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The speciality to let several coefficients of S-M algorithm are analyzed;(2) We first propose the nonlinear and adaptive prediction model based on several closest neighbors and extend the method to multistep prediction;(3) We first exploit Empirical Mode Decomposition technology to predict hopping frequency codes, it is namely that a complex time series is decomposed as several Intrinsic Mode Functions easy to prediction, then predict these IMF respectively, at last reconstruct estimated values of the time series;(4) We exploit the above prediction model validate effect while there are omitted data in observed time series and propose the corresponding resolve.

1具体分析了S-M算法中几个参数设置的特点；(2)首次提出了基于邻近点的非线性自适应预测模型，同时将这种算法推广到多步预测；(3)首次采用经验模态分解技术预测跳频码，即将一个复杂难以预测的时间序列分解为几个相对容易预测的本征函数，然后分别预测这些本征函数，最后重构出时间序列的估计值；(4)应用基于邻近点的非线性自适应预测模型验证了观测时间序列存在数据缺损时的预测效果，并提出了相应的解决办法。

The implementation steps are that the seismic data is collected; the Fourier transform is made for the seismic data at a certain time window; a low pass filter operator of the time domain with an interception frequency of FE and a sampling rate of DT is calculated, which is taken as the equivalent N point smooth operator; FE and DT satisfy the equation that FE*DT is equal to X*DF*1.024; the estimate value of the amplitude spectrum of the seismic wavelet and the reverse wavelet are obtained, which are convoluted with the original seismic data; and the deconvolution seismic data of the time window is obtained.

实施步骤是采集地震数据，对某一时窗的地震数据做傅立叶变换，计算截止频率为FE和采样率为DT的时间域低通滤波算子作为等效N点平滑算子，FE与DT满足FE*DT＝X*DF*1.024，进而得到地震子波振幅谱估计值和反子波，再与原始地震数据褶积，得到该时窗的反褶积后地震数据。

For intramolecular electron transfer reactions in solution,the fluctuations of the intramolecular vibrational modes are much faster than that of solvent mode.Thus,the reaction-diffusion equation is commonly used to describe the motion of solvent,with a sink function to treat the vibrational high-frequency mode.Based on this theory-so -called the Sumi-Marcus theory,we proposed an imaginary-time split operator approach to solve the reaction-diffusion equation.The approach is applied to evaluate the intermolecular ET rate between oxazine 1 and N,N-dimethlaniline.By measuring the two average survival times of the donor state probability and the rate constant in long time limit,the full kinetics of the ET is revealed with a variety of sink functions.

对于扩散控制的溶液中的电子转移反应，分子内振动模的运动比溶剂运动快很多，Sumi-Marcus理论提出用反应扩散方程(reaction-diffusion equation)处理溶剂的扩散运动，而分子内的振动用sink函数来表示，我们基于此理论发展了用虚时间分裂算符的方法(imaginary-time Split operator approach)解反应扩散方程，并将其应用于嗪1(oxazine 1，OX1)和N，N-二甲基苯胺分子之间的电子转移反应，Sink函数采用几种不同的微扰表达式，通过计算得到给体几率衰减的两种平均速率和长时间极限下的速率常数，揭示了该体系电子转移过程中的一些动力学性质。

You can fool some of the people all the time, and all of the people some of the time; but you cannot fool all of the people all the time,— Phineas T.

你可以在所有的时间里愚弄一些人，也可以在一些时间里愚弄所有的人；但是你不能在所有的时间里愚弄所有的人。

You can fool some of the people all the time ,and all of the people some of the time; but you can't fool all of the people all the time. Phineas T.

你可以一直愚弄一些人，或者可以在某个时期愚弄所有的人；但你不可能一直愚弄所有的人。

Futures Studies conceptualized in 1940, from 1960 to 1970 went through the peak of development in Philosophy of Science. The main proponents of Philosophy of Science, such as Positivism, Postpositivism and Critical Realism deeply influenced the futurists' ideas of the time concept in Future Studies. The understanding of time in Philosophy of Science continues the linear time frame of modern physics. Future is happening after the present event. In the field of Futures Studies, people expect futurists to predict futures accurately. When futurists are predicting futures, and mapping possible futures, they employ Holism and Utopian thinking. Karl Propper opposed Historicism of trying to plan a blueprint for society.

中文摘要未来学萌芽於一九四○年代，从一九六○年到一九七○年未来学历经了科学哲学发展的巅峰时期，科学哲学的思想滋养了未来学家的思考，其中实证论、后实证论与批判实在论这三种论点影响了未来学家在时间概念上思考方向，科学哲学对时间概念的理解延续了现代物理时间观上线性式看待时间的方式，未来是当前事件必然发生的结果；在未来学的领域里，成功预测未来是大众对未来学者的期待，当未来学者在预测未来，进行未来规划时，思想中预含了整体主义与乌托邦式的思考，Propper从反对历史定论主义的思想来驳斥建立社会蓝图的可能。

This paper presents the basic theory of the time series analysis, at the same time introduced the use of time-series modeling and forecasting methods in predicting the Ministry of Public Security and its database of crime trends in the application.

本文主要介绍了时间序列分析的基本理论，同时介绍了使用时间序列进行预测和建模的方法及其在预测公安部数据库中犯罪事件趋势上的应用。

First, the time series model of the random road roughness running by construction machinery is built up based on the measured data of the random road roughness and by means of the basic theory and method of the time series analysis. A real-time parameter estimation method of fuzzy weighted recurrence least square algorithm is represented through analyzing the conventional recurrence least square algorithm. Then, the new recurrence algorithm and the on-line tuning method of the weighted matrix are given out, and computer simulation is performed.

首先，以实测的地面随机不平度数据为依据，应用时序分析的基本理论和方法，建立了工程机械行驶地面随机不平度的时间序列模型，并在分析传统参数估计方法递推最小二乘算法的基础上，提出了模糊加权递推最小二乘算法的参数实时估计方法，给出了在此基础上的递推算法及加权矩阵的实时在线整定方法，并对其进行了计算机仿真研究。

By time-varying filtering, we realize the signal selectivity and interference suppression, especially for the signals with time-varying power spectrum. It is shown herein that conventional eigenstructure based methods are lower dimensional special case of the time-frequency subspace fitting method. The closed-form array response estimation algorithms for blind source separation in wireless communication is also developed in the dissertation by exploiting the data structure of second-order statistics of the array output in the presence of multipath. The proposed method achieves array response estimation with little constraint on signal property and propagation environment such as scatters or angular spread. Moreover, the array utilized here can be of arbitrary geometry and even uncalibrated. Since the closed-form solution is obtained, no misconvergency may occur and large amount of computation can be saved. The equivalent feed model and corresponding optimization designation are proposed to realize the downlink multi-user selective transmission. By coherent and non-coherent superposition of the electromagnetical field, multiple beams can be formed using a single array, so that each co-channel user signal is transmitted in each beam and will not interfered with each other. The proposed system scheme implements the digital beamforming and the channel allocation in the base band, therefore is suitable for the utilization of the radio software technology. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed model are proved by the RF experiment.

在窄带条件下，GSC－SSF方法还可以提高阵列的虚拟孔径，从而提高估计的性能；可以证明，Cyclic DOA 和SC-SSF方法可看作该方法的特例或近似； 3、提出了二维GSC－SSF方法和宽带谱相关DOA矩阵方法，利用信号的循环平稳特性解决了宽带条件下二维 DOA 估计问题，并具有阵元数少、计算量较小的特点； 4、提出了时频子空间拟合和宽带时频DOA估计算法，将联合时频分析的理论和方法引入到阵列信号的空间谱估计研究中，利用时变滤波实现信号选择性测向和干扰抑制，特别适合于谱时变信号；可以证明传统特征结构法可看作是时频子空间拟合方法的特例； 5、提出了多用户环境下阵列响应的估计方法——CARE方法，该方法对信号结构和传播参数（主要是散射源分布与角度散布）的约束较少，适用于各种几何结构的阵列甚至未校准的阵列，能够直接得到阵列响应的闭式解，因此计算量小、稳健性好，不存在收敛问题； 6、提出了针对多用户下行选择性发送的阵列等效激励模型、优化设计方法及其系统实现方案，通过空间场的相干叠加与非相干叠加使得单一阵列能够形成多个波束，并保证各波束内的用户信号各不相同且相互干扰最小；其系统方案具有在基带实现数字波束成形、信道分配并便于软件无线电实现的特点，其有效性已得到外场实测数据的证实。

After observing the behavior of Grus grus migration, the daily rhythm and time budget of various behaviors in the crane were revealed. The main behavior is feeding, accounting for 68.11% of the time budget, and the remaining time is spent resting 1.44%, alert 10.33%, walking 11.11%, preening 6.44%, and others 2.56%.

通过对灰鹤秋季迁徙期的行为进行研究得出了在这一时期灰鹤的日行为节律以及时间分配比例，一天中觅食占68.11%、静栖1.44%、警戒10.33%、游走11.11%、理羽6.44%、其他（包括打斗、追逐、鸣叫以及不可见的情况等）2.56%。

But we don't care about Battlegrounds.

但我们并不在乎沙场中的显露。

Ah! don't mention it, the butcher's shop is a horror.

啊！不用提了。提到肉，真是糟透了。