查询词典 prediction theory

For strong convective weather , it classified all historical sample events into 4 weather patterns (like northwest , trough area ,west wind and southwest current), established 4 characteristic fields of 400hPa height of HLAFS , then according to the principle of the pattern match calculate and compare the real-time HLAFS forecast products-2-using the similar method inside the big and small key areas , establish forecast equation , finally gain conclusion .To duststrom weather, the historical samples were sorted into duststrom and severe duststrom types in 5 regions (they are whole area, west, central, middle-west and middle-east of Inner Mongolia ),moreover set up different sample databases about ECMWF fields (including 500hPa height, 850hPatemperature and sea-level pressure).In order to making duststrom forecast at different time level , we first filtered the real-time data by FAX data ,and then used the method of similar range degree to compare the historical data to the actual data of ECMWF .To precipitation weather ,they were divided into 2 types that suit or unsuit airplane artificial precipitation stimulation in line with their emergence time and district .The appropriate weather physical factors come from T106 were chosen to establish the artificial precipitation stimulation prediction model . In the actual application , we can get prediction result as long as use the real-time forecast data of T213 in the prediction model .

针对强对流天气将历史样本天气分为西北气流型、槽区型、西风气流型和西南气流型等4个类型，并建立其HLAFS资料400hPa四种特征场，按照模板匹配的原理，用相似分析方法在大、小两个关键区中对实时HLAFS预报产品进行计算、比较，再建立预报方程，得出结论；对沙尘暴天气将其按区域分为全区、西部、中部、中西部以及中东部5类，再按强弱分别分为强和一般2类，建立ECMWF的3个场(500hPa高度场、850hPa温度场和海平面气压场)的历史资料库，在用传真资料消空之后，用相似离度方法计算实时ECMWF资料，做出不同时次的预报；对降水天气按出现时间和区域分为适合和不适合飞机增雨作业2类，选择T106资料中恰当的气象物理量因子，用BP神经网络算法建立人工增雨降水预报模型，实际应用中将实时T213相关预报资料代入预报模型即可。

The prediction by using repeated learning of system with four variables makes a remarkable result. In this case, the predictability can reach to 77.4% on average. Even expert makes prediction from more information, the hit ratio and direction hit of prediction by model is higher 15% than that by expert.

多变量预测循环测试结果表明：4变量组合的预测效果较好，可预测率平均水平可以达到77.4%，即使在人工预测信息占优的条件下，系统预测命中率要高于同期人工预测15%左右。

Virtual Prototyping Technology in the field of engineering machinery can be applied: the crawler and wheeled vehicle stability, performance studies, hydraulic system, traction equipment performance prediction, bulldozers, excavators, forestry machinery, such as dynamic performance studies, spare parts and Engine load prediction and size determined, the driver field of vision research, prediction excavator needed to power, the efficiency of research, the reliability analysis.

虚拟样机技术在工程机械领域可应用的方面有：履带式和轮式车辆稳定性、操作性能研究，液压系统、牵引设备性能预测，推土机、挖掘机、林业机械等动态性能研究，零部件和发动机载荷预测与尺寸确定，驾驶员视野研究，预测挖掘机所需要的功率，工作效率研究，可靠性分析等。

The author used bench mark of SPEC95 in the simulating experiments and analyzed the advantage and disadvantage of the branch prediction mechanism by analytical and statistical tool sim-profile. Pointing to the existing problems, the author improved the strategy of branch prediction, and provided the improved branch prediction strategy with high hit rate through comparison analysis.

仿真试验采用SPEC95中的测试程序进行测试，通过分析统计工具sim-profile分析分支预测机制的性能优劣，针对存在问题，改进分支预测策略，通过对比分析得出改进的分支预测策略具有较高命中率。

A self-containing model for the prediction of the production decline of a water flooded candstone oil reservoir is established by the application of a method of multilayer staged prediction (1) combined with the method of muleiple variables, multiple steps self-checking recurrence prediction (2) based on the analysis of the statistics of changes in the withdrawal rate in a seguence of time.

在分析研究系统的产量变化时间序列统计规律基础上，采用多层递阶预报和多变量多步自校正递推预报器，分别建立了水驱砂岩油田产量递减自适应预报模型。

The theory of Confucianism founded by Lu Gu and Jia Yi was originated from the theory of Xun Zi, However, not the same as the thougt of Lu Gu, in the theory of Jia Yi, which reflected the aristocracy-oriented feature of the upper class, the ideology of aristocratism was aroused. Han Ying initiated the self-awakening man's original mind or nature and reestablished the theory of born good. His theory was regarded as an anabranch of Confucianism in the early stage of Han Dynasty, and a reecho of historical movement of the aristocratic theory of Confucianism advocated by Confucius and Mencius. During the periods of Emperor. Jing of Han and Emperor Wu of Han, an aristocratic upper class had come into being. Therefore, in the face of the society that experienced populace-oriented baptism, Dong Zhong-shu kept down the aristocratic components existed in Jia Yi's theory, absorbed populace-oriented consciousness, which formed the foundation for theoretical system, and transferred instrument-centered Confucianism to the one with sanctification. Thus, Confucianism acquired its theoretical remolding and historical transforming.

汉初的陆、贾儒学的思想理路是由荀学发展而来，但不同于陆贾之说，在贾谊思想里，作为当时上层社会走向贵族化这一时代特征的反映，贵族化思想成分开始被唤起；陆、贾之后的韩婴则倡导心性修养，重建性善论，他的学说是孔孟儒学贵族化历史乐章之回响，为汉初儒学的支流；景武之际，汉初上层社会已经完成了贵族化转变，为此，董仲舒保留了贾谊学说中的贵族化思想成分，然更为重要的是，面对一个经过平民化洗礼的社会，董仲舒吸纳平民思想意识以建构理论体系，将陆贾、贾谊承自荀子的工具性特征显著之儒学转变成具神学特征的儒学，使儒学获得一次理论上的大改铸，实现了儒学的历史转型。

Typical accident-causing" theories includes Heinrich" s Domino" s theory, its development by Bird, Adams and other people, progress of which is that it is deficiencies of management system that are the root cause in accident causation sequence. This is author" s idea resource and main method to produce the water traffic accident-causing theory . in addition, uncontrolled transferring of energy theory, applies widely in safety management scheme for water traffic; human error accident model can be used to analyze causes of collision accident and to take preventive measures; perturbation theory and multilinear event sequencing method is a very useful investigation method to water traffic accidents. All of these theories have contributed to the development of water traffic accident-causing theory. As to orbit intersecting theory, the paper thinks it extension of Domino s theory, although it exists independently.

有代表性的事故致因理论有海因里希因果连锁理论以及博德、亚当斯等人对该理论的发展，这些发展的主要进步是突出了管理缺陷是事故因果连锁中的基本原因，是本文分析和发展水上交通事故致因理论的主要思想来源和方法论；能量意外转移理论，广泛的应用在水上交通安全的各项具体管理制度中；人失误事故模型能用于指导对碰撞事故的原因分析和预防；动态变化理论及多线性事件连锁论对指导事故调查是较好的分析方法；轨迹交叉理论虽然以独立的理论形式存在，但本文认为其实质仍然是因果连锁理论的发展。

Graph theory s 02 graph theory widely used for its own development. 40-60 20th century era matroid theory and graph theory-very graph theory, algebra and graph theory. topology theory has great development.

详细说明：图论讲义02 图论的广泛应用，促进了它自身的发展。20世纪40-60年代，拟阵理论、超图理论、极图理论，以及代数图论、拓扑图论等都有很大的发展。

After Reform and opening—up democratical development of China is discussed ardently and there comesinto being some kinds of typical modes:electoral democracy theory,elite democracy theory,pluralistic democracy theory,negotiatory democracy theory,liberal democracy theory,mixed democracy theory and increment democracy theory.

改革开放30年来，随着社会主义民主的发展，学术界对中国民主发展进行了热烈讨论，形成了以下几种典型的理论模式：选举民主论、精英民主论、多元民主论、协商民主论、自由民主论、混合民主论、增量民主论。

This paper has done a deeply research on the evaluative method, which focus on maintaining and ensuring the camion. After deeply analyzing the maintain theory of army equipment and the stratagem 's characteristic and combining the current systems engineering evaluating theories and methods, it has analyzed and solved all limitations that coming forth when a single model is used to evaluate the maintain capacity. After analyzing and ameliorating the judgment of AHP's coherence, the calculation of the expert power value and the optimizing of the more-extreme judging model, a new calculation method, the multidimensional complex calculation theory, is presented, which much fits for the evaluative calculation of the camion. The new theory's feasibility and the evaluation's reliability have been proved in theory in this paper. This paper also analyses the principle and the program, which is about building a camion evaluating system. According to the multidimensional complex calculation theory, an evaluative model has been built. Applying the levels analytical method, this paper fixes on the calculation of every target's power, brings the optimization allot precept of macro spatial resource, optimizes the resource of the maintainability of theater of operations' vehicle, which offers a theory foundation for optimizing of the resource space. The research not only brings out a uniform standard for the evaluating of the maintain ability of the camion, but also presents a theory foundation and method for perfecting the camion maintain system.

本文对军用车辆维修保障能力评估的方法论进行了深入研究，在理论上通过对军事装备维修理论及战略特性的深入剖析，结合现有系统工程评估理论、评估方法的特点，分析解决了应用单一模型评估装备维修能力问题的各种缺陷，就AHP法判断矩阵一致性判定，群策专家权重值的确认及多元评判模型的优化进行了研究和改进，形成了适应军事车辆维修保障能力评估应用的新算法--多元复合算法理论，对这一创新评价理论的科学性及评估可靠性进行了理论证明和算法应用；研究分析了建立军用汽车维修保障能力评估指标体系的原则和程序，并按照多元复合算法的理论，建立了车辆维修保障能力评估模型；应用层次分析法的原理，明确了各指标权重的算法，提出了宏观空间维修资源优化分配方案，优化了战区车辆装备维修能力资源空间，为某一具体车辆装备维修能力形成所需维修资源空间的优化提供了理论依据；本文的研究既为军用车辆装备维修保障能力评估提供了统一的衡量标准，也为军事装备维修保障系统的进一步完善提供了理论依据及方法手段。

Green function defined inphase space differs from one in coordinate space by its struc-ture which exhibits nonlocatity in coordinates and oscillatorybehavior with respect to momenta.

在相空间中定义的Green函数不同于通常坐标空间的Green函数，在结构上显示出对坐标的高度非局域性，而对动量则显示出振荡行为。

The upper front part of a saddle;a saddlebow.

前鞍桥马鞍前面的上部分；前鞍桥