查询词典 economic cycle

The effect of the steel sector weight is more apparent in period of an expansion cycle compared to that in a period of a whole economic cycle. The hypothesis was further confirmed during the course of data sampling. Overall, in the various stages of the economic cycles, as the weight of cash deposit decreases, the expected return of portfolio amplify, while the overall risk raises as well.B. The optimal asset allocation strategy, which is subjected to the current rules and regulations, imposed the authority.

若进一步允许风险值趋近於0，适度增加风险以期获取更高报酬，实证显示全循环期与景气扩张期之债券投资部位略降，惟仍达82%以上，其中全循环期之股票类股比重由2.7%增加至9.8%，且由原配置在钢铁类股增加塑胶类股有分散类股之效果；而景气扩张期之股票部位由比重3.4%，经调整VaR值后，比重增加至15.5%，分别配置在钢铁类、金融保险、电子及塑胶等四类股以钢铁类股比重较高。

Medium asymmetry makes clear broomrape of actual GDP foreword to disturb to be had in the different level of economic cycle randomly those who differ is durative with the fluctuation, because this arranges cycle and the economic policy that oppose cycle,have distinct effect effect.

实际GDP序列当中的非对称性表明随机扰动在经济周期的不同阶段具有不同的持续性和波动性，因此顺周期与反周期的经济政策具有不同的作用效果。

Enter 7, since 80 time, the research with western economy academic to economic cycle academia lives afresh again capriole comes, appeared a lot of new economic cycle models.

进入七、八十年代以来，西方经济学界对经济周期理论的研究又重新活跃起来，出现了许多新的经济周期模型。

In the economic cycle, it is necessary to pay attention to the inventory cycle, corporate capital spending cycle and the real estate cycle, the three-cycle changes.

在经济周期中，要注意库存周期，企业资本支出的周期和房地产周期，三个周期的变化。

With the rapid development of economic integration and constant improvement of degree of openness in the most of countries, intercourse of the trade and financial field becomes more and more frequent. Under this kind of background, economic fluctuation is easy to take place because of external shocks through foreign trade, international capital flow and other channels. So, the research of economic cycle can not be taken only in closed environment. Focusing on the open e conomy, the discussion of influence on the economic cycle fluctuation from external shocks have rather important significance.

随着全球经济一体化的迅猛发展，各国经济开放程度不断提高，各国间贸易与金融领域的交往也日趋频繁，在这种背景下，通过对外贸易、国际资本流动等渠道本国的经济将会受到外来冲击的影响而发生波动，因此，对经济周期的研究不能仅停留在封闭条件下，着眼于开放经济的背景，探讨外来冲击对一国经济周期波动的影响具有相当重要的意义。

In addition, the new economic growth theory, theory of economic growth, especially economic cycle of Mensch, are significant. Conclusions:(1) The capitalist mode of production has ability to regulate itself;(2) Although in modern conditions, the economic development brings some changes to the economic cycle, this law still functions today;(3) The economic condition is important for any mode of economic grow, in any country, advantages and disadvantages can be transformed alternately;(4) the conclusion from comparison can be benefit to our socialist economic structure reforms and its construction.

文章的主要结论：资本主义生产方式具有自我调整的能力；现代经济条件下发达资本主义国家经济周期虽然出现了变形，但资本主义经济周期规律并没有消亡；经济条件对一国经济增长模式的形成及效果是重要的，一个国家在一段时期内形成的经济发展优势会随着经济条件的变化朝相反的方向的转化；无论是美国"新经济"的成功经验或是日本"后泡沫经济"的失败教训都将有益于深化我国社会主义经济体制改革和建设。

Looking at the world, with an average of 7 years for an economic cycle count, 25 years only three a little more than the economic cycle, the relative of a city's real estate market in the long road of development, the Canton luxury residential real estate market is actually still in its infancy therefore the future of its development will be phenomenal!

放眼世界，平均7年为一个经济周期的数量， 25年只有3个多一点的经济周期，相对的一个城市的房地产市场在长期的发展道路，广东豪华住宅房地产市场实际上仍处于初创阶段的未来，因此，其发展将是惊人的！

This thesis intends to expound the business cycle theories and then further study will be given on the trade transmission mechanism of economic cycle, finally the thesis will discuss the economic correlations between China and other countries in the process of both economic growth.

本文旨在对经济周期理论进行较为详尽的考察，然后进一步研究贸易对经济周期传导机制的关系，最后本文还将提出我国在发展经济的过程中，同世界相关国家的经济相关性。

Locksman Okufine Lakshman Achuthan of the New York based economic cycle reserch institute York-based Economic Cycle Research Institute says even a slight drop in sales has consequences.

来自纽约经济周期研究所的Lakshman Achuthan 说即使销售稍有下滑也会产生很大影响。

Based on the study of scholars at home and abroad and from the point of theoretical and empirical study, this paper analyses the impact of foreign trade and FDI over China's business cycle using many econometric methods such as Unit Root Test, Co-integration Tests, Granger Test, Pulse-response Function and variance decomposition based on VAR model and draws the conclusion as follows:Firstly,there is a close relationship among foreign trade, FDI and business cycle. Foreign trade and FDI are the important transmission channel of the economic cycle. Secondly, the impact to economic fluctuation from foreign trade is greater than that of FDI. Thirdly, In the long time, there is fine interactive circulation among foreign trade, FDI and economic growth. When the short-term deviation from equilibrium happens, there is a self-balanced mechanism in the system.Fourthly,the active effect outweighs the negative effect which the foreign trade and FDI brings.

本文在国内外学者研究成果的基础上，从理论和实证两个方面，运用单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、基于VAR模型的脉冲响应分析及方差分解等计量经济学的方法，从比较的角度分析了对外贸易及FDI对我国经济周期波动的影响，得出结论如下：首先，对外贸易、FDI与我国经济的波动有着显著的关系，二者是传递经济周期的重要渠道；其次，对外贸易对我国经济波动的影响要大于FDI的作用；第三，长期看我国FDI、对外贸易和经济增长之间形成良好的互动循环，当系统短期内偏离均衡状态时，系统存在一个自我均衡机制；第四，对外贸易及FDI对我国经济周期波动产生的积极效应要远大于它所带来的负面效应。

The split between the two groups can hardly be papered over.

这两个团体间的分歧难以掩饰。

This approach not only encourages a greater number of responses, but minimizes the likelihood of stale groupthink.

这种做法不仅鼓励了更多的反应，而且减少跟风的可能性。