查询词典 granger

Trade between China and America Trade deficit FDI Granger-causality test

中美贸易；贸易逆差；直接投资；格兰杰因果关系

Based on the study of scholars at home and abroad and from the point of theoretical and empirical study, this paper analyses the impact of foreign trade and FDI over China's business cycle using many econometric methods such as Unit Root Test, Co-integration Tests, Granger Test, Pulse-response Function and variance decomposition based on VAR model and draws the conclusion as follows:Firstly,there is a close relationship among foreign trade, FDI and business cycle. Foreign trade and FDI are the important transmission channel of the economic cycle. Secondly, the impact to economic fluctuation from foreign trade is greater than that of FDI. Thirdly, In the long time, there is fine interactive circulation among foreign trade, FDI and economic growth. When the short-term deviation from equilibrium happens, there is a self-balanced mechanism in the system.Fourthly,the active effect outweighs the negative effect which the foreign trade and FDI brings.

本文在国内外学者研究成果的基础上，从理论和实证两个方面，运用单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、基于VAR模型的脉冲响应分析及方差分解等计量经济学的方法，从比较的角度分析了对外贸易及FDI对我国经济周期波动的影响，得出结论如下：首先，对外贸易、FDI与我国经济的波动有着显著的关系，二者是传递经济周期的重要渠道；其次，对外贸易对我国经济波动的影响要大于FDI的作用；第三，长期看我国FDI、对外贸易和经济增长之间形成良好的互动循环，当系统短期内偏离均衡状态时，系统存在一个自我均衡机制；第四，对外贸易及FDI对我国经济周期波动产生的积极效应要远大于它所带来的负面效应。

Moreover, no Granger causality relationship has been found, and neither fund performance nor redemption has persistence.

此外，基金业绩与赎回都不具有持续性。

She was just shy of ten years old when we first saw Emma Watson take on the role of Hermione Granger in Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone.

她只是害羞的10岁，当我们第一次看到艾玛沃森就在哈利波特中的作用赫敏和魔法石。

The conclusion is: There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between rural surplus labor force transfer and economic development ; In the long run, they have a positive correlation, and the former is the latter's onesided Granger causality ; And in the short run, the first-lag-phase economic variable, as well as the second one, the third one, the fourth one, and the second-lag-phase surplus labor force transfer variable, as well as the fifth one, they all give rise to economic short-term fluctuation.

其结论是：中国农村剩余劳动力转移与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡稳定关系；在长期，中国农村剩余劳动力转移与经济增长是正相关的，并且前者是后者的单向格兰杰成因；在短期，滞后一期、二期、三期和四期的经济总量以及滞后二期和五期的剩余劳动力转移总量均造成了经济的短期波动。

The most important thing is granger may food poisoning again if they use more chem medicament.

更重要的是，农民大量使用化学药物使食物中毒事件一再发生。

No!' shouted Hermione Granger.'Madam Hooch told us not to move - you'll get us all into trouble.

&不行！&赫敏·格兰杰喊道，&霍琦夫人叫我们不要动——你会给我们大家带来麻烦的。&

Liapunov—Schmidt method is one of the most important method in the bifurcation theory.

Liapunov—Schmidt方法是分叉理论的最重要方法之一。

Be courteous -- even when people are most discourteous to you .

要有礼貌──即使当別人对你最不礼貌的时候。