查询词典 granger

This thesis firstly elaborates on researches at home and abroad on factors affecting the development of the construction industry, defines the contents of the construction industry, introduces its function and expounds the impact mechanism of various factors affecting the construction industry. Secondly, this thesis carries on a brief analysis on the current situation of development in Anhui construction industry to reflect its achievements and shortage since the beginning of reform and opening up, and makes a comparative analysis and comprehensive evaluation on the regional development level of Anhui construction industry through the method of Factor Analysis. Thirdly, this thesis tries to calculate the contribution rate of technical progress, labor and capital in economic growth of Anhui construction industry with the method of linear regression, empirically analyze the external factors affecting the development of Anhui construction industry by means of co-integration and granger causality test, and predict the development of Anhui construction industry by using the method of principal components regression.

本文首先对国内外有关建筑业发展影响因素的研究现状进行详细论述，界定建筑业的内涵和介绍建筑业的作用，研究各因素对建筑业发展的影响机理；其次，对安徽建筑业发展现状作了概括性的分析，以反映改革开放以来安徽建筑业取得的成绩和存在的不足，并运用因子分析法对安徽建筑业区域发展水平作了比较分析和综合评价；再次，运用线性回归法测算出安徽建筑业经济增长中的技术进步贡献率、劳动贡献率和资本贡献率，然后运用协整和Granger因果检验方法实证分析安徽建筑业发展的外部影响因素，运用主成分回归方法对安徽建筑业发展作了精度较高的预测。

It uses t-Test and Granger Causality Test to solve the problems of multicollinearity and spurious regression, so the whole model is convictive.

3实证分析部分采用岭回归和Granger因果关系检验的计量方法，有效地克服了时间序列多元线性回归模型中经常出现的多重共线性和伪回归现象，模型整体具有较强的说服力。

By applying the method of orthogonal decomposition of adjustment coefficient matrix in cointegation-VECM models proposed by Gonzalo and Granger (1995), this paper measures the core inflation rate of China through solving common factor of the cointegration system.

根据Gonzalo和Granger(1995)提出的关于协整—VECM模型中的调节系数阵的正交分解方法，本文通过求解协整系统中的共同因子度量了我国的核心通货膨胀率。

It's been six months since his trial, six months that he's been sequestered here, under the protection of Granger's Fidelius.

他的审判已经过了六个月，在Granger做保密人的Fidelius咒下，他已经在此隐居了六个月。

The cointegration modeling theory presented by Granger after 80's is the beginning of solution to modeling of non-stationary vector series.

八十年代后，Granger提出的协整建模思想为解决非平稳向量时间序列的建模问题开创了先河。

Regarding to the empirical research of the impact of exchange rate variability to international trade of Guangdong province,this paper applied ARDL model(one kind of dynamic econometrics model for stationary time series) to do the research,and then applied Granger causality test to analyse the relationships between different variables.

在人民币汇率波动性对广东省进出口贸易影响的实证研究中，采用动态计量经济学模型中的自回归分布滞后模型来进行研究并用Granger因果检验验证不同变量的关系。

Basically, the contents of this paper are organized as follows: Firstly, it is interpreted that the technical identifications of higher education and economic growth and the relative theories such as human capital and new economic growth, which can make theatric basis for the further empirical study. After that, the paper is to construct a couple of index systems to depict higher education development and economic growth respectively. At the end of this paper, it will adopt the dynamic econometric models such as Granger causality test, co-integration test, VAR and VECM model, to evaluate the co-relations between the two systems. According to the empirical study, the paper comes to the conclusions as follows:(1) There really exists one-way causality between the economic growth and the higher education, i.e.

本文内容基本安排如下：首先本文阐述经济增长和高等教育发展的内涵及其相关的理论，为本文的实证研究奠定理论基础；然后构建高等教育发展和经济增长两个指标体系，以描述高等教育发展和经济增长两个多因素相互作用的复杂过程；最后本文以1978-2003年的时间序列数据为数据资源，运用Granger 因果检验、协整检验、VAR 模型以其向量误差纠正模型VECM 等动态经济计量模型进行实证分析。

The efficiency problem on the electricity futures market is systematically investigated from the three aspects, i.e., the market efficiency, the price discovery function and the hedge function by means of the. cointergration technique, the variance ratio and the Granger causality test methods, etc.

从电力期货市场的有效性、价格发现功能效率和套期保值功能效率三个方面，借助协整技术、方差比检验、Granger因果检验等，系统地研究了电力期货市场的效率问题。

This paper brings in three variates including energy consumption, energy price and economic growth on the basis of previous double variate system. Using the data from 1978 to 2004, we do Cointegration Test to see the long relationship among them. Then we build an Error Correcting Model. Moreover, we use Granger Causality Test to re-examine the relationship of the three.

本文在前人简单双变量系统的基础上构建了能源消费，能源价格与经济增长三变量系统，利用1978-2004年的数据，通过协整分析，检验了能源消费，能源价格，经济增长之间的关系，构造了三变量的误差修正模型，并用Granger因果检验进一步验证了三变量之间的关系。

So he let Potter sit in the wine-colored chair in a patch of sunlight and slurp his tea and eat the biscuits that appeared in the pantry every week and leave crumbs all over and natter on about nothing and everything—about the Ministry and the war and Granger and the Weasel and the Weasel's missing sister and Draco's cousin Nymphadora and the werewolf, and about everything except the real reason Potter kept showing up on his doorstep.

所以他让Potter坐在那把酒红色的椅子上，坐在阳光之中，喝他的茶，吃他的饼干（那些每周都被传送到他厨房的饼干），还把饼干屑弄得满地都是，然后瞎扯一通，什么都说，却等于啥也没说—关于魔法部，关于这场战争，关于Granger，关于Weasel一家，还有Weasel家失踪的小姑娘，还有Draco的表姐Nymphadora，还有那个狼人，几乎什么都谈，只除了一件事情没谈过，那就是Potter为什么总是出现在他的门口。

With Death guitarist Schuldiner adopting vocal duties, the band made a major impact on the scene.

随着死亡的吉他手Schuldiner接受主唱的职务，乐队在现实中树立了重要的影响。

But he could still end up breakfasting on Swiss-government issue muesli because all six are accused of nicking around 45 million pounds they should have paid to FIFA.

不过他最后仍有可能沦为瑞士政府&议事餐桌&上的一道早餐，因为这所有六个人都被指控把本应支付给国际足联的大约4500万英镑骗了个精光。