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Using Basket warrants transaction data on TSEC from September 4, 1997 to June 25, 2001, the combination of four volatility models classical history volatility,Parkinson's(1980 high, low history volatility model,Garman and Klass's(1980) high, low, opening, closing history volatility model,Trippi's(1977) equal weights implied volatility model with two pricing models Black and Sholes's(1973 option pricing model, henceforth BS pricing model,Chen and Cheng's(2000) basket option pricing model, henceforth CC pricing model are discussed on valuation performance to obtain superior basket warrant pricing model.

摘要本文利用1997年9月4日至2001年6月26日间在台湾证券交易所发行且已到期的组合型认购权证，使用四种波动性估计模型历史波动性模型，Parkinson(1980的最高，最低价历史波动性模型，Garman and Klass(1980)的最高，最低，开盘，收盘价历史波动性模型，Trippi(1977)的等加权平均隐含波动性模型与Black and Sholes(1973)选择权评价模式，陈松男与郑翔尹(2000)的组合型权证评价模式配对成八种评价模式，并比较其评价绩效，冀期能得到一较佳的组合型认购权证评价模式。

Using Basket warrants transaction data on TSEC from September 4, 1997 to June 25, 2001, the combination of five volatility models classical history volatility; Parkinson's(1980 high, low history volatility model; Garman and Klass's(1980) high, low, opening, closing history volatility model; Trippi's(1977) equal weights implied volatility model; Bollerslev's(1986)GARCH volatility model with two pricing models Black and Sholes's(1973 option pricing model, henceforth BS pricing model; Chen and Cheng's(2000) basket option pricing model, henceforth CC pricing model are discussed on valuation performance to obtain superior basket warrants pricing model.

本文利用1997年9月4日至2001年6月26日间在台湾证券交易所发行且已到期的组合型认购权证，使用五种波动性估计模型历史波动性模型、Parkinson(1980的最高、最低价历史波动性模型、Garman and Klass(1980)的最高、最低、开盘、收盘价历史波动性模型、Trippi(1977)的等加权平均隐含波动性模型、Bollerslev(1986)的GARCH波动性模型与Black and Sholes(1973)选择权评价模式、陈松男与郑翔尹(2000)的组合型认购权证评价模型(CC组合型认购权证评价模型)配对成十种评价模型，并比较其评价绩效，冀期能得到一较佳的组合型认购权证评价模型。

Communists, for instance, are not strict naturalists, for their world view includes a purpose in history, at least in human history, and perhaps in the whole history of the universe.

共产党人，举例来说，是不严格的博物学家，他们的世界观，包括一个目的，在历史上，至少在人类历史上，或许在整个历史的宇宙。

Communists, for instance, are not strict naturalists, for their world view includes a purpose in history, at least in human history, and perhaps in the whole history of the universe.

共产党人，例如，没有严格的大自然，为他们的世界观包括在历史上的目的，至少在人类历史上，甚至在整个历史上的宇宙。

Shiji and HanShu are the important resource on the Chinese history research . Shiji is the general history and HanShu is the dynastic history. In the records, there are part superpositions between the two works .

史记》《汉书》是汉语史研究的重要资料，其中《史记》是通史，《汉书》是断代史，两书中对汉代历史的记载有一部分是重合的。

Thus in encouraging the sustenance of slave architecture and history,slave descendants are regularly made painfully and violently aware of their history of victimisation,are expected to accept it as'their'history and to encounter it'cold'.

Thus鼓励维持奴隶建筑和历史，奴隶后裔经常作出痛苦和意识到自己的暴力史受害，预计将接受它 as'their'history和遇到it'cold '。

It began with Kant that the view of history was applied to the study onthe nature. Later, Darwin and Clausius put forward two respectively contradictory views of history from the viewpoints of biological and non-biological systems, i.e. evolutionary and degenerate views of history, the theory of dissipatived structure established by prigogine solved the contradiction preli minarily. Prigogin...

指出康德首先将历史观引入到对自然界进行研究的；尔后达尔文和克劳胥斯分别从生物系统与非生物系统的角度出发提出了两种相矛盾的历史观，这就是进化的历史观与退化的历史观；普里高津建立的耗散结构理论初步解决了这一矛盾，他认为由大量子系统组织成的系统中的进化是由涨落的放大导致的，自组织系统中的断进化，本质上就是系统逐级突变的结果。

The main purpose of this dissertation is, through a thorough analysis on Procopius'History of the Wars, to find the truth of history, then sum up their experiences, at last conclude Procopius'conception of history.

本论文旨在通过对普罗柯比《战记》中各类内容的分析研究以探寻历史真相，总结经验教训，进而归纳概括普罗柯比的历史观。

From this train of thought, I divided this dissertation into 8 chapters. Chapter 1 is a study on Procopius, including a biographical note on him, his writing time, his writing style, and the way he worked out the plot of his History; chapter 2 "About History of the Wars"introduces the publishing times and editions of the 3 works of Procopius, the contents and sources value of this book, and the circumstances of other temporary sources; From the third chapter on, the dissertation shifts to the analysis of the History's main content.

从这一基本点出发，这篇论文的主体部分共分8章：第一章首先对普罗柯比本人进行研究，包括他的生平、写作年代、写作风格以及他对《战记》一书的构思和写作过程；在第二章&关于《战记》&中介绍普罗柯比作品的出版年代和版本情况、《战记》的内容和史料价值及与《战记》相关的其他文献情况；从第三章开始对《战记》的具体内容加以分析，鉴于该书以记载三大战争为主线，因此第三章波斯战争、第四章汪达尔战争和第五章哥特战争都以&战争与和平&为标题，以突出该书军事战争的主体特点。

Chapter 3 the Persian war, chapter 4 the Vandal war, chapter 5 the Gothic war are all about the same issue "Wars and Peace."By analyzing every war's cause, process, I then make a conclusion of Procopius'conception of history. Chapter 6 "Natural Calamity and Human Disaster"analyzes and discusses the Plague of Constantinople in 542-543 and "Nika riot"in 532. In chapter 7 "Legend, Customs and Natural Phenomena", besides a scrutiny of Procopius'history criticism, I examine and sum up three kinds of digressions in this work. The last chapter "Military and Religion"inquires into the military organization , armies of the services, equipments, strategy and tactics, weapons of Byzantine empire. This chapter also probes into the attitude of Procopius on Christian, heresies and paganism; The epilogue is a conclusion of this dissertation, making a systematic exposition on Procopius'conception of history.

对这三大战争的研究，笔者采用述论相结合的方法，首先分析各大战争爆发的原因，然后详细分析战争的过程，纠正普罗柯比的正误、讳言之处，通过与其他史料的相互对比还原历史真相，总结经验教训，最后，在每章的总结部分论述战争的结果及其对交战双方的影响，通过对具体内容的分析归纳总结普罗柯比的历史观；第六章&天灾与人祸&主要对《战记》中记载的542-543 年君士坦丁堡大瘟疫和532 年尼卡暴乱加以分析论述，通过普罗柯比与其他史家记载的对比探寻查士丁尼大瘟疫的起源、传播路径、症状、传染介质、死亡人数、政府对策及其影响等问题，通过对尼卡暴乱目击者记录的分析揭示尼卡暴乱爆发的原因、真实过程，对尼卡暴乱作出公允的评价；在第七章&神话传说、民族风俗和自然现象&中，通过普罗柯比对这三类插话描写的总结和评论，分析他的历史批判法；在最后一章&军事与宗教&中，剥开《战记》的表层内容，对其中蕴含的较深层次的思想内容进行研究，如拜占廷帝国的军队组织、兵种、装备、战略战术、军事武器等内容的探讨，同时也就普罗柯比对基督教和异教、异端的态度加以分析论述；最后的结语部分主要是作全文的总结，阐述普罗柯比的历史观。

Nowadays, most of research are to build a transmutative Petri Nets through adding controlling place sets, controlling arc sets and controlling policy to the basic Petri Nets, while the Controlled Petri Nets could be used to argue many controlling theory problems conveniently and to induce many logically and physically supervisory and solve the Event Feedback Controlling Problems and State Feedback Controlling Problem in DEDS supervisory theory.

目前大多数的研究表现为在变形后的受控Petri网基础上，利用各种方法求得各种逻辑型、结构型控制器，解决DEDS监控理论中的事件反馈控制问题与状态反馈控制问题。

On one hand, there are discussions with the works council and union about extension of short time working up to the end of September.

一方面，有讨论，工程理事会和联盟关于延长工作时间短至9月底。