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The paper founds GM(1, 1) model of gray prediction theory in order to predict level displacement,and forecast horizontal displacement of 8-8 section of the Olympic Games project with it and compares forecast data and actual data.The result is that GM(1, 1) model may forecast short-term horizontal displacement after the model is proved eligibility. In order to manage long-term horizontal displacement,the paper founds metabolism GM(1, 1) model.At first, founding GM(1,1) model with known data and forecast next numerical value,next renewing founded GM(1,1) model with numerical value at the same time abnegating first data,and then forecast nest numerical value with same method.

本文为了预测土钉支护水平位移，建立了GM(1，1)灰色系统理论预测模型，应用灰色预测法GM(1，1)模型对奥运工程地下通道I标段8-8剖面的土钉支护产生的水平位移进行了预测，并与实测值进行比较，得出灰色预测法模型经检验合格后可以对工程进行水平位移的短期预测；为了使GM(1，1)模型同样适用于长期预测，用新陈代谢的GM(1，1)模型，即根据己知数列来建立GM(1，1)模型，预测一个灰数值，然后不断地将预测值补充到己知数列之后，每补充一个再去掉一个最老的数据构成新的数列，建立一个新的GM(1，1)模型，预测下一个值。

Based on cognitive theory,this paper propounds a practical method of student modeling,which is to combine an information model and a learning model to achieve student modeling,and the learning model is depicted by a cognitive model,a covering model and a test model.

论文从认知理论出发，提出了一种实用的学生建模方法，即以信息模型和学习模型的组合形式进行学生建模，并采用认知模型、覆盖模型和测试模型对学习模型进行描述。

At last, the research test the logistic regression model with sample dada. The results are as the following:(1)Based on the time series dada, the financial early-warning model contains more crucial information reflecting the dada characters, so it can avoid the obvious logic problem in the other analysis such as single section dada and multi-section dada analysis. The test result indicate that the new model have a more accuracy than others.(2) the research adopt the global principal component analysis to settle the problem of multiple collinearity, so the model would be more normative and precise.(3)the early-warning model uses the backward method to regress, so it gets a terser model of only five variables, but it still has a precise forecasting ability.

通过本文研究说明：（1）建立以时序数据为基础的财务危机预警模型，提高了样本中重要财务趋势特征的信息含量，从而克服了国内外单截面及多重截面分析中普遍存在的明显逻辑问题，检验结果表明，利用时序数据建立的logistic财务危机判别模型较截面数据基础模型的判别准确率要高；（2）采用全局主成份分析方法解决了模型中因子间的多重共线性问题，这一处理使logistic回归方法应用的规范度和严谨度得到明显改善；（3）我们采用向后逐步回归的办法进行回归，使模型大大得到了简化，其中只包含五个自变量，但是它的整体预测准确性却仍然比较高，使模型更具有实用性。

Compared with 2D GIS space data model, the 3D model can be divided to four types that are tessellating model, vector model, hybrid model and analytical model.

与二维GIS空间数据模型类比，三维模型又可划分成基于镶嵌的数据模型、基于矢量的数据模型、混合型数据模型和分析型数据模型四种类型。

Compared with 2D GIS space data model, the 3D model can be divided to four types that are tessellating model, vector model, hybrid model and analytical model.

空间数据模型是描述GIS空间数据组织和进行空间数据库设计的理论基础。

Establish the SPETCG lumped parameter model including PFN model, electrical exploding model, plasma generator ablation-controlled arc discharge model, IB lumped parameter model and IB inverse analysis model, which provides theory tools for SPETCG experimental analysis and parameters design.

建立了包括脉冲功率源模型、电爆炸模型、等离子体发生器消融控制电弧放电模型、内弹道零维模型、内弹道反算模型在内的完整的SPETCG零维模型，为SPETCG的实验分析与参数设计提供了理论工具。

According to the geological property of the research area, we apply sequence indicator simulation method if the reservoir type is discrete variable. Sequence Gauss simulation method is used if the type of reservoir property is continuous variable. Structural model (single well model, fault model and bedding model) and property model are built. The 3D distributions of reservoir parameters are established based on structural model. Three advantage oil distribution of the oil field are pointed out through overlap of the reservoir parameters distributions.

根据研究区的地质特征，建模过程中的储层类型属于离散变量，选用序贯指示模拟方法；储层参数属于连续变量，则选用序贯高斯模拟方法，对储层分别实现构造建模(单井模型、断层模型和层面模型)和属性建模，在构造模型的基础上建立储层参数的三维分布，通过储层参数的分布的叠合研究，在该油田指明了三个有利油气分布区块

The modeling methods about vestibule diaphragm, coupler and draft gear are introduced, too. Among the six Models, Model A and Model B can be used to study the vehicle stability and curve negotiation under different track situations. Model C and Model D can be used to carry out the stability, dynamic curving behavior and ride comfort of the high-speed passenger car. Model E and Model F are three-dimension train dynamic models which consist of three cars (head car, intermediate car and tail car).

所建立的6种动力学模型中，模型A和模型B可用于研究不同轨道条件下车辆的运动稳定性及动态曲线通过性能；模型C和模型D可以用来研究车辆的运动稳定性、动态曲线通过性能及运行平稳性；模型E和模型F是列车系统动力学分析模型，都是由三节车组成的列车单元，三车列车模型作为一个最小的列车单元，包含了头车、中间车和尾车，已能够反映整个列车的动力学特性。

The experiments for determining the reaction kinetics of Daqing atmospheric residue were performed in a continuous flow, expanded bed rector. Four-lumped reaction kinetic model was developed to account for various feed and product fractions of Daqing atmospheric residue (gases, gas oil, residue and coke). The amounts of olefins and alkyls in the gas products were further analyzed to determine reaction kinetics of gas product distributions. Hence, a combined five-lumped reaction kinetic model was obtained for catalytic pyrolysis of Daqing atmospheric residue. The kinetic constants both in four-lump model and five-lump model were evaluated. A simulator for catalytic pyrolysis process was developed by incorporating the five-lumped kinetic model into the hydrodynamic flow model.

其次利用改进的固定流化床装置考察大庆常压渣油催化裂解反应规律，筛选反应工艺参数；分析了催化裂解工艺存在的主要化学反应类型，提出了渣油一次反应和二次反应网络图；将反应原料油作为单独集总组分，而将产品中的轻质油、气体、焦炭分别作为集总，从而建立了四集总动力学模型；在此基础上，把气体产物中的目的产物低碳烯烃独立划分，得到五集总动力学模型；采用最小二乘法分析实验数据，分别得到四集总动力学模型和五集总动力学模型中各集总间相互反应转化的反应速率常数。

Several variants were built: The Model 08/33 Short Rifle, made for Brazil; the Model 12/33 Carbine, built for export to Central and South America; the Model 16/33 Carbine, the shortest member of the series and the basis for the VZ-33 Gendarmerie Carbine; the Model 32 and 35 Short Rifles, minor variants made for Peru (identical to the VZ-98/29 Short Rifle for game purposes); the VZ-98/29 Short Rifle, a shorter version of the base rifle; The Model JC Short Rifle, a lighter version of the VZ-98/29 Short Rifle built for civilian export; and the Model L Short Rifle, a version built for the Lithuanians, firing the .303 British cartridge and using a Austro-Hungarian 1895-pattern knife bayonet.

分别建有几个变种：真33分之08短步枪，对巴西，示范12/33卡宾枪，出口到中南美洲建成；示范三十三分之一十六卡宾枪，该系列最短成员和基础此外，VZ - 33宪兵卡宾枪，模型32和35短步枪，对秘鲁提出的轻微变种（完全相同VZ-98/29短步枪为比赛的目的）；的VZ-98/29短步枪，一个较短的版本基地步枪；示范Jc的短步枪，一短的VZ-98/29建民用枪打火机出口版本，以及型号L短步枪，对立陶宛建立了一个版本，射击0.303英国墨盒和使用奥匈1895纹刀刺刀。

The network space is the typical form of abstract space when it comes to the digital stage.

网络空间是抽象空间数字化阶段的典型形式。

The Notarial System,as the system of judicial certification in our country,is both the constructor and the defender of social credit system,It has its special value and function in the social honesty.

公证制度作为我国司法证明制度，既是社会信用体系的建设者，同时也是社会信用的捍卫者，在诚信中有其特殊的价值和功能。