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The absolute solution of Jiaojia ERP is put forward, the system models are established, and the solution are explained in detail. The business program of Jiaojia gold mine is reengineered based on the theory of "business centers", and the program-oriented compressed organization is framed. The index group and the solution of mine total quality management are setup. Then the optimize program of SCM and its components are designed on the guidance of "Horizontal Integration". The data of Jiaojia gold mine are reengineered based on the data warehouse technology. The information integration can be available after the establish of the business oriented databases, the subject integration oriented data marts, the application oriented data warehouses, the code databases and metadata, as weil as the OLAP system. The mathematics models and data mining modes are set up to function for the decision support of ERP system. The model of programming Master Production Schedule driven by geological resources and marked is figured out, so as to the models for material requirements planning and other decision supports are set up. The models provide service in forms of model storehouse, method storehouse, and algorithm tools center. The agent center is introduced to process the models' organizing, service, as well as self-study. The function system of Jiaojia gold mine ERP is figured out. By combining the development characteristics of Clients/Server and Browse/Server, the general framework and every sub systems are described in detail, including the function, structure, arrangement, modality, and so on.

主要内容如下：（1）深入论述了黄金矿山实施ERP的可行性，并结合应用需求将ERP理论在深度和广度上进行了拓延，建立了黄金矿山ERP系统的理论基础：以资源与市场共同驱动的供应链管理；黄金矿山的双重物流体系；以地质资源有效利用为目标的生产控制体系；黄金矿山财务管理的成本控制核心理论等；（2）提出焦家金矿ERP系统的整体解决方案，构建ERP系统模型，并进行了细节方案的设计：基于"作业过程核心"理论重新规划焦家金矿的业务流程，在此基础上设计面向流程的"扁平化"组织机构；建立了矿石全面质量管理的指标体系和实施方案；以"横向一体化"为指导思想，提出供应链管理各组成部分的全面优化方案；（3）以数据仓库技术为核心完成焦家金矿的数据规划，分别建立面向业务的数据库、面向主题集成的数据集市和面向主题应用的数据仓库，设计代码数据库和元数据库，定义OLAP方式，实现焦家金矿的全面信息集成；（4）针对ERP系统中的决策支持功能，建立了相应的数学模型和数据挖掘模型，提出了地质资源和市场共同驱动的主生产计划模型制定过程，进一步建立了物料需求计划的线性规划模型，以及其它决策支持模型；提出以模型库、方法库和算法工具为核心的模型服务方式，并设计了代理机制完成模型的组织、服务和自学习过程；（5）构建焦家金矿ERP系统的功能体系，针对C/S和B/S模式系统的开发特点，分别对功能体系架构以及各子系统的功能、结构、层次和形式进行详细设计。

Generalized linear models, which can model a large variety of data, have a wide area of application. The class of GLMs includes, as special cases, linear regression, analysis-of-variance models, log-linear models for the analysis of contingency tables, logistic models for binary data in the form of proportions and many others. Usually, the parameters in the generalized linear models are estimated by the method of maximum likelihood . But, in the literature, the nonrobustness of the maximum likelihood estimator forβhas been studied extensively. The quasi-likelihood estimator of the parameter of the generalized linear model shares the same non-robustness properties.

广义线性模型，可用于对多种类型的数据进行建模，是应用非常广泛的模型，线性回归模型、方差分析模型、用于列联表分析的对数线性模型和逻辑斯谛模型等都是广义线性模型的特例，通常，我们用极大似然的方法估计广义线性模型中的参数，但是，在文献中，对参数β的极大似然估计的非稳健性已经有了广泛的研究，广义线性模型的拟似然估计也显示了非稳健性。

On this basis, according to historical data, apply ANN and differential simulation method to get the quantitatively correlative relations between each production and its own influence factors, and introduce the new methods of prediction for dynamic indexes with gas-field development (The combinatorial prediction method based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, the method of ANN to select optimally combinatorial prediction models and the ANN prediction method based on genetic algorithm).(2) Base on mathematical programming, combine with quantitative economics and techno-economics, introduce economical indexes to establish production"s distribution optimal model, production"s constitution optimal model and measured production"s constitution optimal model, including multi-objective models and five-years models. Upon this, the optimal project for all gas field and each gas-collected factory can be got. Also, introduce the time value of capitals to improve on these models.(3) Base on the optimal solution theory and algorithm theory for the nonlinear programming problem, introduce the SUMT algorithm and genetic algorithm to study how to solve the models, and on the basis of normal genetic algorithm, make use of auto-adaptively modulating method to improve on normal genetic algorithm; Base on algorithm"s convergence theory and calculation"s complexity theory to analyze seriatim SUMT algorithm"s convergence and genetic algorithms convergence, and compare performance with each other.

在此基础上，利用神经网络方法和微分模拟方法根据历史数据得到各分项产量与其影响因素之间的定量关联关系，并引入气田开发动态指标新的预测方法(基于模糊综合评判的组合预测方法、神经网络优选组合预测模型预测方法以及基于遗传优化的神经网络预测方法)；(2)以数学规划为基础，结合数量经济学和技术经济学，引入经济指标建立产量分配优化模型、产量构成优化模型、措施产量构成优化模型、气田开发多目标规划模型以及五年规划模型，进而获得全气田及各采气厂的最优方案，并引入资金时间价值对五年规划模型进行改进；(3)以非线性规划问题的最优解及算法理论为基础，引入SUMT算法以及遗传算法对模型的求解进行研究，并在原有的遗传算法基础上，引入自适应调整方法对遗传算法进行改进；以算法的收敛性理论和计算复杂性理论为基础，逐一分析SUMT算法以及遗传算法的收敛性，并比较三种算法的优劣性。

Some models were designed where the unique tetragon and hexagon grids borrowed from the wing structure were used as the basic elements, these models were analyzed numerically, it is shown that the model consisting of tetragon grids is much stiffer than that consisting of hexagon grids, while, more material is used in the first model;crinkling models based on tetragon grids or arched models consisting of hexagon grids become more stiffer than flat ones;hybrid models consisting of tetragon grids and hexagon grids can realize a proper balance between material saving and stiffness improving.

分别提取四边形、六边形的基本网格，建立结构模型，并对它们进行非线性数值分析。研究发现：四边形网格结构刚度大，六边形网格结构刚度小；而从材料利用率角度来讲，六边形网状结构更省材料；起皱对四边形网格结构刚度有加强，而起拱对六边形网格结构刚度有提高；如果将四、六边形的网格进行合理搭配，可以使结构刚度和材料利用率得到优化。

the study aims at the actual network status of one work section in daqing oil field,makes a network analysis and planning for the new mixed model of this work section,expends wireless network for the work section on the basis of existing network,and conjoins wire and wireless network together to form an integrated oil field information transfer system.at the same time,using opnet modeler simulation flat roof to structure simulation models (network models,node models and a process model),and analyzing the functions and work mechanism of the major modules for related models,making a simulation for the structured network models,then according to the different parameters,analyzing the individual statistics comparatively such as delay,data dropped and so on,the effects of data packet,data rate and fragmentation threshold to the network performance are gained.after all these,the best structure network scheme for this improved section is determined.

摘 要：此项研究主要针对大庆油田某作业区的实际网络现状，对该作业区进行网络分析和规划，在该作业区现有的有线网络基础上扩充无线网络，实现有线网与无线网的综合，构成一个完整的油田传输信息体系。同时利用opnet modeler仿真平台为该作业区新建混合网络建立仿真模型(网络模型、节点模型和进程模型)，分析相关模型中主要模块的作用和工作机理，对已建立的网络模型进行仿真，在不同的参数设置下，通过对比分析时间延迟、丢包率等统计特性，得出数据包分组、数据率和拆分门限对网络性能的影响，最终决定改进网络的最佳组网方案。

The results of empirical research of the three models show: The listed companies with irregularity actions are arranged in the aftermost part on the basis of evaluating results in accord with facts; the evaluating results of coefficient of variation model and catastrophe theory model is high correlation and more exact than the results of KMV model; when choosing credit risk models, we should consider the differences between indexes' models and unindexes'models.

三个模型的实证分析表明：受违规处理的上市公司排名都靠后，评估结果符合实际情况；变异系数模型和突变级数模型结果高度相关，并且比KMV模型结果的准确性更高；在选择信用评估模型时，要考虑指标评估和非指标评估模型的差异。

In this paper we present a method we use to train context-independent phone models.On the basis of trained context-independent phone models,the training of allophone models and the output distributions generalizing of allophone models using binary decision trees can be accomplished.

在本文中，给出一种用于训练与发音语境无关音素模型的方法，然后利用这种音素模型完成对异音模型的训练、以及对异音模型的输出分布的二值决策树聚类。

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Firstly, we consider SIQR epidemical models with continuous and pulse vaccinations; the reproduction numbers have been obtained for those models; by using Dulac function, we prove the global stabilities of equilibrium of SIQR model with continuous vaccination. In the SIQR epidemical models with pulse vaccinations, we have also discussed the existence of the infection-free periodic solution, the global stabilities of the infection-free periodic solutions, and the effectiveness of pulse vaccination and continuous vaccination policies has been compared for the two models.

文中首先考虑具有连续免疫接种和脉冲免疫接种的SIQR传染病模型，分别获得了它们各自的基本再生数；利用Dulac函数方法证明了具有连续免疫接种的SIQR模型无病平衡点的全局渐近稳定性；在脉冲免疫接种下SIQR传染病模型里，讨论了无病周期解的存在性，证明了该周期解的全局渐近稳定性，并且对连续和脉冲接种下的SIQR传染病模型的接种效率进行了比较。

The mathematical models of the delay of the GPS signal in the circumstance are put forward respectively. The computation of orbital arc of the two satellite constellations is based on two body problem and perturbations models. An algorithm based on the IRI model and thin layer model is used to simulate the ionospheric delay of the GPS signal. The error models of observation, multipath, relativity and antenna phase center bias are also researched. Under the consideration of the autocorrelation of the electronical measurements, the autoregressive model of time series is introduced into the noise models.

在信号仿真中，研究了利用二体运动和摄动法计算LEO卫星至GPS卫星星座的几何距离的问题；在信号的误差模型中，研究了电离层时延的IRI2001模型和单层投影模型；讨论了观测误差、多径效应、相对论效应和天线相位中心偏移的误差模型；结合电子测量噪声的具有自相关特性的经验，研究了观测误差的AR模型；结合实测数据分析，讨论了接收机钟差和卫星钟差的误差建模问题。

Looking to bounce back from defeat against Cesena last weekend, the Calabrian boss will be sticking to his tried and tested 4-3-3, with Lopez and Sedivic joined up front in Giampaolo's absence by either Nanni or Plasmati.

鉴于上周末对切塞纳的比赛中反败为胜，这支南方球队将会更坚持其一贯而有效的4-3-3阵型，洛佩斯和塞德维奇将取代受伤缺席的詹保罗，和纳尼或者帕斯马蒂中的一个搭档锋线。

Meanwhile, their exposure to the more freewheeling ways of the West broadened dramatically.

另外，西方较自由的生活方式对年轻人的影响增大。