 listed companies in the first three quarters year-on-year revenue 28% growth in net profit year-on-year increase of 16%, but the third quarter revenues increased 22 percent year-on-year, performance actually fell 16 percent,"Made in China" is facing a substantial decline in the performance situation.

制造业上市公司是全球最大的上市公司在上海的面积超过了上市公司在上海的一半集团公司从总体上看，2008年制造业中列出的今年前三季度公司同期收入的28％，净利润同期增长同比增长16％，但第三季度的收入增长了百分之二十二去年同期相比，性能反而下降了百分之十六，"在中国制造"正面临重大在性能下降的情况。

Of course, you also can have a try the method that uses from above to below, search the market total scale that sees your product to have to the net first how old, your set target, with year be an unit and need not be a month, with take division, advanced even algebra, target of the first year is occupational the market share of 15%, set breaks up every year one time (it is easy to such comparison, excel is pulled came out), the 2nd year 30%, the 3rd year 45%, the 4th year 60%......

当然，你也可以试试看用自上而下的方法，先到网上搜索一下看你产品的市场总规模有多大，你设定目标，以年为单位而不必是月，用乘除法，甚至高等代数，第一年的目标是占领15%的市场份额，设定每年翻一番(这样比较容易，Excel一拉就出来了)，第二年30%，第三年45%，第四年60%。。。。。。

The main products are: phosphorous trichloride 300,000 tons / year, phosphorus oxychloride 100,000 tons / year, phosphorus pentachloride 50,000 tons / year, 10,000 tons trichloroisocyanuric parathion / year chloromethyl ether 5000 tons / year, triethyl phosphite 10,000 tons / year, triphenyl phosphite 5000 tons / year, three phosphoric acid ethyl butoxy 2000 tons / year.

主要产品有：三氯化磷30万吨/年、三氯氧磷10万吨/年、五氯化磷5万吨/年、三氯硫磷1万吨/年、氯甲基甲醚5000吨/年、磷酸三乙酯10000吨/年、磷酸三苯酯5000吨/年、磷酸三丁氧基乙酯2000吨/年。

The factory building area is 86000 square meters, which including 37000 square meters of construction area and 16000 square meters of high standard workshop and quick-freezing workshop. In 2006 the company got the certification of ISO 9001:2000 and ISO 22000:2005. Now the company holds 8 advanced canned production lines with total annual production capacity over 20000 tons. The annual production capacity for canned yellow peaches is 5000 tons per year, white peaches for 3000 tons per year, strawberries for 5000 tons per year, apricots for 3000 tons per year, pears for 5000 tons per year, and vegetables__ including asparagus, mushrooms, gherkins, cherry tomatoes etc.__ for 6000 tons per year. Other canned fruits like canned cherries, plums, mandarin oranges, grapes, apples, fruit cocktails etc 3000 tons per year.

公司现有职工1380人，其中高级技术人员91人，占地面积86000平方米，其中建筑面积37000平方米，高标准生产车间，速冻车间16000平方米；2006年通过ISO9001：2000，ISO22000：2005认证，公司现有先进的罐头生产线8条，年生产加工能力黄桃罐头5000吨，白桃罐头3000吨，草莓罐头5000吨，杏罐头3000吨，梨罐头5000吨；芦笋，蘑菇，黄瓜，番茄等蔬菜罐头6000吨，以及其他水果罐头樱桃，李子，橘子，葡萄，苹果，什锦水果等3000吨，年总生产能力超过20000吨。

Year-old for his sixtieth year, ear-shun of the year, home-going of the years; 70-year-old as the seventies of the year, the battle-nation years; 77-year-old known as "hi-shou"; 80-year-old battle of the year for North Korea; 80 the age of eight known as "m-shou"; 90-year-old is a ripe old age; a hundred-year period of amusement.

六十岁为花甲之年，耳顺之年，还乡之年；七十岁为古稀之年，仗国之年；七十七岁称为&喜寿&；八十岁为朝仗之年；八十八岁称为&米寿&；九十岁为耄耋之年；一百岁为期颐之年。

After the project completion, it has 100,000 tons / year organic single silicon productive capability( accounted by the methyl chloride silicon hydride), 45,000 tons/ year organic silicon including 20,000 tons/year silicon oil, 10,000 tons/ year silicon rubber, 6,000 tons /year silicone, 6,000 tons/year silicon hydride resin acceptor, and 3,000 tons/year others.

项目建成后生产有机硅单体10万吨/年，生产有机硅产品4.5万吨/年，其中硅油20000吨/年，硅橡胶10000吨/年，硅树脂6000吨/年，硅烷偶联剂6000吨/年，其它3000吨/年。

The outcomes show that a the correlation between ELNINO and precipitation of Shandong is remarkable and the influence of ELNINO or La Nina to the amount of precipitation of coastland in Shandong is much greater than that of the inland. Shandong precipitation is in a trend of reduction during the happening year of ELNINO and the precipitation is in a trend of increase during the happening year of La Nina; b whether is ELNINO or La Nina, the influence to the precipitation of Shandong is mainly concentrated in summer and autumn, almost no influence in spring and the influence to precipitation trend in winter and whole year is just contrary and; c the dry year of Shandong Province mainly happens in the continuous ELNINO years or the next year of La Nina and floods basically happens in La Nina year or the next year of La Nina.

结果表明：①厄尔尼诺与山东省降水相关性显著，无论是厄尔尼诺还是拉尼娜，它们对山东省沿海降水量的影响远大于对内陆的影响，厄尔尼诺发生的年份，山东省降水量呈减小趋势，而拉尼娜发生的年份，降水量呈增大趋势；②无论是厄尔尼诺还是拉尼娜，对山东省降水量的影响主要集中在夏季和秋季，对春季几乎没有什么影响，对冬季降水趋势的影响与全年的影响正好相反；③山东省的干旱年份主要发生在连续性厄尔尼诺年或者厄尔尼诺的次年，而洪涝基本发生在拉尼娜年或拉尼娜的次年。

Then five methods to estimate interest rates of government bonds are comparative analysized. The implied term structure of Chinese bonds interest rates is estimated by the Nelson-Siegel model. Samples consist of spot rates with maturities of 3-month, 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, 4-year, 5-year, 7-year and 10-year. Through principal components analysis, at least two factors are needed to capture the dynamics of the interest rates.

然后通过比较分析5种建立国债利率曲线的方法，采用Nelson-Siegel模型估计了中国的国债即期利率曲线，并取用估计出来的3个月、6个月、1年、2年、3年、4年、5年、7年、10年期的即期利率数据做样本，进行相关系数分析和主成分分析，发现至少需要两个因素才能较好的描述中国国债利率曲线的变动。

Then five methods to estimate interest rates of government bonds are comparative analysized. The implied term structure of Chinese bond's interest rates is estimated by the Nelson-Siegel model. Samples consist of spot rates with maturities of 3-month, 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, 4-year, 5-year, 7-year and 10-year. Through principal components analysis, at least two factors are needed to capture the dynamics of the interest rates.

然后通过比较分析5种建立国债利率曲线的方法，采用Nelson-Siegel模型估计了中国的国债即期利率曲线，并取用估计出来的3个月、6个月、1年、2年、3年、4年、5年、7年、10年期的即期利率数据做样本，进行相关系数分析和主成分分析，发现至少需要两个因素才能较好的描述中国国债利率曲线的变动。

Neither the killing of Mr Zarqawi nor any breakthrough on the political front will stop the insurgency and the fratricidal murders in their tracks.

在对危险的南部地区访问时，他斥责什叶派民兵领导人对中央集权的挑衅行为。

In fact,I've got him on the satellite mobile right now.

实际上 我们已接通卫星可视电话了