查询词典 prediction theory

The application of gray prediction theory in determining measuring instruments' calibration intervals is presented.

介绍了灰色预测理论在确定测量仪器校准周期中的应用。

Prediction theory and method of chaotic time series.

混沌时间序列预测理论与方法。

Based on Kalman prediction theory, the results illustrate that the tracking accuracy is better.

运用卡尔曼预测模型，实现了3个像素的跟踪精度。

Holmes'Prediction theory has placed litigation and lawyer in the center of legal process for the first time.

霍姆斯的预测理论首次把诉讼和执业律师放在了法律过程的中心。

Using data of daily load prediction, theory analysis and calculate of reactive optimal control have been tried.

运用系统日负荷预测的数据，尝试性地进行无功优化控制的理论分析，并进行了实例计算。

On this basis, according to historical data, apply ANN and differential simulation method to get the quantitatively correlative relations between each production and its own influence factors, and introduce the new methods of prediction for dynamic indexes with gas-field development (The combinatorial prediction method based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, the method of ANN to select optimally combinatorial prediction models and the ANN prediction method based on genetic algorithm).(2) Base on mathematical programming, combine with quantitative economics and techno-economics, introduce economical indexes to establish production"s distribution optimal model, production"s constitution optimal model and measured production"s constitution optimal model, including multi-objective models and five-years models. Upon this, the optimal project for all gas field and each gas-collected factory can be got. Also, introduce the time value of capitals to improve on these models.(3) Base on the optimal solution theory and algorithm theory for the nonlinear programming problem, introduce the SUMT algorithm and genetic algorithm to study how to solve the models, and on the basis of normal genetic algorithm, make use of auto-adaptively modulating method to improve on normal genetic algorithm; Base on algorithm"s convergence theory and calculation"s complexity theory to analyze seriatim SUMT algorithm"s convergence and genetic algorithms convergence, and compare performance with each other.

在此基础上，利用神经网络方法和微分模拟方法根据历史数据得到各分项产量与其影响因素之间的定量关联关系，并引入气田开发动态指标新的预测方法(基于模糊综合评判的组合预测方法、神经网络优选组合预测模型预测方法以及基于遗传优化的神经网络预测方法)；(2)以数学规划为基础，结合数量经济学和技术经济学，引入经济指标建立产量分配优化模型、产量构成优化模型、措施产量构成优化模型、气田开发多目标规划模型以及五年规划模型，进而获得全气田及各采气厂的最优方案，并引入资金时间价值对五年规划模型进行改进；(3)以非线性规划问题的最优解及算法理论为基础，引入SUMT算法以及遗传算法对模型的求解进行研究，并在原有的遗传算法基础上，引入自适应调整方法对遗传算法进行改进；以算法的收敛性理论和计算复杂性理论为基础，逐一分析SUMT算法以及遗传算法的收敛性，并比较三种算法的优劣性。

In chapter 3, prediction theory of time series is reviewed, then non-linear autoregressive model of time series-feedforward neural networks is presented, at the same time a new method-SVD is proposed to design the architecture of feedforward neural networks. By using a trained network with a sufficient number of hidden nodes, according to the distribution of singular values of hidden nodes outputs, we can decide the optimum number of hidden nodes, then the reduced network will be retrained.

第三章：先回顾了时间序列的预测理论，提出了时间序列的非线性自回归模型-前馈神经网络模型，并提出了一种设计前馈神经网络的新方法-奇异值分解法，初始网络结构足够大，网络训练后，对网络隐层节点输出所形成的矩阵作奇异值分解，根据奇异值分布情况，决定网络隐层节点的个数，优化后的网络重新开始训练。

The phase space reconstruction theory of chaotic dynamic system, in combination of the non-linear reflecting and pan-capacity of neural network, can be used to establish the prediction model; and a kind of new prediction method is suggested to realize the complete tracing of phase point evolution process and to predict "the price nails", whereby improving the prediction accurateness and effectively solving the problem of negative prediction, with the satisfactory results obtained.

采用混沌理论预测系统边际电价针对我国电力市场电价变化特点，利用电价和负荷时间序列的混沌特性，重构准确的电价序列相空间，通过跟踪相空间相邻相点的演化趋势，建立基于快速BP网络的电价预测模型，对我国川渝电网电价进行预测，取得良好效果利用混沌动力系统的相空间重构理论，结合神经网络的非线性映射和泛化能力建立预测模型，提出一种新的预测方法实现了相点演化过程的全局跟踪，对"价格钉"进行预测，提高了预测精度，有效解决了负预测问题，得到满意的结果。

The coiled tubing fatigue belongs to overlow cycle fatigue at multi-axial stress state. The prediction theory of this field is far from comp lete.

而连续油管的疲劳是应力状态较复杂的多轴超低循环疲劳，目前该疲劳寿命预测理论还很不成熟。

The paper founds GM(1, 1) model of gray prediction theory in order to predict level displacement,and forecast horizontal displacement of 8-8 section of the Olympic Games project with it and compares forecast data and actual data.The result is that GM(1, 1) model may forecast short-term horizontal displacement after the model is proved eligibility. In order to manage long-term horizontal displacement,the paper founds metabolism GM(1, 1) model.At first, founding GM(1,1) model with known data and forecast next numerical value,next renewing founded GM(1,1) model with numerical value at the same time abnegating first data,and then forecast nest numerical value with same method.

本文为了预测土钉支护水平位移，建立了GM(1，1)灰色系统理论预测模型，应用灰色预测法GM(1，1)模型对奥运工程地下通道I标段8-8剖面的土钉支护产生的水平位移进行了预测，并与实测值进行比较，得出灰色预测法模型经检验合格后可以对工程进行水平位移的短期预测；为了使GM(1，1)模型同样适用于长期预测，用新陈代谢的GM(1，1)模型，即根据己知数列来建立GM(1，1)模型，预测一个灰数值，然后不断地将预测值补充到己知数列之后，每补充一个再去掉一个最老的数据构成新的数列，建立一个新的GM(1，1)模型，预测下一个值。

The absorption and distribution of chromium were studied in ryeusing nutrient culture technique and pot experiment.

采用不同浓度K2CrO4(0，0.4，0.8和1.2 mmol/L)的Hoagland营养液处理黑麦幼苗，测定铬在黑麦体内的亚细胞分布、铬化学形态及不同部位的积累。

By analyzing theory foundation of mathematical morphology in the digital image processing, researching morphology arithmetic of the binary Image, discussing two basic forms for the least structure element: dilation and erosion.

通过分析数学形态学在图像中的理论基础，研究二值图像的形态分析算法，探讨最小结构元素的两种基本形态：膨胀和腐蚀；分析了数学形态学复杂算法的基本原理，把数学形态学的部分并行处理理念引入到家实际应用中。