查询词典 business cycle

The Business Cycle Index can availably reflect the economic cycle fluctuation, and is widely used in the world.

景气指数是目前世界上使用较为普遍的一种反映经济周期波动的指标，随着我国与世界各国的经济交流日益加深，为了与国际接轨，我国也需要建立相应的景气指数。

In a series of papers by Barsky and Miron, Miron, and Beaulieu and Miron, the authors found that the seasonal cycle displays similar characteristics to the business cycle in the United States and internationally.

在Barsky与Miron、Miron与Beaulieu和 Miron的一系列著作中，作者们发现在美国和国际上季节周期对商业周期表现为类似的特征。

In this context, the business cycle is just another dimension of the life cycle.

在这种背景下，商业圈仅仅是生活的另一个维度。

Secondly, we analyzed the interaction between business cycle and finance cycle. The former is the latter's external variable, and the latter is the formers internal variable.

其次，分析财务周期与经济周期之间的关系——互为作用与反作用关系，并且后者是前者的外生变量；财务周期与企业生命周期之间的关系——后者是前者的内生变量，并且具有互为作用与反作用关系。

An early comprehensive attempt to incorporate the Schwabe cycle into a business cycle framework was suggested by William Stanley Jevons (18351882), who early in his career was a practicing meteorologist. In JevonsInvestigations in Currency and Finance, he discussed economic fluctuations and isolated three components of economic activity: seasonal fluctuation, business cycles and trends. Jevons attempted to statistically link the business cycle with fluctuations in sunspot activity.

早期努力将施瓦布周期并入商业周期的框架由早期是实习气象学家的William Stanley Jevons (18351882)提出在他流通与金融的研究一文中，他讨论了经济波动和经济活动独立的三个内容：季节性波动商业周期和趋势他还努力统计商业周期与太阳黑子活动波动的关系另外有由Jevons的儿子H.S。

This thesis intends to expound the business cycle theories and then further study will be given on the trade transmission mechanism of economic cycle, finally the thesis will discuss the economic correlations between China and other countries in the process of both economic growth.

本文旨在对经济周期理论进行较为详尽的考察，然后进一步研究贸易对经济周期传导机制的关系，最后本文还将提出我国在发展经济的过程中，同世界相关国家的经济相关性。

Stabilization policy is also known as countercyclical policy, that is , policy to moderate the trade cycle or business cycle. The cycles in the past 20 years have been far from regular.

稳定政策，也被称为反经济循环周期的政策，即适度的贸易政策和商业周期循环，在过去20年这个周期是不规律的。

On the contrary, some changes seem to be relatively erratic and abnormal, for example, the changes of price and inflation's business cycle properties, the change of aggregate employment's business cycle property and the change of real interest rate's business cycle property etc. It is not so easy to explain such changes in general economic theories simply, and some profounder and more prudent research must be carried on.

然而，有些变化却显得比较怪异和反常，比如：价格和通货膨胀周期性质的变化、总就业的周期性质的变化、实际利率周期行为的变化等，这类变化很难用一般原理简单进行解释，需要进行更深入细致的分析。

Based on the study of scholars at home and abroad and from the point of theoretical and empirical study, this paper analyses the impact of foreign trade and FDI over China's business cycle using many econometric methods such as Unit Root Test, Co-integration Tests, Granger Test, Pulse-response Function and variance decomposition based on VAR model and draws the conclusion as follows:Firstly,there is a close relationship among foreign trade, FDI and business cycle. Foreign trade and FDI are the important transmission channel of the economic cycle. Secondly, the impact to economic fluctuation from foreign trade is greater than that of FDI. Thirdly, In the long time, there is fine interactive circulation among foreign trade, FDI and economic growth. When the short-term deviation from equilibrium happens, there is a self-balanced mechanism in the system.Fourthly,the active effect outweighs the negative effect which the foreign trade and FDI brings.

本文在国内外学者研究成果的基础上，从理论和实证两个方面，运用单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、基于VAR模型的脉冲响应分析及方差分解等计量经济学的方法，从比较的角度分析了对外贸易及FDI对我国经济周期波动的影响，得出结论如下：首先，对外贸易、FDI与我国经济的波动有着显著的关系，二者是传递经济周期的重要渠道；其次，对外贸易对我国经济波动的影响要大于FDI的作用；第三，长期看我国FDI、对外贸易和经济增长之间形成良好的互动循环，当系统短期内偏离均衡状态时，系统存在一个自我均衡机制；第四，对外贸易及FDI对我国经济周期波动产生的积极效应要远大于它所带来的负面效应。

The thesis tends to investigate the establishment of the insurance cycle score and business cycle of the premium of new business. We utilize six kinds of different insurance of new business to be our investigate object, that including ordinary life insurance, group life insurance, individual health insurance, group health insurance, personal accident insurance and group accident insurance. Besides observing fluctuate of the firsthand information, we used the maximum likelihood estimation to estimate the unknown parameter of Markov switching models. Try to cognizance the peak and the trough of business cycle.

本研究在探讨保险新契约之保费的景气循环状况与景气分数的制定，其中我们利用六种不同的保险新契约保费当研究对象，包括个人人寿保险保费、团体人寿保险保费、个人健康保险保费、团体健康保险保费、个人伤害保险保费和团体伤害保险保费，除了观察原始资料的波动外，亦采用最大概似估计法来估计马可夫转换模型的未知参数，尝试著去认定景气循环的高峰与谷底。

As she looked at Warrington's manly face, and dark, melancholy eyes, she had settled in her mind that he must have been the victim of an unhappy attachment.

每逢看到沃林顿那刚毅的脸，那乌黑、忧郁的眼睛，她便会相信，他一定作过不幸的爱情的受害者。

Maybe they'll disappear into a pothole.

也许他们将在壶穴里消失