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With the IAP Prediction System of Short-term Climate Anomaly, two sets of seasonal and extra-seasonal ensemble hindcasts have been performed during the period of 1980~1994 in order to assess the prediction skill of the IAP PSSCA with two different schemes The difference of the two schemes is in the different version of AGCM used, with the IAP AGCM 1 1 in one scheme and the IAP AGCM 1 2 with an improved surface albedo parameterization in the other Comparisons of the hindcast results with the observations show that IAP PSSCA is capable of predicting the precipitation anomaly to some extent In the eastern China largely affected by Asian monsoon and SST anomalies, the prediction skill is relatively high, especially in the Southeastern China where the anomaly correlation coefficient can reach as high as 0 50 in the severe flood and drought years This may suggest that the possible mechanisms for these severe disasters have been well captured by the IAP PSSCA The prediction skill is higher for the modified model AGCM 1 2 as the model's climatological state is well simulated This indicates that models with reasonable land process will improve the prediction skill for short-term climate prediction

利用中国科学院大气物理研究所研制的短期气候距平数值预测系统,种版本的大气环流模式:AGCM 1.1和AGCM 1.2,分别以2月11~19日的9天大气观测值为初始场,以给定海温为边界场,对1980~1994年的15年的降水异常进行了两组集合后报试验。对试验结果进行定量评估表明:IAP PSSCA对降水异常具有一定的预测能力,特别是在中国东部受东亚季风及海温异常影响的地区,IAP PSSCA具有较高的预报技巧,其中以东南区域(包括江淮流域和华南地区)最高,尤其是对有洪涝灾害的降水异常年,距平相关系数在0.50左右,接近可供业务使用的要求,说明模式能够抓住在东亚季风区存在的某种物理机制,从而提高了这一地区的预报技巧;另外,两个大气环流模式相比,改进了地表反照率的AGCM 1.2的15年集合平均预测技巧略高于AGCM 1.1,特别是在华北地区,预测效果有明显提高,这表明改进地表反照率从而改进了模式的气候平均态的模拟,能提高气候模式的预测能力,说明较好的陆面过程引入模式对短期气候预测是有益的。

Alexix also thinks, this economy crisis, suffer an effect the biggest is short-term investment capital, for instance, short-term agreeable heats up capital of money, OTC and the praedial investment that had completed.

Alexix也认为,此次经济危机,受影响最大的是短期投资资本,比如,短期投机的热钱、OTC资本和已经完成的不动产投资。

With this basic premise, in the short term, the central bank should focus on the regulation of M1, because it has a more obvious relationship with macro-economy and in terms of short-term impact, and under the impact of M1, the prices'pulsive reaction is sensitive.

同时,要密切关注M2的变动对宏观经济的影响,因为M2包含了M1,而且M2的增长与物价之间有一种长期的正向依赖,从货币供应量整个作为调控的中介目标看,它的作用是不可忽视的。

Yesterday article pointed out: 3 consecutive days of strong rebounce makes short-term profit-taking inevitable, and breakthrough 144-cycle line not surprising. As long as release of pressure on short-term cash flows, the stocks will continue to rise.

昨天文章指出:连续3天的强势反弹,短期获利套现是必然的,再次击破144周期线也不足为奇,只要释放短期获利套现压力后,股指还将继续上扬。

Results indicated that the GABAnergic system inhibition and pre-synaptic transmitter exhaustion may play an important role in short-term plasticity. And the short-term depression in thalamocortical visual pathway was strengthened when the cortex circuit get mature.

结果表明:GABA能系统的抑制作用和突触前递质衰竭很可能是决定该回路短时程抑制特性的主要因素;幼年大鼠与成年大鼠视觉系统短时程突触可塑性的对比研究表明,随着皮层回路的成熟,视觉丘脑至皮层通路的短时程突触抑制作用越来越强。

The results suggest that there is prominent short-term synaptic depression in the rat thalamocortical visual pathway. Presynaptic transmitter depletion and postsynaptic GABAergic inhibition are the main possible mechanisms of this synaptic depression. The short-term synaptic depression is helpful in neuronal correlated firing detection.

以上结果表明:丘脑皮层视觉通路具有显著的短时程突触抑制特性,突触前的递质耗竭和突触后的GABA能抑制系统很可能是产生视通路短时程突触抑制作用的主要机制,突触抑制作用有助于视觉系统对同步发放活动的检测。

On account of the fact that power system is an intense non-linear, time-varying system which consists of a great many of dynamic unmodeled characteristics and tends to become more complicated, this paper adopts ANN to complete the forecasting task of short term and ultra short term load.

本文采用人工神经网络系统的智能化预测方法进行配电网的短期和超短期负荷预测,对Kohonen网络和BP网络在负荷预测中的应用进行了分析,并给出了综合负荷预测方法的仿真算例。

In 50 years' time, i believe people will look back and wonder what the hell we were thinking desecrating our land and oceans like we do. We need to change our priorities, there's too much emphasis on growing the economy through short-sighted, short-term gains, with no thought given to the long-term effects.

在50年的时间里,人们会回顾和质疑我们究竟在想什么这样去亵渎我们的土地和海洋,我们需要去改变我们的重点,这里太多强调用短浅的目光,最短的时间去发展经济,而没有长远的打算。

Even while grousing that the market is too short-term oriented, these experts think they can beat it by being even more short-term oriented themselves.

这些专家们一边抱怨市场过于以短期为导向,一边又认为他们自己能够通过更为短期的方式跑赢市场。

Through careful study of the forgetting rules of short-term memory and the theory on short- term memory capacity, the article points out that note-taking is undoubtedly necessary ini nterpretation, especially in paragraph interpretation and that them emory unit in interpretation shouldb e "senseg roups" or " chunks " rather than single isolated words.

本文认为笔记在口译中,尤其是在段落的口译中是必需的,口译的记忆单位应该是&组块&,在段落口译中应以句子为记忆的&组块&,在长句口译中应以构成句子的不同成分为记忆的&组块&;同时,把短时记忆的规律应用到口译中将有助于实现口译&信&的标准。

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